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October

21

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Top 10 tips for gambling on the 2012 NCAA Tournament

03.13.2012     06:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When March Madness rolls around, no one is immune to the itch to get in on the action, whether it’s laying down a bet or simply competing in an office pool. I’ll share my Top 10 NCAA Tournament gambling strategies in this article. There are no surprises here – veteran bettors know this stuff already, but it never hurts to think about these concepts again before the Big Dance begins.

1) Fade the teams that looked great last weekend
There’s no such thing as carrying over momentum from conference tournament weekend to the Big Dance. Of the Top 16 teams in the Big Dance – the top four teams from each region – only four of them (Michigan State, Louisville, Missouri and Florida State) won their conference tournaments.

Many of the top contenders for the national title dropped out early; focusing on this coming weekend as opposed to last weekend. The teams that went all out to secure a bid or win their conference title but came up short, like Cincinnati, Baylor and San Diego State , tend to be particularly strong on the fade list.

2) Winning your office pool requires luck
When Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Iona Gaels at BYU Cougars

03.12.2012     12:45 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament West Regional
Iona vs. BYU -2 O/U 161.5
Tuesday, 6 pm PT - Dayton, Ohio
Rob Veno Power Rating: BYU -1.5


Betting Take: Two teams that just slipped into the postseason square off in the 14th seed play-in game. The winner takes on no. 3 seed Marquette. Against St. Mary's, Loyola Marymount and Gonzaga, BYU went just 2-5 SU with two of those losses coming at the once vaunted Marriott Center. Defensively, the Cougs' numbers look decent but they had a lot difficulty defending pretty much any team with an above average offense. They'll certainly see that against Iona who during the preseason hung 90 and 89 on Purdue and Maryland respectively. Like BYU, the Gaels often win by outscoring the opposition. Note that against the top two defenses in the MAAC, Fairfield and Manhattan, Iona went 1-3 ATS. Also of note, Iona was 1-3 O/U in games lines 160 or above. BYU didn't play a game lined over 160 and was 4-6 O/U in games line 150 or above. A lot of things outside of just pace need to go right in order to top 161 points in a college basketball game.

Lock in full College Basketball Tournament coverage from the Read more


Tags: College Basketball Iona Gaels BYU Cougars




Conference Tournament Against the Spread Results as of 3-9-2012

03.09.2012     06:53 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

These are the pointspread and totals records for each of the conference tournament that are still in play:

AMERICA EAST
ATS RESULTS
Favorite / Underdog - 2-5-0
Over / Under - 3-4-0

ACC
ATS RESULTS
Favorite / Underdog - 3-1-0
Over / Under - 3-1-0

A-10
ATS RESULTS
Favorite / Underdog - 4-0-0
Over / Under - 4-0-0

BIG EAST
ATS RESULTS
Favorite / Underdog - 9-3-0
Over / Under - 4-8-0

BIG Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno




Big Ten Gambling Notes: Will Michigan State, Izzo take conference tourney seriously?

03.09.2012     06:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa vs. Michigan State -11

Since winning the Big Ten Tournament and National Championship back in 2000, Michigan State has been notorious for not putting much effort in these conference tourneys. Despite being one of, if not the best program in the league over the last decade plus, Tom Izzo's teams are an uninspired 9-11 SU and 8-12 ATS with only one trip to the finals and zero titles. Izzo claims this year is different and that the Spartans do care about the Big Ten Tournament. This coming from a man who routinely says his teams will play up-tempo and then proceeds to go out and play five straight games under the total.


"You gotta be careful what you say around here because people think I think the Big Ten tournament is one-and-done time," he said. Read more



Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes




Big XII Tournament Betting Free Play: Texas Longhorns vs. Iowa State Cyclones

03.08.2012     10:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas vs. Iowa State +1.5 O/U 138
Recommendation: Iowa State


The betting markets are pricing this like it’s a ‘must win’ game for Texas for their NCAA Tournament at-large chances, which it is. That being said, the reason that it’s a ‘must win’ game for the Longhorns is because they haven’t been a particularly good team this year, and they enter the Big XII tourney on a nasty late season slide.  Just because Texas needs this win doesn’t mean they’re going to get it!

