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College Football ATS Analysis: A quick look at Week 3 line moves

09.13.2012     02:53 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We mentioned in our College Football Betting Recap earlier this week that big lines moves haven't fared well this season. Using CRIS's lines, if you bet the opener on games that moved three points or more you went 8-14 ATS (7-15 w/ closing line). We've already seen a handful of significant moves this week – some of which injury related like Alabama/Arkansas and Florida/Tennessee.

CRIS Opener/CRIS Current
Florida State opened -25 vs. Wake Forest...now -28
UConn opened pk at Maryland...now -3 (-105)
Alabama opened -15.5 at Arkansas...now -20
Bowling Green opened +6.5 at Toledo...now +3.5
Tennessee opened pk vs. Florida...now -3
Florida Atlantic opened +44.5 at Georgia...now +41.5




Tags: College Football




If coaches could bet, Brady Hoke would probably grab some UMass +45.5

09.13.2012     12:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Massachusetts at Michigan -45.5 O/U 54

Michigan head coach Brady Hoke just gave out a free play. Bet UMass +45.5.


"That’s ridiculous,” he said this morning, during his weekly appearance on the “Stoney and Bill Show” on WXYT-FM (97.1). “All you’ve got to do is go back two years, and it was 42-37 here in Ann Arbor. That gets your attention. The one thing we try to do every week: It’s about us, how we prepare on a weekly basis, how we practice. When you look at it that way, and that’s the way we look at it every week, we’re getting ready to get into the Big Ten schedule soon. We’ve got a lot of improvement we’ve got to do.”






Tags: College Football UMass Minutemen MAC Michigan Wolverines Big Ten




NFL Gambling Preview: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

09.13.2012     11:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Orleans at Carolina
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Lean towards Over
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
New Orleans -3 (+101) O/U 51
CRIS Current: New Orleans -3 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New Orleans -3.5

Not much went right for either of these two teams in their season opener. The Saints defense was picked apart by a rookie QB making his first NFL start; giving up 40 points and 464 yards (a whopping 6.5 yards per snap), unable to stop the run or the pass in Steve Spagnuolo’s first game as the coordinator. Meanwhile, Drew Brees completed less than half of his pass attempts while throwing a pair of interceptions, after throwing only four INTs in his final eight regular season games last year. The Saints gave up on the run rather quickly in a game they trailed from the get-go, with Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram combining for only 32 yards on ten rushing attempts.

Carolina, too, was gashed by Read more


Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling: Nebraska expected to make defensive changes

09.13.2012     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arkansas State at Nebraska -24.5 O/U 67

Let's first give credit where credit is due. UCLA's offense has been impressive. Putting up 653 yards of total offense on any FBS school shows you have some talent. That being said, Nebraska's defense was awful. Bottom line is the Cornhuskers made the Bruins look like the Ducks. And it looks as if the main culprit was a lack of speed. Starting defensive tackle Chase Rome left the team following the loss and defensive coordinator John Papuchis hinted there may be some lineup changes for Saturday's game against Arkansas State.


"Team speed has been a little bit lacking over the first couple games, so we're going to try to get some of our faster guys on the field and see how that works this week," Papuchis said. "Everybody is in the equation. If we Read more



Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten Arkansas State Red Wolves Sun Belt




College Football Betting: Illinois' defense had no clue what is was doing vs. Arizona State

09.13.2012     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ron Zook may no longer physicallly be the head coach of the University of Illinois, but it appears that his spirit is alive and well. "Widespread confusion" is being used to describe the Illini's defensive performance in last week's 45-14 loss at Arizona State. Part of the credit should probably go to ASU and first-year head coach Todd Graham who had his offense pushing the tempo for much of the game. Note that under defensive coordinator Vic Koenning, who now holds the same position at North Carolina, Illinois held nine opponents to 21 points or less and didn't allow more than 35 points in a single game last year.


“We didn’t communicate well where everyone got the right calls. Some guys were running different things from guys opposite them and when we’re not all on the same page, it looks bad. There were a lot of communications breakdowns between guys on defense and our coaches.”

