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October

31

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MLB Handicapping: Five home runs helps back-to-back games at Petco go OVER

06.07.2012     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When a game goes over the total at Petco Park is usually isn't by much and rarely do we see two teams combine for double-digit runs. But the last two contests – against the weak hitting San Francisco Giants – have each produced 11 runs. And on five occasions during those two games the ball managed to leave the playing field in fair territory. There is a theory among bettors that Petco Park plays a bit more realistic during stretches when the "marine layer" isn't as strong. According to one explanation, this tends to happen during the day and later in the season. Just something to consider when playing Padres totals.


“In the simplest terms, when you’re close to the water, there’s more moisture in the air and the air is cooler,” said Miller. “The air becomes less dense with water in it, lighter than typical air molecules, so the ball can fly farther in the moister air. But when the marine layer moves in, like a big blob of cold air pouring over the stadium walls and onto the field, the air is more Read more



Tags: MLB San Diego Padres




Handicapper Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report 6-4-2012

06.04.2012     11:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I decided to give my weekly column a new name last week, calling it Teddy’s Wiseguy Report.  I did this because I’ve been getting a boatload of questions about wiseguy bettors – the individuals and syndicates that legitimately do battle with the books with a steady diet of four and five figure bets.  Wiseguys, also known as “sharps”, are guys who make their living beating the books and the betting markets. 

In this week’s column, I’m going to explain the single biggest difference between the approach of wiseguy bettors compared to the vast majority of bettors here in Las Vegas and around the world – guys who are recreational players or “squares”.  Next week, in Part 2 of this article, I’ll delve deeper into the contrasts between sports betting amateurs and sports betting professionals.

Most casual bettors don’t make a profit from their sports betting hobby.  This includes bettors who are relatively sharp as well as those who couldn’t pick a winner if their lives depended on it.  That’s not a horrible thing either – if every Read more


Tags: Teddy Covers




NFL goes small college conferences, AFL for replacement refs

06.04.2012     11:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Does it excite you that the outcome of crucial late season game between the Ravens and Steelers could be in the hands of a Sun Belt back judge? Due to unresolved contract negotiations with the NFL's referee union, the league is has begun to look elsewhere for employees. And by employees, we don't mean handpicking the top refs from the Big Ten or SEC. BCS Conference refs are run by NFL officials and therefore off limits. We're talking about small college conference and arena football.   



Tags: NFL




College Football Handicapping: SEC conference schedules

05.30.2012     11:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Scheduling in the SEC typically goes a long way in determining who prospers both straight up and against the spread. A well-timed bye week can do wonders while the second of back-to-back road games can spell disaster. With the addition of Texas A&M and Missouri, SEC schedules appear even more chaotic than in previous editions. No surprise that the league is already working to create a more efficient format for next year and beyond. Unlike the Big Ten which league-wide follows the non-conference-and-then-conference-play format, the SEC is all across the board. Some teams open up with league games in Week 1 while others won't see a conference opponent until Week 4. For some teams in the East, SEC regular season play is over by the first week in November while others like Mississippi State close out the year with five straight league games all the way through Thanksgiving weekend. Lastly, check out Texas A&M's inaugural SEC campaign. Talk about a wakeup call! The Aggies have a four-week stretch of games vs. LSU, at Auburn, at Mississippi State and at Alabama. Over/Under total Read more


Tags: College Football SEC




College Football Handicapping: Big Ten conference schedules

05.30.2012     10:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is not even June so we'll refrain from any serious schedule analysis for the upcoming college football season. We will however be taking a look at various conference schedules over the next few weeks starting today with the Big Ten. Nebraska has a tough draw in terms of its opponents from the Leaders Division. The Cornhuskers face Ohio State, Wisconsin and Penn State and miss out on Illinois, Indiana and Purdue. Penn State meanwhile skips both Michigan schools and has winnable road games at Illinois and Purdue. The Nittany Lions also have homes games vs. Wisconsin, Ohio State and Northwestern. Ohio State was given no favors with matchups against Michigan, Michigan State and Nebraska out of the Legends Division. The Buckeyes also travel to Wisconsin and Penn State.

2012 Big Ten Conference Schedules
Legends
Big Ten Opponents
Iowa
vs. MIN, at MSU, vs. PSU, at NW, at IU, vs. PUR, at MICH, vs. NEB
Michigan
at PUR, vs. ILL, at NEB, at MIN, vs. NW, vs. IOWA, at OSU
Michigan State
vs. OSU, at IU, vs. IOWA, at MICH, at WIS, vs. NEB, vs. NW, at MIN
Minnesota
at IOWA, vs. NW, at WIS, vs. PUR, vs. MICH, at ILL, at NEB, vs. MSU
Nebraska
vs. WIS, at OSU, at NW, vs. MICH, at MSU, vs. PSU, vs. MIN, at IOWA
Northwestern
vs. IU, at PSU, at MIN, vs. NEB, vs. IOWA, at MICH, at MSU, vs. ILL
Leaders
Big Ten Opponents
Illinois
vs. PSU, at WIS, at MICH, vs. IU, at OSU, vs. MIN, vs. PUR, at NW
Indiana
at NW, vs. MSU, vs. OSU, at ILL, vs. IOWA, vs. UW, at PSU, at PUR
Ohio State
at MSU, vs. NEB, at IU, vs. PUR, at PSU, vs. ILL, at WIS, vs. MICH
Penn State
at ILL, vs. NW, at IOWA, vs. OSU, at PUR, at NEB, vs. IU, vs. WIS
Purdue
vs. MICH, vs. WIS, at OSU, at MIN, vs. PSU, at IOWA, at ILL, vs. IU
Wisconsin
at NEB, vs. ILL, at PUR, vs. MIN, vs. MSU, at IU, vs. OSU, at PSU




Tags: College Football Big Ten




Handicapper Teddy Covers talks NFL Regular Season Over/Under Win Totals

05.29.2012     06:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When I first moved to Las Vegas just prior to the start of the preseason in August 1998, NFL season win totals were just starting to pop up around town. By the early 2000’s, most sportsbooks in Vegas were posting NFL win totals by the time training camps opened in late July. Over the past five years, we’ve seen those NFL win totals get posted earlier and earlier – first early July, then June.

