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August

26

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NHL Handicapper Free Play: Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues

04.16.2013     10:26 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Vancouver at St. Louis -135 O/U 5
Recommendation: Under


This game is juiced to the Under and deservedly so. St. Louis has shown nothing of late to prove it can score goals on a consistent basis, but still they are able to keep the puck out of the net and that makes them a very lucrative Under team.  The Blues have lost two straight games where they scored just one goal, and before that during their six win streak they scored just 14 goals.  In their last 15 games they've gone Over a total of 5 just twice.  Vancouver comes into town after a solid win in Nashville last night – a back-to-back situation tonight and third game in four nights.  Vancouver has played in six back-to-back situations and only one of those went Over 5.  I expect the Canucks to play a very disciplined road hockey game tonight and limit the Blues’ chances while being patient about their own chances.  This has all the markings of a 2-1 type contest.

Sammy 15* NHL Power Play Total [11-3 79% PP Hot Streak] $20
Sammy hits the ice tonight with Read more



Tags: NHL Vancouver Canucks St. Louis Blues Sammy P




NBA Betting Free Play: Washington Wizards at Brookyn Nets

04.15.2013     02:59 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington +5.5 at Brooklyn O/U 190.5
Recommendation: Washington


Don’t expect anything resembling the Nets A-game this evening. Brooklyn’s loss at Toronto yesterday locked them into the #4 seed in the East. Head coach PJ Carlesimo made it very clear following that loss that he’s more interested in resting his veterans than in going full throttle down the stretch. “We don’t need to get anybody hurt. We’re not playing for anything. Going forward now we’ve certainly got to rest some people.”

The Nets have no shortage of guys who need rest. Gerald Wallace has sat their last two games, not expected to suit up tonight either. Deron Williams took a nasty knee yesterday, a likely candidate to sit this evening, although it hasn’t been ‘officially’ announced yet. Joe Johnson has been battling injuries as well, another potential ‘sitting in street clothes’ Read more



Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Brooklyn Nets Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Miami Heat fit the profile of a champion

04.15.2013     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Every year, prior to the end of the regular season, I write a column I call ‘Who Has What it Takes to Win the Big Dance”.  After Louisville’s NCAA Tournament Championship this year, we’ve seen future champions fit a specific statistical profile in 15 of the last 16 tournaments.  As a result of that specific statistical profile, I can simply go through all the contending teams, one by one, to see which squad has the best chance (or one of the best chances) to cut down the nets following six consecutive victories over a three week span.

I do not go through a specific statistical profile that predicts NBA playoff success the same way I do for college.  And while the NCAA Tournament is a relative sprint, the NBA Playoffs are an extended, two month long marathon; a war of attrition as much as anything else.  A race towards a four series, 16 victory championship requires talent and health.

We don’t see longshots winning NBA titles very often.  The biggest surprise teams to win a title in the last two decades – the 2004 Pistons and the 2011 Mavericks – were both deep, veteran, defensive minded Read more



Tags: NBA Teddy Covers Miami Heat




MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Mets at Minnesota Twins

04.13.2013     07:38 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Mets (Harvey) -130 at Minnesota (Diamond) O/U 7
Recommendation: New York


So the word is out on New York's Matt Harvey being one of the premier young arms in the game. In two starts, the big right hander racked up 19 strikeouts and allowed only four hits. I wasn't big fan of the Mets extending him last time out – they were up 7-1 and Harvey was at 95 pitches prior to sending him out for the seventh inning. This is not the type of arm you want to mess with. But for the time being we have a premium arm that in a few more starts will be commanding a premium price. Minnesota sends Scott Diamond to the hill. He had off-season surgery and was brought along slowly during spring training. With cold weather and a pitch count I'm not expecting a top notch performance from Diamond. Also note that shadows have a big impact on early season mid-afternoon games at Target Field. It is expected to be partly cloudy but if the sun peaks in, hitting Harvey could be damn near impossible. Read more



Tags: MLB New York Mets Minnesota Twins Andrew Lange




NBA Gambling Free Play: Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks

04.12.2013     11:04 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee at Atlanta -7 O/U 200.5
Recommendation: Atlanta


My clients and I cashed a Big Ticket winner supporting the Hawks in their last game; a 124-101 blowout at Philly.  While tonight’s game doesn’t grade out as another Big Ticket opportunity, the situation favoring Atlanta remains strong as they face off at home against the slumping, injury riddled Bucks.

Hawks head coach Larry Drew was not amused following an ugly home loss to Philly last week.  Atlanta’s awful start defensively, allowing Philly to hit 16 of their first 22 shots, set the tone for the game, as Philly scored a season high 40 first quarter points.  Drew decided to rest center Al Horford, forward Josh Smith and point guard Jeff Teague on Saturday at San Antonio.  The Hawks lost the game by only two as 10.5 point dogs.

