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Handicapper Fairway Jay cashes 20* College Football Game of the Year
11.08.2011 02:13 PM
Printer Friendly
We cashed our 20* College Football Game of the Year Saturday in dominating fashion as Virginia (-2.5) ran and rolled over Maryland 31-13. The Terps were held scoreless in the second half, and regular Fairway Followers that read my rushing guidelines in college football know that teams that outrush their opponent by at least a 2-to-1 margin have now covered the pointspread at a 75% clip this season. Virginia dominated at the point of attack, rolling up 527 yards offense at 6.5 yards per play. Running back Perry Jones took the opening play from scrimmage and ran 47 yards for a touchdown to lead the rout as the Cavaliers outrushed the Terrapins 220-84. Maryland’s problems at the point of attack played out perfectly, and we noted additional situations and stats that pointed to a Virginia victory.
Below was my game analysis provided to clients that cashed with our 20* College Football Game of the Year winner. Thanks for the support and we look forward to more winning action in the closing months of the football season with plenty of top play Big Drive’s finding the Fairway and Green.
Saturday we turn our attention to the troubled Maryland
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Tags:
College Football
__
Virginia Cavaliers
Maryland Terrapins
ACC
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College Football Handicapping: Teams seeking bowl eligibility
11.08.2011 01:56 PM
Rob Veno
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno
Below is a conference-by-conference list of teams who are close to gaining bowl eligibility. I’ve included a pair of categories: 1) Teams that can get in with a win this week or 2) Desperate teams that need to win two of their final three games to qualify (marked with an asterisk). The team attempting to qualify has their current record in parenthesis next to their name and has their opponent this week with location and point spread. Their remaining games are in italics.
ACC
*North Carolina State (5-4) – @ Boston College / Line: NC State -2 /
H vs. Clemson & Maryland
Miami (FL) (5-4) - @ Florida State / Line: Miami (FL) +9 /
@ South Florida and H vs. Boston College
Big East
Louisville (5-4) – H vs. Pittsburgh / Line: Louisville -3 /
@ Connecticut & South Florida
Syracuse (5-4) – H vs. South Florida / Line: Syracuse +3.5 /
H vs. Cincinnati and @ Pittsburgh
Big Ten
*Purdue (4-5) – H vs. Ohio State / Line: Ohio State -7 /
H vs. Penn State and @ Michigan
*Northwestern (4-5) – H vs. Rice /
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College Football
Rob Veno
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NFL Handicapping: Arizona's Kolb may miss second straight game
11.08.2011 09:41 AM
Printer Friendly
Arizona
at
Philadelphia
N/L
It doesn't look like
Arizona quarterback Kevin Kolb
(turf toe) will be ready to go for this weekend's game at Philadelphia. Head coach Ken Whisenhunt said yesterday that Kolb was day-to-day. Sports Options currently lists him as doubtful. John Skelton filled in for Kolb in last week's win over St. Louis. He finished 20-of-35 for 222 yards and a touchdown. The Rams held advantages in nearly every statistical category but Skelton hit Larry Fitzgerald for a touchdown pass late in the fourth quarter to tie the game 13-13. Patrick Peterson then returned a 99-yard punt for the game winner in overtime.
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Fairway Jay: Inside the NFL Betting Numbers Week 9
11.08.2011 07:09 AM
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Submitted by
Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize the numbers and situations for success. For over a decade, he has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing pointspread winners. Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in NFL handicapping and you can follow his articles and insight in the Sportsmemo daily blog and on Twitter:
@FairwayJay
Week 9 NFL favorites went 7-7 SU and 6-8 against the spread. For the season, betting favorites are 61-64-5 ATS. Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. Five division games in Week 9 and division underdogs went 3-2 SU and ATS. Home underdogs went 0-3 SU and ATS, and for the season home underdogs are 15-24 SU and 20-18-1 ATS. Scoring was up slightly from the previous two weeks, yet totals still went 5-9 O/U and are 65-63-2 YTD. There have been 5,795
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What is a bettor to do? Ole Miss cans Nutt, Louisiana Tech now favored
11.07.2011 01:16 PM
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Louisiana Tech
-2.5 at
Mississippi
Well this should be interesting for bettors. Ole Miss decided to
part ways with Houston Nutt
, though Nutt will finish out the season. The Rebels play host to Louisiana Tech this weekend and early bettors have been quick to back the Bulldogs who are now favored (opened +1) by -2.5 (-3ev at Grande). That is logical thinking – coach was fired, no shot at the postseason, everyone pack it in and wait until next year. Not so fast. When was the last time Louisiana Tech played a truly meaningful game? Saturday doesn't count but the following week surely does. Tech is 4-1 in WAC play and travels to first place Nevada (3-0). If Tech can beat the Wolf Pack and close out the season with a home win over New Mexico State, they would take home the WAC crown.