Here in 2012, the markets move earlier and more aggressively than ever. Some offshore sportsbooks posted win totals for the upcoming season within days of the Giants victory over the Patriots in the Super Bowl; albeit with very low limits. And here in Las Vegas, it was Christmas in May this past week when three major players – Cantor Gaming, MGM-Mirage and LVH – all released their 2012 NFL Regular Season Over/Under Win totals, with limits high enough to attract a nice chunk of wiseguy money.

Cantor was the first to market, and releasing their NFL win totals last Wednesday. As the first local shop to post numbers, with relatively high limits ($3K) that cater to sharp bettors, the action was fast and furious on the trading floor (or the betting Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Las Vegas' biggest jackpot winners

05.23.2012     10:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Las Vegas Sun lists some of the biggest casino wins of all-time.

2003: Dude wins $39.7 million on a slot machine at Excalibur. His odds were reportedly one in 16.7 million.

2003: Cocktail waitress wins $34.9 million on a slot machine at Desert Inn.

1998: Retire flight attendant hits $27.5 million jackpot on a slot at Palace Station. She had previously won $680K on a different machine.

2002: Woman wins $22.6 million on a slot machine at Bally's.

1999: Illinois man won $21.3 million on a slot machine at Caesars.

2005: A man hit the Megabucks jackpot TWICE at Cannery Casino. The first for $4.6 million and the second for $21.1 million. We'd be interested to know his system.

2011: Women cashes in on $12.7 million at Aria slot machine.

2011: Another big winner at Aria. This time a $10.6 million winner.

2012: Marine nailed a slot machine winner at the Bellagio good for a $2.9 million pay day.

Honorable Mention: Andrew Lange cashes in on his 20* Big Sky Total of the Year for an undisclosed amount.




Tags: Las Vegas




MLB Handicapping: Colorado Rockies have bottomed out

05.22.2012     07:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In the month of May alone, the Colorado Rockies are 4-15. It only adds to what has taken place with this organization since 2010's late season collapse that saw them lose 13 of 14 to close out the regular season. Since that time, Colorado has quietly been one of the worst teams in baseball with a record of 89-129, -59 units. Pitching has played a big role in the organization's decline. In early 2011, we posted a blog about how the Rockies had it right by trying to develop young arms with good fastballs that produce groundballs. Ubaldo Jimenez, Jorge De La Rosa. Juan Nicasio, Jason Hammel, and Jhoulys Chacin all showed promise. But only Nicasio is currently contributing to the team. They traded Jimenez to Cleveland – a move that for now looks smart. The Hammel for Guthrie trade hasn't worked out with Hammel throwing well for Baltimore and Guthrie (5.55 ERA) spending much of his time being injured or ineffective. Then you have De La Rosa and Chacin on the shelf due to injuries. Rookie Read more


Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Notes: Pitching a mess for Milwaukee Brewers

05.21.2012     11:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While Cleveland and LA have been overachieving, the reigning National League Central champion Milwaukee Brewers have been awful, sitting in fifth place in arguably the weakest division in baseball.  The Brewers went 30-18 in one run games last year and had an MLB best 57-24 record at Miller Park –true home field dominance.  This year, they’re off to a sub .500 start at home while going a modest 6-6 through their first dozen one run decisions.  The betting markets weren’t high on this team coming into the campaign, lining a 96 win team from last year in the 84.5/85 range for 2012.  So far, the betting markets have been 100% correct in their negative assessment of Ron Roenike’s squad.

Milwaukee can’t blame injuries for their early season struggles.  The only significant injury they’ve suffered since opening day is shortstop Alex Gonzalez; a bottom of the order guy who’s bounced around to six different teams over the past seven seasons.   Their big bats are hitting – Ryan Braun and Cory Hart have 20 dingers between them and catcher Jonathan Lucroy enjoyed a breakout seven RBI game in his first Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Teddy Covers




NBA Playoff betting profiles that produce profit

05.17.2012     06:57 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re off a pair of NBA winners Tuesday and back in action with two more NBA plays for tonight including another top-rated 20* Big Drive. This play fits a proven, profitable situation for success and we expect another top-play winner in NBA action and more of the same on Friday.

As noted in a recent blog, Round 2 home favorites have been the biggest profit producers in any round of NBA playoff action, and home favorites of 5 or more points have hit over 70% the past 30+ situations including the Spurs Game 1 win over the LA Clippers.

The LA Clippers will have a tough time bouncing back with a victory in Game 2 as the injuries and soreness surrounding the Clippers Blake Griffin (knee, ankle), Chris Paul (hip), Caron Butler (broken hand), Mo Williams (hand) and Nick Young (tooth) have them playing at less than 100% health against the Spurs.  Normally I would support the Clippers in this situation as they fit a Read more


Tags: NBA __



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 31, 2014 02:48 AM.