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College Football Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings (w/ Mid-Majors)

06.26.2013     10:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I know I promised some baseball for the late Tuesday report. Ended up spending the evening logging college football stuff out of Athlon. Turned into quite the filibuster! So it's midnight ET, and it's probably better to just tweak a prior football report. I re-checked the "Game of the Year" lines from the Golden Nugget so I could add in the mid-majors that were missed in the earlier estimate of market power ratings.

Mid-Majors (the handful mentioned in GOY lines)

Boise State 68 (Mountain West)

Tulsa 63 (Conference USA)

San Diego State 60 (Mountain West)

Navy 55 (Independent)

Nevada 53 (Mountain West)

Colorado State 50 (Mountain West)

Southern Miss 49 (Conference USA)

UNLV 48 (Mountain West)

Central Michigan 47 (MAC)

Army 46 (Independent)

We have a few new readers and twitter followers (@jefffogle) Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




Sports Betting Podcast 6-26-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Alf Musketa

06.26.2013     10:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Alf Musketa. Rob talked about changes to the Mountain West Conference, Ian broke down every game for Week 1 of the CFL, and Alf discussed PGA and Wimbledon.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - College Football Mountain West

Ian Cameron - Canadian Football League Week 1

Alf Musketa - PGA and Tennis

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football CFL PGA Rob Veno Ian Cameron Alf Musketa




NFL Betting News: Carolina OC Mike Shula wants to use no-huddle

06.26.2013     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oh boy. Here is the first of literally hundreds of no-huddle/up-tempo articles for the upcoming college and pro football seasons. The Carolina Panthers, under first-year offensive coordinator Mike Shula, are reportedly ready to go that route.



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers




College Football Betting: Wisconsin Badgers loaded with experience

06.25.2013     02:16 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin boasts the most returning lettermen (83.87%) of any team BCS team according to Phil Steele. The Badgers will be playing under first-year head coach Gary Andersen (Utah State) this season. On the flip side, Big Ten foe Penn State ranks 125th (53.29%) out of 126. As noted by ESPN.com, last year, the top three BCS teams in terms of returning lettermen (Florida, Oregon, and Stanford) all earned BCS bowl berths. Notre Dame, however, ranked 121st, and played Alabama (104th) for the National Championship.



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten




MLB Handicapping: Visualizing Outside Your Sample

06.25.2013     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Last time I said I’d try to talk more about pitchers. Something interesting happened in terms of a handicapping danger in tonight's Toronto/Tampa Bay game that makes a point everyone should remember in all sports. This is particularly true a few weeks into the football season…so it’s good to get the theme on the table now during the summer.

Esmil Rogers was making his fifth start of the season for the Toronto Blue Jays. His “first half” runs allowed in his prior four starts had been 0-1-1-0. Great job! It’s only four samples though, so you have to be careful not to get locked in to too tight an assessment of his potential. He’s not THAT good. He was a 27-year old middle reliever a few weeks ago with poor career numbers.

After tonight’s game, the line is 0-1-1-0-4, because he allowed three early home runs in his first bad start.

Jeremy Hellickson of Tampa Bay was coming at things from the other direction in a much larger Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Expectations sky high for Ohio State Buckeyes

06.24.2013     02:26 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It looks like oddsmakers are fairly high on the Ohio State Buckeyes heading into the 2013 campaign. Off last year's 12-0 mark with as many as nine starters back on offense, OSU is a favored to win the Big Ten Leaders Division (-465) and overall conference crown (-110). They are also second behind Alabama to win the BCS National Championship (+800). But nowhere are the Buckeyes' expectations more pronounce than the Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines. Check 'em out...

Golden Nugget GOY (Openers)
San Diego St @ Ohio State (-21.5)
Ohio State (-21) @ California
Wisconsin @ Ohio State (-11, 45)
Ohio State (-8) @ Northwestern
Iowa @ Ohio State (-23)
Penn State @ Ohio State (-16)
Ohio State (-17) @ Purdue
Ohio State (-23) @ Illinois
Indiana @ Ohio State (-25)
Ohio State (-6, 50.5) @ Michigan



Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




College Football Gambling: 5Dimes releases selected Season O/U Win Totals

06.24.2013     02:06 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
5Dimes posted a few early bird college football season over/under win totals. Enjoy.

Alabama 11.5un-230
Arizona State 95un-245
Boise State 10.5un-160
California 4.5un-150
Central Florida 8.5un-165
Cincinnati 9.5un-160
Florida 9.5un-160
Florida State 10.5un-150
Indiana 5.5ov-190
Louisville 10.5ov-130
Missouri 5.5ov-180
Notre Dame 9.5ov-135
Oklahoma 9.5un-210
Penn State 8.5un-190
Pittsburgh 5.5un-130
Texas 9.5-ov-150
USC 10.5un-155
West Virginia 5.5ov-210



Tags: College Football




College Football Handiapping: Returning offensive linemen starts

06.24.2013     07:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It's about that time, bettors. Phil Steele posted his career offensive line starts list earlier this month. Returning OL starts is hardly a free pass to ATS winners. For example, last year there were eight teams that welcomed back 100 or more starts and only two of those teams posted winning ATS marks. Those two teams however were from the MAC and off of poor campaigns. In 2011, Ball State went 6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS, returned an NCAA-high 115 OL starts, and went 9-4 SU/ATS in 2012. Similar situation with Kent State who went 5-7 SU/ATS and then skyrocketed to 11-3 SU, 10-3-1 ATS. That isn't much of a sample, but non-power conference teams that aren't on many bettors' radar would seem to benefit more from returning experience than say a team like LSU who is always well accounted for in the betting markets. Anyway, Texas and Tennessee lead this year's list with 124 and 123 returning OL starts, respectively. The bottom of the list is littered with mid-majors: UMass, Troy, FAU, Southern Miss, La. Tech, and Read more


Tags: College Football




NBA Finals Betting Recap: After an Unforgettable Seven Games...It's Miami!

06.21.2013     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Amazing game. Amazing series. A night and a fortnight that sports fans will be talking about for many years to come. If you’re young…you’ll talk about this series the way your elders talk about the Jordan years…or Bird/Magic. If you’re older, it was great to relive the very best this league has to offer.

Spurs fans are crushed, but proud. Heat fans are jubilant. Basketball lovers know they just experienced something very special.

The final numbers from Game Seven…

Miami 95, San Antonio 87

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 40%, Miami 48%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio 6/19, Miami 12/32

Free Throws: San Antonio 20/22, Miami 11/16

1’s and 2’s: San Antonio 70, Miami 59

Rebounds: San Antonio 43, Miami 43

Turnovers: San Antonio 14, Miami 14

These teams were so evenly matched top to bottom. You could make a pretty good case that it boiled down Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Cakewalk non-conference slates for Arizona and K-State

06.20.2013     09:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
CBS's Bruce Feldman breaks down college football's 10 easiest non-conference schedules. At the top of this list is Arizona, who dials up UT-San Antonio, Northern Arizona, and UNLV. K-State opens with North Dakota State, UL-Lafayette, and UMass before playing back-to-back road games against Texas and Oklahoma State.



Tags: College Football Kansas State Wildcats Arizona Wildcats



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