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College Football ATS Analysis: MTSU hasn't won or covered a game since October 2011

09.05.2012     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee State -8.5 O/U 48

Most bettors know that the difference between lower-tier FBS and upper-tier FCS isn't much. So Middle Tennessee’s loss to McNeese State shouldn't come as a shock (MTSU closed -7.5). But what concerns us in the state of MTSU's program. In 2009, the Blue Raiders won 10 games and in 2010, they reached the postseason. Last year, they started 2-4 but were very competitive with three-point losses to Purdue, Troy and Western Kentucky. But since defeating Florida Atlantic 38-14 back in late October, the wheels have completely fallen off. In their last seven games, MSTU is 0-7 SU/ATS and outscored by a whopping 273-99 margin. Six of those seven foes were from the Sun Belt with the other being McNeese. This week's opponent, FAU, provides a good opportunity to stop the Read more



Tags: College Football Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Florida Atlantic Owls Sun Belt




Bettors react to Scheelhaase injury, Arizona State now a 3-point home fav

09.05.2012     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Illinois at Arizona State -3 O/U 49

According to Sports Options, Illinois quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase (ankle) is probable for Saturday's game at Arizona State but one report – and the betting markets – feel that he may not play.


“Nathan did not take reps today, but he was out there on the field working on rehabbing and getting the ankle prepared. He was much better today.”



The Sun Devils opened -2 at CRIS but early action came in on the Illini as they were bet up to -1. Then a flood of money came in on ASU with the current line -3 and headed to -3.5.

Scheelhaase led Illinois in rushing attempts (191) and yards (624) last season.




Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12




NFL Betting News and Notes - Preseason Recap

09.04.2012     03:09 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to the debut of my weekly column NFL Betting News & Notes. Each week I will be digging for and sharing misleading box score stats as well as pointing out things only realized by watching the games. With Week 1 set to kickoff starting Wednesday, let's look back at some noteworthy items from the preseason.

Last week...

Buffalo’s starting offense led by quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick struggled quite bit during the preseason. So does last week's 38-32 final score against Detroit indicate signs of progress? My answer is no. They were only in the game for one possession and most of the points came from the Bills’ backups including a 100-yard kickoff return by Marcus Easley. The Bills had 221 passing yards but Fitzpatrick accounted for only 39 of those yards. Like I said, that game was in my opinion not an indicator that everything is OK in Buffalo.

Money came pouring in on St. Louis prior to its final preseason game against the Ravens. The Rams opened as a pick ‘em and went to as high as -5.5 by kickoff. That sharp money proved to be the right side as the Rams ended their preseason with a 31-17 spread covering win. So does that Read more



Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




College Football Gambling: Odds indicate little to no gap between Iowa-Iowa State

09.04.2012     08:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa State at Iowa -3.5 O/U 46

Interesting handicap for this weekend's Cy-Hawk Series between Iowa State and Iowa. Last Saturday, the Cyclones looked strong in their spread covering win over Tulsa while Iowa barely slipped past Northern Illinois in Chicago. The Hawkeyes have been double-digit home favorites four straight times in the series. The Cyclones however have been the best bet, covering seven of the last 10 including last year's 44-41 overtime win in Ames.


"We had a tough time," Ferentz said. "We had a tough time protecting at times, and we certainly had a tough time getting open. It just didn't seem like we were in great sync throughout the game."

 

Iowa-Iowa State Betting Results 2002-11
DATE
AWAY/HOME
LINE
O/U
2011
IOWA 41, ISU 44 OT
Iowa State +6.5
Over 44
2010
ISU 7, IOWA 35
Iowa -12
Under 45.5
2009
IOWA 35, ISU 3
Iowa -6.5
Under 47.5
2008
ISU 5, IOWA 17
Iowa State +13
Under 47.5
2007
IOWA 13, ISU 15
Iowa State +17.5
Under 43
2006
ISU 17, IOWA 27
Iowa State +14
Under 48
2005
IOWA 3, ISU 23
Iowa State +9.5
Under 46
2004
ISU 10 , IOWA 17
Iowa State +20.5
N/L
2003
IOWA 40, ISU 21
Iowa -5.5
Over 51.5
2002
ISU 36, IOWA 31
Iowa State +3
Over 54






Tags: College Football Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten Iowa State Cyclones Big XII




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Recapping College Football Week 1

09.03.2012     06:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
As I Tweeted (@teddy_covers) this past Sunday, it’s all NFL from here on out for the rest of 2012 – the time for leisurely Sunday’s has come and gone. With my writing focus turning to the NFL as well, I thought this week’s column should be about something else. And with the opening weekend of college football in the books, I figured a random college football observations column made perfect sense at this juncture. So here goes!

There’s an old sports betting adage about not overreacting to the results of a single game. In the middle of the season, I agree 100% – after a team’s mo. is clearly defined. But in Week 1, I think it’s just as important not to underreact either!

