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Super Bowl XLVI Gambling Preview: High scoring affair on the horizon

02.03.2012     07:32 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’m not in agreement with the recent downward move on the Super Bowl total; now at 54 and even 53 at Pinnacle. While many are pointing out that seven of the last eight Super Bowls lined at 46.5 points or higher have gone under the total, I note that the last three Super Bowls all had at least 47 points scored including last year’s 31-25 Green Bay win over Pittsburgh (a side winner for us). The Saints beat the Colts in 2009 as a touchdown underdog, 31-17 (a side winner for us), but the game finished under the posted total of 56.5 points. 

Like that contest, Super Bowl XLVI has two top quarterbacks that are supremely skilled, polished, poised and precise in their passing and play. Going against suspect secondaries on both sides in perfect conditions should result in plenty of big plays in the passing game. The linesmaker is also projecting big passing days by both Eli Manning and Tom Brady, with over/under passing yards posted at 312 and 323 respectively. Both teams will spread the field with their talented receivers and take advantage of two poor pass defenses. Each quarterback is also very comfortable and efficient operating the no-huddle offense.  Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI __




NBA Handicapping: New York Knicks push pace and find offensive stride

02.03.2012     07:05 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We cashed our Eastern Conference O/U Game of the Month to close out January and followed it up with another 20* O/U Game of the Month winner last night when the Bulls beat the Knicks 105-102. That’s back-to-back top-play 20* Big Drive winners on Knicks games over the total after they pounded the Pistons in their previous game 113-86. Both games went over the posted total by at least 15 points. With Carmelo Anthony out of the lineup, the Knicks pushed the pace in a pair of losses before the last two games, and ‘Melo scored 25 and 26 points in his return the past two games as New York opened up their offense, hit more shots and pushed the pace. The Pistons were the perfect opponent to appease the restless New York fans, and despite yesterday’s loss to the Bulls, New York is a team worth riding over the total with their sub-par defense and more open offense.

Here is my game write-up of the Knicks-Pistons game provided to clients earlier this week.  Recent play, insightful information and positive pointspread prognosis led us to another over the total Big Drive winner.


We’re projecting plenty of running, shooting and scoring Read more



Tags: NBA New York Knicks __




NBA Handicapper Game Preview: Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers

02.02.2012     09:46 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Denver +1 at LA Clippers O/U 206
Recommendation: Denver


My clients and I have made good money supporting Denver through the first six weeks of the NBA season, and the Nuggets remain an undervalued commodity as they travel to LA for a ‘quick turnaround’ revenge meeting tonight. We’re catching George Karl’s squad in a real moneymaking situation – off a poorly played loss, as they blew a double digit fourth quarter lead against Memphis on Tuesday, followed by another blown lead in overtime. That loss came on the heels of another blown fourth quarter lead at home against the Clips, a game where Chauncey Billups lived up to his ‘Mr. Big Shot’ moniker, on fire from three point range down the stretch.

The Nuggets haven’t lost three in a row all year, and I don’t expect that to change following tonight’s game. Coach George Karl: “I actually think our mental attitude on the road court has been better-focused than at Read more


Tags: NBA Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Clippers Teddy Covers




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: First kickoff to result in a touchback

02.02.2012     07:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
First kickoff to result in a touchback?
Recommendation: Yes -200


This bet is still worth making at -200 or better, and it’s an interesting handicap.  The Patriots have a strong tendency to defer when they win the opening coin toss, while the Giants’ prevailing tendency is to get the ball first when they win the toss.  As a result, chances are pretty good that it’s going to be Stephen Gostkowski with the opening kickoff, not Lawrence Tynes.  Gostkowski is a touchback type kicker with a big leg and the adrenaline will most assuredly be flowing for that opening kick.  The Giants don’t attempt many kickoff returns from deep in their own end zone – without a strong return game, they are quite comfortable taking the ball at the 20-yard line.  And the pristine conditions inside Lucas Oil Stadium have produced touchbacks on 76% of the kickoffs for the full season.  Put it all together and we’re getting a 3:1 favorite while laying 2:1 or less to do it.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Teddy Covers




College Basketball Handicapping: Undefeated home teams

02.02.2012     07:08 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Every season I discuss and post information on the importance of home courts in college basketball and mention how teams perform with a home/road dichotomy. Understanding home court advantage and the situations surrounding the current contests is important in helping you isolate winners. While the oddsmaker factors home court into the pointspread, there are teams who still perform much better on their home floor. Understanding player strengths and match-ups, team chemistry, current form and statistical performance both home and away is part of breaking down a game. Supporting fans and a comfortable surrounding should only help the home team perform better.  Along with good coaching and preparation, players can become more consistent in their play at home along with their performance when having to take to the road in hostile environments. Once teams get to postseason play, you must factor in and handicap a team’s home/road performance to deliver more pointspread winners. 