“On that first drive, I thought they were going pretty fast,” Spence Read more



Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten




College Football Betting Preview: USC Trojans at Stanford Cardinal

09.12.2012     11:29 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
USC at Stanford
Rob Veno's Recommendation:
USC
Saturday, 5:30 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
USC -9 O/U 60
CRIS Current: USC -8 O/U 56
Rob Veno's Power Rating: USC -6.5

Without question this is the top revenge game on the board this week as USC lost a heartbreaker in triple overtime last season. It’s very interesting to note that in last year’s contest, USC held Stanford to 3.9 yards per carry (one of only three teams to do so in 2011) but their secondary was shredded by quarterback Andrew Luck for 330 yards. The Trojans sacked Luck twice in that game after he had been sacked only twice in Stanford's previous seven and they did intercept him for a touchdown. This all becomes relevant because no longer are NFL 1st round OG David DeCastro and 2nd round LT Jonathan Martin run blocking and pass protecting and obviously overall Luck is no longer running the offense. Without that trio, Stanford has faced Read more


Tags: College Football USC Trojans Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan State Spartans

09.12.2012     11:16 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame at Michigan State
Ian Cameron's Recommendation:
Notre Dame
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -4 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Michigan State -6 O/U 42
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan State -5

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Michigan State Spartans will renew their annual rivalry in East Lansing on Saturday in a battle of 2-0 teams. Notre Dame gets some good news on both the injury and suspension front. Quarterback Everett Golson is likely to play after suffering a minor hand injury against Purdue last week, and running back Cierre Wood and defensive end Justin Utupo have finished serving their two-game suspensions. The Irish didn't play their best game last week but did enough to get past Purdue, 20-17. They outgained Navy and Purdue by a combined 237 yards and allowed just 27 points thanks to a stingy defense. This looks to be head coach Brian Kelly's best Read more


Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Ian Cameron




College Football ATS Analysis: Bettors support Michigan State and UNDER

09.11.2012     01:05 PM     Printer Friendly
Notre Dame at Michigan State -5.5 O/U 43

Early bettors have come out in support for the home side and UNDER for Saturday's Notre Dame-Michigan State matchup. The Spartans opened -4 at CRIS and -3.5 at Pinnacle but have been bet up to -5.5/-6. CRIS opened the total at 47 with as low as 42.5 now showing. The Spartans outgained the Irish each of the last six meetings yet the series is 3-3 SU/ATS during that span. Line history courtesy of CRIS. 

copy_msu_nd.JPG



Tags: College Football Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Notre Dame Fighting Irish




Sports Betting Podcast 9-11-2012 with Handicappers Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa

09.11.2012     10:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Erin Ryning and Alf Musketa. Erin covered the Big Ten while Alf broke down this week's football line moves.

Today's segments
Full Show

Erin Rynning - Big Ten Conference

Alf Musekta - Football Line Moves

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL College Football Erin Rynning Alf Musekta




NFL Betting Stock Watch: San Diego Chargers offer little value for bettors

09.07.2012     12:29 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sell the San Diego Chargers – Well, here we are again at the start of a new NFL season and looking to bet against the Chargers. To say this team has disappointed would be an understatement. The Chargers were talented and poised for a big time, long-term run in the AFC but after nine- and eight-win seasons there remain more questions than answers. Most of these questions linger around head coach Norv Turner and without any changes made in that department we must expect this team to fall short expectations. The talent level now must be called into question – or at least the erosion of talent – as well with general manager AJ Smith. On the field the cupboard is far from empty starting with quarterback Philip Rivers, but 20 interceptions and five lost fumbles are unacceptable for someone with his experience. Two years ago it was their special teams, last year it was the defense, and now we could see the offense could decline. There are questions on the offensive line starting with left tackle and Jared Gaither. The wide receiver position is on hold after saying goodbye to Vincent Jackson and losing Vincent Brown to a broken ankle. The defense will Read more


Tags: NFL San Diego Chargers Erin Rynning



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