When Houston loses at home 30-13 to Texas State as 34.5-point favorites, that’s a meaningful result. It’s meaningful when Oklahoma can’t move the football for extended stretches against UTEP, punting eight times on 13 drives. It’s meaningful when San Jose State outscores Stanford 17-6 after the first quarter and outgains the Cardinal for the full 60 Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Stock Watch: Beckman's arrival signals uptick for Illinois

08.31.2012     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buy the Illinois Fighting Illini – What a crazy season for the Illini in 2011 with a 6-0 start, followed by 0-6 run, and then a bowl win over UCLA.  The season was wacky enough that the school cut ties with the even wackier Ron Zook.  Zook proved time and time again that getting talent to Illinois wasn’t a problem. It was developing that talent and teaching them simple fundamentals that proved too difficult.  Enter new head coach Tim Beckman, who despite the crazy offensive numbers from Toledo last season, comes in with a defensive pedigree.  The cupboard is far from bare in Champaign, and Beckman has plenty of talent to work with.  The Illini return a fair amount of starters including quarterback Nate Scheelhaase who has the potential to be the best signal caller in the Big Ten. Scheelhaase has started 26 straight games and the known gym rat can move forward with a more structured program.  Scheelhaase will form a battery with All-Big Ten center Graham Picnic and enable the Illini to hit the ground running with their new offense.  As mentioned, Beckman cut his teeth on the defensive side of the football, Read more



Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Stock Watch: Beware of inflated prices with Wisconsin

08.31.2012     11:47 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sell the Wisconsin Badgers – The Badgers have enjoyed storybook seasons the last two years with back-to-back Rose Bowl berths.  Yes, 2012 set’s up as another banner year but this squad will without question be inflated in the betting markets.  It would be near impossible this season for the Badgers to match their offensive production from the previous two seasons.  Keep in mind 2010 and 2011 were record breaking years, as they averaged an amazing 44.1 and 41.5 points per game.  This year, they’ll need to replace six offensive starters including all-world quarterback Russell Wilson.  With Wilson winning the starting quarterback job for the Seattle Seahawks as a rookie it should be a telltale sign of his value.  In addition, the Badgers also lost respected offensive coordinator Paul Chryst who took the head coaching job at Pittsburgh.  Yes, the Badgers will feature running back Montee Ball and will have Maryland transfer Danny O’Brien as their quarterback, but the scoring could easily be down 10+ points per contest.  Defensively, the Badgers will be sound with a sturdy front seven; however secondary Read more



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers vs. NC State Wolfpack

08.31.2012     11:37 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee vs. NC State
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
NC State
Friday, 4:30 pm PT @ Atlanta - ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
Tennessee -2.5 O/U 50
CRIS Current: Tennessee -3 (-115) O/U 52.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: NC State PK

Tennessee fans are looking for some progress in year three of the Derek Dooley era and with 18 starters back from a 5-7 team, they should get their wish. Whether the Vols win enough games to keep Dooley off the hot seat remains to be seen, however. Tennessee does have a chance to go to a nice bowl game if they can stay healthy, most notably quarterback Tyler Bray who is primed for a big showing. In just 12 starts spanning two seasons, Bray has thrown 35 TDs and 16 INTs. A full season will have him near 30 TD passes and 3,000 yards and that should result in eight or nine wins for this team. Justin Hunter, who returns from injury, is poised to be the recipient of most of Bray’s Read more



Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC NC State Wolfpack ACC Brent Crow




Sports Betting Podcast 8-31-2012 with Brent Crow, Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa

08.31.2012     10:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brent Crow, Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa.  All three cappers broke down this weekend's College Football card from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - College Football 

Erin Rynning - College Football Big Ten

Alf Musketa - College Football, Tennis and PGA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Brent Crow Erin Rynning Alf Musketa




College Football Betting: Added game previews by Handicapper Rob Veno

08.30.2012     02:16 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Towson at Kent State -7 - Lot of respect for Towson who unexpectedly took the CAA by storm last year. Kent State has a strong defense and feels it’s a bit better offensively this season but still, don't see a real talent gap here. Towson's balanced and explosive offense with eight of its pieces back plus more experienced defense makes them a threat. Power Ratings made this a pick-em. Recommendation: Took a small piece of Towson +7

Southeast Missouri State at Central Michigan -26 - No real interest here but do think that CMU will rise up and become competitive again in MAC this year behind QB Radcliff and receiving weapons (bumped them +2.5 in my PR this year). SEMO is not OVC trash and they have Ohio U. sophomore transfer Kyle Snyder at QB so his knowledge of Chippewas will help in game prep. They are run heavy and decent at it so if they have success, clock grinding makes +26 look large. Think their defense may get toasted through the air early and often though. Recommendation: None

Northern Colorado at Utah -42 - Northern really optimistic about this season based on more Read more



Tags: College Football Rob Veno



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 29, 2015 07:03 PM.