Here are two key Drew quotes: “Going back to training camp ... we've had to be a team that is gritty, a blue-collar team, particularly on the Read more



Tags: NBA Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Teddy Covers




MLB Gambling Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres

04.10.2013     12:44 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Dodgers (Billingsley) at San Diego (Stults) +110 O/U 7
Recommendation: San Diego


This is a straight fade of Chad Billingsley in his 2013 MLB debut.  Billingsley came on strong after the All Star break last year following a 4-9 start to the campaign, but a torn ligament in his elbow cut his season short.  Billingsley avoided surgery, but his rehab has not been without problems, including a badly bruised index finger on his throwing hand from a bunting drill in spring training.  He finished the spring allowing seven runs in just 7.2 innings of work.  His minor league rehab start last week was equally problematic, struggling with his control in another subpar effort.  I’m not expecting vintage Billingsley tonight!

San Diego bounced back strong yesterday following a dismal 1-5 road trip to open the season – two series where they were outscored by a combined 40-14 margin.  The Padres lineup pounded out nine runs; their first Read more



Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Betting on or against NBA bottom feeders

04.08.2013     07:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve been writing about college basketball fairly consistently since the Super Bowl.  Now that the calendar has shifted to April, it’s time to shift focus and start writing about the NBA.  With less than ten days remaining in the regular season, most of the prevailing focus is on playoff teams.  That’s why I’m writing this week’s column about the bottom feeders that have already been eliminated from playoff contention. 

Can we make money betting on or against these squads down the stretch?  Read on to find out my thoughts on a handful of lottery bound teams before I shift my focus towards playoff squads next week and beyond!  Teams are listed in alphabetical order.

In the 2012 season, the Charlotte Bobcats set a record for NBA futility, finishing the season 7-59 SU.  Their pointspread futility made headlines here in Las Vegas as well, as the Bobcats finished as the single biggest money loser in the league by a wide margin, a woeful 23-43 ATS. 

In 2013, the Bobcats didn’t set any records for futility, but they’ve still got the single worst SU record in the Read more



Tags: NBA Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Betting: Stat Notes for Final Four

04.03.2013     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Here are the statlines that we’ve been using through the Dance in matchup order for Saturday. If you’re new to the blog, we tried to paint a picture of each team’s skill sets and approaches by focusing on these stats:

Two-Point Defense

Rebounding Margin

Turnover Margin

Made Treys per game

Adjusted Pace Rankings as tabulated by Ken Pomeroy

In those first four, we used CONFERENCE ONLY data because that represents a good combination of sample size, schedule quality, and relative recency (ignoring stuff that happened in November and December). I grabbed those from the various conference websites across the nation just before the conference tourneys began. Pace factor was based on the full season because that’s how Kenpom posts it on his home page.

I haven’t done any tweaking to the first four categoreis since the postseason began. We’re using these to get an image of the teams, not to do any fancy calculations. Read more



Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Wichita State Shockers Michigan Wolverines Syracuse Orange




NHL Handicapper Free Play: Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins

04.02.2013     09:32 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo at Pittsburgh -240 O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Under


Pittsburgh has won an incredible 15 straight games and they are doing it on the defensive end.  A team that has always had the offensive firepower to dominate the opposition, the Penguins are finding ways to win defensively as well.  They have recorded three straight shutouts and have gone Under the total nine of their last ten games.  Despite their ability to plug anyone into the lineup and get the same results, the recent injury to Sidney Crosby (broken jaw and out indefinitely) could prove costly.  The trades for Jarome Iginla and Brenden Morrow up front last week will undoubtedly help offensively and defensively (both are solid two-way players), but I don't expect much chemistry between them and their new teammates right off the bat.  Buffalo comes into Pittsburgh losing its last four games and with a big "for sale" sign on their roster.  I'd be surprised if the Sabres didn't move more players before the 3pm EST Wednesday trade deadline.  That being said, this is still a team with a ton of pride and a lot to play for.  I generally like to Read more



Tags: NHL Buffalo Sabres Pittsburgh Penguins Sammy P




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers breaks down the Final Four

04.01.2013     12:04 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve been writing about college basketball consistently since the Super Bowl, and there’s room for one last college hoops column this week.  No, I’m not going to break down the NIT Final Four, the CBI best-of-three series between Santa Clara and George Mason, or the CIT Championship Game between East Carolina and Weber State.  This column is about the big boys!

Four teams have stood out above the rest on the biggest of stages over the past two weekends: Michigan, Syracuse, Wichita State and Louisville.  Bracketologists might be surprised that only one of the top twelve seeds made it this far, with a pair of #4 seeds and a #9 seed joining the top overall seed Louisville in the Final Four. 

But bettors know that seeding is essentially meaningless, especially when we’re talking about the bevy of quality teams in the Big Dance.  That’s why we’ve seen lower seeded teams favored on more than a handful of occasions here in the tourney, like when Syracuse was the chalk against #3 seed Marquette, in one prominent example this past weekend.

Only one team can cut down the nets in Atlanta next Read more



Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Michigan Wolverines Syracuse Orange Wichita State Shockers Teddy Covers



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