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Handicapping College Football Bowl Games: A look at motivation

12.09.2011     12:40 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Taking a look at the motivational factors for each matchup this college football bowl season. In most cases, the chance to play another game is all these kids and coaches need, but every postseason we see plenty of teams fail to show up.

Temple vs. Wyoming - Both sides should be excited to be in the postseason. The Cowboys are looking to cap off a big turnaround (3-9 to 8-4) while Temple searches for a bowl victory after losing last year to UCLA – the program’s first postseason since 1979.

Utah State vs. Ohio - The Aggies haven't been in the postseason since 1997 so you know they are excited. Ohio meanwhile is 0-3 SU in bowl games under Frank Solich and blew a 20-point second half lead to Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship.

UL-Lafayette vs. San Diego State - Complete motivational mismatch. The Ragin Cajuns' last postseason appearance was 1970 in the Grantland Rice Bowl. They also get to play in their home state. San Diego State meanwhile gets shipped east to face a Sun Belt team? As a favorite no less.

Florida International vs. Marshall - Postseason Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Trends: Taking a look at Over and Under teams

12.08.2011     07:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A quick glance at teams that have trended over and under the total thus far and whether or not it will continue.

UNDER TEAMS

Virginia (1-5 O/U) - After being lined 123 against TCU and the game landing 114 back in mid-November, UVA's game have routinely been in the 113-118 price range. The capabilities of opposing offenses will improve once ACC play starts but the Cavaliers play great defense and are more than comfortable playing games with 60 possessions or fewer.

Kansas (1-6 O/U) - Bill Self noted earlier this week that the Jayhawks are going to be forced to win a lot of "ugly games" due to a drop-off in offensive talent. They went flying over the total last time out against Long Beach (145.5, 88-80 final) but the fact remains that KU is relying more on defense and no longer has as much scoring punch.

UConn (1-4 O/U) - The Huskies only "over" came in overtime against Florida State. There would have been some more overs had the games been lined. This small trend seems to be random as UConn is playing at a fairly normal pace and looking to run when given Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting News: Fourteen teams remain undefeated

12.08.2011     07:03 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s early December and there are 14 college basketball teams that remain undefeated and 11 of those teams are ranked in the top 25. I’ve posted some weekly CBB Poll thoughts noting how some voters are fairly clueless about ranking teams. But since we’re talking about big time college sports (football and basketball) and big money is involved, it’s not surprising to see some voters not in tune (informed, incompetent) when it comes to watching the games, researching teams and doing their homework. That’s why rankings are mostly irrelevant, and certainly not of much importance when it comes to handicapping and betting the games. Perhaps some voters like to create controversy and conflict to generate comments, which creates more viewers, sales and money for the people that pay them; the newspapers and networks. That’s another story for another day, but here are some thoughts on undefeated teams.

College basketball has not seen a team go undefeated since Bobby Knight's Indiana Hoosiers went 32-0 in 1975-76. The closest we have seen since then was a St. Joseph's team that went 27-0 in the 2003-04 season before losing to Xavier in the Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




College Basketball Gambling Preview: Temple Owls at Toledo Rockets

12.07.2011     02:20 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Temple at Toledo +11.5 O/U 139
Recommendation: Toledo


Toledo (6-1) is much improved this year following back-to-back 4-28 seasons including just one win in the MAC both seasons. As such, they get little notice and as we know the public has a tough time betting on bad teams. However, these are the type of teams that can beat the bookmaker more consistently as perception does not always meet reality. Toledo has an impact freshman point guard in Julius Brown averaging 14 ppg and nearly 5 assists per contest. Guard Dominique Buckley is a first year Toledo transfer averaging 13 ppg and hitting 50% FG overall and from the arch. A pair of players that transferred from Green Bay completes the transformation as starters with forward Matt Smith scoring 11 ppg and No. 2 in rebounds while swingman Rian Pearson leads the Rockets in scoring (17ppg) and rebounding (7). Smith (66%) and Pearson (56%) are both solid shooters on the inside thus far. The biggest improvement for Read more


Tags: College Basketball Toledo Rockets Temple Owls __




NFL Handicapping: Offensive performances and run game success Week 13

12.07.2011     12:15 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize the numbers and situations for success. For over a decade, Jay has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing pointspread winners. Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in NFL handicapping and you can follow his articles and insight in the Sportsmemo daily blog and on Twitter: @FairwayJay

The top Week 13 offensive performances in victory included the Packers (449 yards, 5.8 yards per play), Ravens (448, 5.7), Chargers (443, 8.0), Saints (438, 7.2), 49ers (389, 6.2), Broncos (386, 6.9) and Panthers (385, 6.1). Poor offensive performances in defeat included the Rams (157, 3.2), Bears (181, 3.3), Bengals (232, 4.2) and Browns 233, 4.2).  