Some of the best situational plays develop during February. Many conference teams are now playing "second meets" or opponents for the second time in conference play. These Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




Handicapper Teddy Covers' Super Bowl XLVI Gambling Preview

01.30.2012     10:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The 2011 Super Bowl was not a good one for the sportsbooks here in Las Vegas and offshore. They underestimated the groundswell of support for Green Bay and the Over. Money poured in on the favorite, driving the line up as high as -3 from a -1 opener. And money poured in on the Over; the closing total was as high as 55 at several key locations. When the Packers won 31-25, bettors cashed in on both the side and total. It was the worst Super Bowl result for the books since the infamous Super Bowl XIII, back in January 1979 when the Steelers beat the Raiders 35-31 in a game that bounced between -3.5 and -4.5 all week – a dreaded “middle” for the biggest game of the year.

The books will have a definite rooting interest in the Super Bowl again this year, because for the second consecutive season, the books underestimated the support for the hot team down the stretch. New England opened as a 3.5-point favorite over the New York Giants in many key locations, with one influential sportsbook – the Wynn – even hanging a -4 on the Patriots.

-3.5 or -4 was not the correct line, as determined by the betting markets. The books spent the first week Read more


Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots New York Giants Teddy Covers




College Basketball Free Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs at New Mexico State Aggies

01.28.2012     09:03 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Fresno State at New Mexico State -9.5 O/U 144
Recommendation: New Mexico State


This is the wrong place at the wrong time for Fresno State, whose road struggles are well documented with 11 losses away from home this season. At 1-5 in WAC play, the Bulldogs are struggling and the schedule and situation is bad Saturday as they travel to take on one of the WAC’s top teams, New Mexico State. Fresno State is playing its third straight road game and coming off a tough travel spot with a quick turnaround following a draining, emotional 59-58 loss at Louisiana Tech on Thursday. Much energy and effort was needed for them to rally late, only to fall short on a last second basket by Tech. Now they take on an angry New Mexico State team off its own disappointing home loss Thursday vs. league leader Nevada. But the Aggies have some big edges in this contest in the match-ups and stat profiles to go along with the poor situation against Fresno State. NMSU Read more


Tags: College Basketball Fresno State Bulldogs New Mexico State Aggies __




NCAA Basketball Gambling: Big Ten Coaches Teleconference

01.25.2012     09:19 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Part of my success in handicapping college basketball and delivering positive and profitable pointspread prognosis is listening to college coaches’ weekly teleconferences and picking up information that goes beyond the box scores, stats or even scheduling situations. Coaches may give you additional injury information or comment on their recent play, changes in style or how to handle an upcoming opponent. I’m always looking for additional nuggets and information that don’t necessarily show up in the box scores or translate to the betting line. Some of the conversation can be general discussion or overview, but at times I find it helpful to not only hear the coach discuss his teams play and upcoming opponent, but also provide their insight into player personnel, style of play or even analyze their team’s recent energy, effort and level of play.

Here are some quotes from this week’s Big Ten Coaches Teleconference. The Big Ten is arguably the best conference in the nation this season, and according to Kenpom rankings, currently No. 1. I also believe the Big Ten has the finest collection of coaches in the country with John Beilein, Bill Carmody, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Purdue Boilermakers Michigan State Spartans Illinois Fighting llini Nebraska Cornhuskers Wisconsin Badgers __




College Basketball Handicapping: Eastern Michigan first half betting trend

01.25.2012     06:54 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I recently came across an interesting note and trend on a first half money-maker this season. I identified this team and situation early season, but must admit I did not follow through consistently betting the Eastern Michigan totals after a few cashes early season. Many college basketball bettors do not wager on first half lines, but come the second half, bettors often fire away at the adjusted halftime lines. Here’s another situation and streak that may get you to dig deeper into totals, pace ratings and the many ways and opportunities in betting and beating college basketball.

The Eastern Michigan Eagles have produced a remarkable over/under run on first half wagering this season; now 15-0 UNDER the total following last night’s game at Buffalo. What’s interesting is that only one of the 15 lined games had a first half total of 60 or more points, and 9 of the 15 games had a posted total of 122 points or less.  The Eagles record is 9-11 this season but 4-2 in the Western Division of the MAC.

Of the 338 college basketball teams, Eastern Michigan ranks 337th in adjusted tempo and 333rd in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Eagles average Read more


Tags: College Basketball Eastern Michigan Eagles __




NBA Handicapping: Cleveland hoping to turn things around at Miami

01.24.2012     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland at Miami -12.5 O/U 202

The fact the Cleveland has six wins at this point in the season has to be considered a fairly impressive accomplishment. But their last two games looked a lot like last year with a 39-point home loss to the Derrick Rose-less Chicago Bulls and a 27-point road loss to Atlanta. Cleveland has had two days to emotionally recover and is eager for a bounce back performance tonight in Miami.


"We just lost two games by a substantial margin, so our focus is getting back to playing the type of basketball we were playing to start the season," said Gibson, who missed Saturday's game at Atlanta after a death in his extended family. "It's definitely a big game for us -- because of what's happened the last two games. We really want to go out and play well."

"We plan to get it back on track," Gibson said. Read more



Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Miami Heat



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 16, 2014 06:27 AM.