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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
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NCAAF Betting Notes: QB injuries keep Florida-South Carolina off the board
11.07.2011 10:15 AM
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Florida
at
South Carolina
N/L
News and notes on the South Carolina-Florida matchup. The Gamecocks (5-2 SEC) trail Georgia (5-1) by a half game but beat the Bulldogs earlier this season. This is the conference finale for both UF and SC while Georgia plays home games against Kentucky and Auburn. Last week, the Gators unleashed the
Pistol Offense
and got fairly positive results (thanks to Jeff Demps’ 158 yards on the ground). The move allowed John Brantley to work out of the shotgun which was ideal considering his bum ankle. Brantley left the game late with an arm injury but is probable for Saturday. SC went from having two quarterbacks to potentially none as
Connor Shaw suffered a concussion
in the loss to Arkansas and will be
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College Football Gambling: Teams playing final home game
11.07.2011 08:53 AM
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List of college football teams playing their final home game of the 2011 season. Team listed first is at home.
Vanderbilt
vs.
Kentucky
- Vanderbilt (5-4) needs two wins to secure bowl eligibility.
Penn State
vs.
Nebraska
- Penn State comes in off a bye week and somehow has a two-game lead in the Leaders Division at 5-0. The following week, the Nittany Lions travel to Wisconsin.
Iowa
vs.
Michigan State
- Critical game for both sides as the Spartans sit atop the Legends Division at 4-1 while Iowa, Nebraska, and Michigan are 3-2.
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Handicapper Teddy Covers: Week 9 NFC Betting News and Notes
11.07.2011 08:22 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Welcome to Teddy Covers’ unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC Tidbits from Week 9.
Atlanta
Matt Ryan is finally learning what to do with a talented deep threat – just chuck it up there and let Julio Jones make a play on the football. Jones’ first quarter touchdown was a classic 'throw it towards the tall guy between three defenders’ play. Ryan let the rookie out of Alabama make an impressive catch that would make a guy like Larry Fitzgerald (who lives off those type of throws) proud. This was Jones coming out party, and it was truly impressive: five touches, 164 yards from scrimmage. It's hard to gauge how good this performance was, because Indy is positively inept these days, but make no mistake about it – Atlanta dominated that sorry team, looking every bit as good as they did last year when they had the best record in the NFC.
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NCAA Basketball Free Pick: Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Mississippi State Bulldogs
11.07.2011 07:57 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Eastern Kentucky
at
Mississippi State
Recommendation: Under 63.5 1st half
Eastern Kentucky is known for two things: slow pace and three-point shooting. The Colonels ranked 327th in tempo the last two season and with three of their top four scorers gone, I project
points will be hard to come by
in the non-conference. Mississippi State returns only two starters but welcome in a few transfers and a highly regarded recruiting class. EKU runs a 1-3-1 defense in attempts to slow down the game and force opposing teams into outside shots. MSU isn't very patient and is prone to taking bad shots from the outside, even when they have a clear advantage on the front line. I'm looking to play the under in the first half as it will be a more controlled
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Denver Post columnist loses job after being linked to area sports betting operation
11.07.2011 06:29 AM
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Denver Post beat writer Jim Armstrong was recently relieved of his duties after his name surfaced in an area
sports betting operation bust
. Armstrong, who had worked at The Post for 27 years, is unlikely to be prosecuted. The newspaper's editor claimed that readers deserve unbiased opinions from sources that don't have a stake in the outcome. Hopefully there won't be some sort of nationwide beat writer betting crackdown or else all we'll be left with is Bleacher Report.
"Readers have to believe and trust that all of us at The Denver Post cover events impartially and without a stake in the outcome," said Gregory L. Moore, editor of The Post. "We take this very seriously."
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