Teams that rushed for 150 or more yards went 7-0 SU/ATS. Teams that rush for at least 150 yards and outrush their opponent are covering the point spread 79% of the time, while teams that rush for 175 yards or more are 38-5 Read more


Tags: NFL __




Fairway Jay continues to produce big college basketball profits

12.07.2011     06:52 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We cashed our top-rated 20* Big Drive Tuesday night; an easy over the total (142) winner as Kansas held off Long Beach State, 88-80. This total was bet up during the day to 145.5 and we were in early on not only the biggest total move of the day, but also the total that landed the furthest from the opening line; 26 points. We also cashed a winner on Long Beach State (+13.5) as part of a 4-1 night. That runs our December college basketball record to 13-2 and an overall season mark above 60%.

I’ve included the analysis of our totals selection below that was provided to regular clients and Fairway followers looking to cash in on our recent birdie binge and overall season of profit. What I did not mention in my analysis was that both Kansas and Long Beach State were hitting over 52% of their two-point shots entering the contest. Also note that sharp handicappers and bettors knew that a number of Kansas players were battling the flu and illness the past week, yet for some reason Kansas took money and we were correctly on the right side as Long Beach State played as projected against another top-rated team.

We’ll continue to ‘push the pace’ in Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




Handicapper Fairway Jay: Inside the NFL Betting Numbers Week 13

12.06.2011     08:16 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize the numbers and situations for success. For over a decade, Jay has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing point spread winners. Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in NFL handicapping and you can follow his articles and insight in the Sportsmemo daily blog and on Twitter: @FairwayJay

Week 13 NFL favorites went 10-6 SU and 8-8 against the spread. For the season, betting favorites are 92-93-7 ATS. Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. I graded the Carolina Panthers as a betting favorite in Week 13 after the line move from small underdog to 1-point favorite with the change at quarterback for Tampa Bay. Four division games in Week 13 and division underdogs went 0-4 SU/ATS. Home underdogs went 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS, and for the season home Read more


Tags: NFL __




NCAAF Betting Notes: Penn State none too pleased about Ticket City berth

12.05.2011     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Penn State vs. Houston

Penn State apparently isn't too happy with its invitation to the Ticket City Bowl to face Houston (see: player's only meeting Sunday). A few Nittany Lions took to Twitter to voice their frustration. PSU finished 9-3 which was good for the second-best record (tied) in the Big Ten yet they were passed over by Iowa, Ohio State and Northwestern.


Freshman cornerback Adrian Amos: "Oh, I guess we didn't go 9-3."

Junior wide receiver Justin Brown: "Might as well play against concord high PSU vs. CHS."





Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten Houston Cougars C-USA




Handicapper Teddy Covers: Week 13 NFC Betting News and Notes

12.05.2011     06:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC News and Notes from Week 13.

Atlanta
Matt Ryan is throwing picks this year, something that didn't happen very often in the Falcons 13-3 season last year. Ryan opened up this game with a three-and-out, then interceptions on his next two drives. He only threw nine INT's all season in 2010 but he’s already thrown a dozen this year, with a full quarter of the season remaining.

This passing game simply isn't potent right now. Roddy White has been battling injuries all year, lacking the explosive burst that was such a big part of his game in previous seasons. Julio Jones, too, has been unable to stay healthy. Harry Douglas has only three touchdown catches in three years with the team, never living up to expectations. Tony Gonzalez doesn't seem to have much left in the tank at this late stage of his career. We saw drops, Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Week 13 Betting Angles and Trends

12.04.2011     08:15 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Six teams play this week with extra rest and preparation coming off Thanksgiving Day games. Situations, trends and angles show that road favorites off those Thanksgiving Day games often play in higher scoring games. This situation supports an over the total trend that hits just over 70% with a sample size of nearly 50 games; applies to Baltimore (-6.5/38) at Cleveland, Dallas (-4/45.5) at Arizona and Green Bay (-6.5/52) at NY Giants. Be sure to check the weather in Cleveland (50 degrees, mild winds, 20% precipitation) and East Rutherford, NJ where the Packers try to remain undefeated.

The winless Colts (0-11) were pulled from the Sunday Night feature game. That saves them more embarrassment for now. Indianapolis cost us a 4-0 Sunday last week when they failed to punch in a touchdown from the 2-yard line late. With just two pointspread covers this season, the Colts are burying their betting backers. Knowing the public can’t stand betting on bad teams, less harm has probably been felt. Let’s see if the public has the balls to support them this week. The Colts have fit numerous positive technical situations the past four weeks, and now find themselves in another Read more


Tags: NFL __



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 18, 2014 06:09 AM.