Texas closed out the regular season on a 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS slide. One of those wins came in overtime against hapless Texas Tech, not exactly a confidence inspiring victory. The other win came in come-from-behind fashion at home against slumping Oklahoma, another mediocre result. The Longhorns only pointspread cover during this span came in a ten point loss as 12 point underdogs against Kansas. Rick Barnes has an extremely young team, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Texas Longhorns Iowa State Cyclones Teddy Covers




Big Ten Tournament Gambling Preview

03.08.2012     06:08 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Favorite – Ohio State – The Big Ten conference featured a three-way tie for the regular season title with Ohio State, Michigan State and Michigan all at 13-5. However, after the Buckeyes took care of business in East Lansing last week they are priced as small favorites to cut down the nets in Indianapolis on Sunday. A team like Michigan could very well be satisfied with its regular season first place finish, while looking instead to peak for the Big Dance. And under Tom Izzo, Michigan State is notorious for not putting much emphasis on this tournament. As for the Buckeyes, they are led by All-American Jered Sullinger (16.9 ppg), Aaron Craft and William Buford. The Buckeyes fought immaturity at times this season, but still finished with a strong 25-6 record. Ohio State perhaps peaked too early in 2011 (34-3, lost in the Sweet Sixteen) but after some struggles in February, the tournament could serve as a springboard to the Big Dance.

Darkhorse – Northwestern – The Wildcats enter the Big Ten tournament hoping to make their first-ever trip to the NCAA Tournament. With an 18-12 overall record the Wildcats are firmly on Read more


Tags: College Basketball Erin Rynning




PAC-12 Tournament Gambling Preview

03.07.2012     12:56 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Of all the major conference tournaments in play this week, the PAC-12 has the weakest field and the least fan support.  It’s been a second consecutive down year for the PAC-12.  Last year, the league sent only three teams to the Big Dance, all seeded #5 or higher.  This year, the at-large bid situation is even worse.  The PAC-12 doesn’t have a single team that is comfortably in the Big Dance, with Cal, Oregon and Washington still needing wins to secure potential bids.  So while the Staples Center will be half empty for most of the weekend, in a league without a clear favorite to win the title, the PAC-12’s automatic bid from winning the conference championship title just might be the only bid this league gets in 2012.

The odds clearly show how deep this field is, and how weak the top teams truly are.   Cal and Washington are the two favorites, despite both teams coming up short in their ‘must win’ games for the conference title last weekend.  The Bears lost back-to-back games at Colorado and Stanford, negating their chance to win the regular season title.  Meanwhile, the Huskies lost at UCLA, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Tips: Things to look for in second half wagers

03.07.2012     06:36 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

Wanted to point out this halftime box score (see below) of the Eastern Washington-Montana game. Everyone has their own philosophies for making halftime bets but I thought I'd share a few of my own as far as what I look for. For starters, I leaned Eastern Washington +10.5 as Montana's home court, while tough, is often inflated. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to watch the game – something I usually like to do when betting halftimes. But in this instance, I was very familiar with both sides and was able to track the contest using live stats.

copy_montana_halftime.JPG

In the first half, Montana obviously couldn't shoot straight while Eastern Washington was at 50%. This is already out of the norm as Montana defends and EWU typically does not. And this late in the season, you are what you are, especially on defense. So with five minutes to play, Eastern took an 11-point lead. It was a big moment because down 10 or more at half likely keeps me off of any 2nd half play with Montana. But the Grizzlies knocked down a shot, and a few more, and went into the break only down 5 – a nice swing in momentum which is always nice to have. But while the margin was more Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting: Western Kentucky battles North Texas for Sun Belt crown

03.06.2012     06:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Western Kentucky vs. North Texas

The No. 5 seed will take on the No. 7 seed in tonight's Sun Belt Conference Championship. North Texas defeated Arkansas State while Western Kentucky pulled off another upset with a victory over No. 3 Denver. The once proud Western Kentucky program hit near rock bottom earlier in the year and went so far as to fire head coach Ken McDonald after a 5-11 start. Ray Harper took over but the losing continued. The Hilltoppers were at one point 6-15 overall and 2-6 in Sun Belt play. But things started to turn around after a few wins, including a big victory over Middle Tennessee in the season finale. From there, three straight coin-flip wins in the conference tournament and they find themselves Read more


Tags: College Basketball Western Kentucky Hilltoppers North Texas Mean Green




Big East Conference Tournament Gambling Preview

03.05.2012     12:49 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Big East Conference Tournament
Madison Square Garden / New York, NY / Host: St. John’s


Favorite - #1 Syracuse
The Orange have been the class of the league from start to finish. On a neutral court, my power ratings have them three points better than the next closest Big East team (Marquette) which gives them the third highest differential of the six BCS conferences. They’re going to be difficult to beat in this tournament because of their ability to adapt to any style. They’re not a great half court offensive team but they’re good enough and their 2-3 zone defense is so long and active that it can win games for them. In a transition style they’re as fast and efficient as any conference team including Marquette. The best way to defeat them is to force them into playing half court offense, allow just one shot and then rebound and play aggressive transition offense. It’s easier said and very difficult to do, but slowing them down and getting easy baskets before their defense can set up is necessary. All that said, and as good as Syracuse is, they do enter this tournament on a poor 4-8 ATS run Read more


Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange Marquette Golden Eagles UConn Huskies Georgetown Hoyas Rob Veno



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