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December

21

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Longshot money provides value on true contenders for Kentucky Derby

05.03.2012     06:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Because of the recent success of longshots in the Kentucky Derby (see: Mine that Bird's 50-1 win in 2009), casual bettors haven't been shy about trying to find the next big underdog. But for more serious players, the influx of longshot money – which is expected again this year – has provided extra value among the contenders. It also shortens the odds of horses than have virtually no shot yet come Saturday, they’ll be priced at less than 40-1.


The dumb money phenomenon does not show up nearly as much in the exotic pools because novice horseplayers tend to stay away from wagers like the exacta and trifecta. The win and even place and show pools are where all the value is.

So sit back and enjoy the race on Saturday, and bet to win on the horses that make sense. You may not cash, but at least you will have made a smart wager.











Mayweather denies Clippers bet but wanted to get down on Celtics-Hawks second half

05.02.2012     06:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Never a dull moment in the life of Floyd Mayweather. This time, rumors are circulating that Mayweather had $1.8 million spread out over seven Las Vegas sportsbooks on the Clippers +6 – the game they trailed by as much as 27 and won outright. But in Tuesday's press conference for his weekend bout with Miguel Cotto, the often times braggadocios Mayweather said the big bet claims were false. Later in the interview however, and true to form, he did tell reporters he wanted to bet the second half of the Celtics-Hawks game. Mayweather is a -700 favorite over Cotto for Saturday. 


"I've won a lot of money on games, I've lost a good piece of money on games," Mayweather told MLive.com's David Mayo in March. "But at the end of the day, some of the games that they're talking about are rumors they put out there, that are false. In sports, you win and you lose, but the main thing is you have to win more than you Read more








NBA Playoff Gambling: Recapping a wild weekend

04.30.2012     11:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NBA regular season was rather lackluster. TV ratings were mediocre at best and there was a legitimate absence of compelling story lines to draw casual fans into the fray. And frankly, the condensed, lockout shortened season left a lot to be desired from a visual perspective – there was no shortage of ugly basketball games between Christmas and the last week of April.

But the opening weekend of the playoffs was an absolute masterpiece of compelling story lines and intense basketball. All eight Game 1’s gave us something to think about, write about and consider as playoff action heats up this week.

The weekend started with a blowout as Chicago thrashed Philly, leading by 20 in the fourth quarter before a late Sixers rally cut the final margin of victory to 12. The Bulls simply overwhelmed the 76ers for most of the game, dominating the low post defensively while breaking down Philadelphia’s defense, creating high percentage shot attempts on the other end of the floor. But the entire complexion of the series – and the playoffs as a whole – changed rather dramatically late in the fourth when Chicago’s star point guard Derrick Read more


Tags: NBA Teddy Covers




NFL Draft Prop Bets for the First Round

04.25.2012     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly
The 2012 NFL Draft starts tomorrow and The Greek posted a few prop bets for the first round.

1st Round Offensive Players
Over 15 +100
Under 15 -130

1st Round Defensive Players
Over 17 -150
Under 17 +120

1st Round ACC Players
Over 3.5 +125
Under 3.5 -155

1st Round Big XII Players
Over 3.5 +145
Under 3.5 -175

1st Round Big Ten Players
Over 3 +200
Under 3 -240

1st Round PAC-12 Players
Over 7 +200
Under 7 -240

1st Round SEC Players
Over 11 +140
Under 11 -170



Tags: NFL




MLB Betting News: Highly touted Parker makes debut for Oakland

04.25.2012     06:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago (Sale) -135 at Oakland (Parker) O/U 7.5

Quick breakdown of Oakland starter Jarrod Parker who came over in the Trevor Cahill deal. Parker was a former first round pick back in 2007 and had Tommy John surgery in 2010. He went 1-0 with a 2.18 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 20.3 innings for Triple-A Sacramento.


Parker has an accomplished repertoire of pitches, including a four-seam fastball in the mid 90s, and a slider that often makes batters look foolish. He made his big league debut last September and shut down the Dodgers, allowing no runs, four hits and a walk in 5 2/3 innings, though he wasn't involved in the decision.






Tags: MLB Oakland A's Chicago White Sox




NBA Betting News: New York Knicks still jockeying for playoff position

04.25.2012     06:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Clippers at New York -3.5 O/U 191.5

The Knicks are in the playoffs but who they'll face in the first round has yet to be determined.


The Knicks own the tiebreaker against both the Magic and 76ers. For the sixth seed, the Knicks will get it only if they go 2-0 and the Magic go 0-2. Assuming the Magic go at least 1-1, the Knicks are going for the No. 7 seed and they’ll get that if they go 2-0 no matter what the 76ers do, 1-1 if the 76ers go no better than 1-1 and even 0-2 if the 76ers go 0-2 as well.

Thus, Woodson said the Knicks were prepping for the Heat, Bulls and Pacers “in that order.”

“We had a big meeting [yesterday] morning about that,” he said. “We’ll continue to prep and get everything in place depending on who we draw to Read more



Tags: NBA New York Knicks Los Angeles Clippers




NCAA Football Gambling: Notre Dame has four QBs to choose from

04.20.2012     01:51 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We normally wait until about mid-July to post the obligatory Notre Dame Is Once Again Overrated blog. This one fails to get into much detail as the why that will occur again (it will), but does touch on how poor the quarterback play was last year and how head coach Brian Kelly must choose between four candidates – we're willing to bet a large sum of money at least three of the four start at some point. Welcome to the world of Just Barely Better Than Big Ten Average football.



Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish




MLB Gambling Notes: Target Field wind remains big obstacle for hitters

04.18.2012     12:20 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
TwinCities.com did an extensive article on the impact Minnesota's Target Field has had on offenses due in large part to wind patterns. Nothing we as bettors weren't already aware of but still well worth the read.


- Target Field allowed the third-fewest home runs per game in the American League in 2010 and 2011, according to ESPN's Home Run Tracker.

-It is the fourth-toughest park in the AL for hitters, according to ESPN's Park Factors, which calculates how each ballpark plays in comparison to the league average.

"When it's warm, and the ball wants to carry, the winds are fighting that, and they're blowing through that gap in right," Huttner said. "It boils down to the way the park is laid out. The wind and weather is almost always working against the ball traveling out of Target Field."

"It's definitely frustrating as a left-handed hitter," Mauer said. "I'd be lying if I told you there aren't times at the plate where you're like, 'Oh, I've got to maybe pull a ball,' Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins




NBA Betting Notes and Quotes 4-6-2012

04.16.2012     01:46 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s been a few weeks since I’ve offered some notes and quotes from around the NBA.  The end of this hurried and abbreviated regular season is looming – the playoffs start next weekend.  It’s time for a 1500 word tour around the league in an effort to identify some “bet-on” and “bet-against” teams between now and the beginning of the postseason.

The Minnesota Timberwolves enter the stretch run of the season on their longest losing streak since their 15 game skid to close out last year.  Leading scorer and rebounder Kevin Love has no current timetable to return from his lingering concussion.  Point guard Ricky Rubio has been out for months, and his replacement, Luke Ridnour, is dealing with a sprained right ankle that has caused him to miss their last six defeats.

Center Nikola Pekovic made it very clear what Minnesota’s biggest issue is right now: “We need some other players to step up.”  But even with 20+ point efforts from JJ Barea, Michael Beasley and Anthony Randolph last Saturday against Oklahoma City, the T-wolves couldn’t snap their losing Read more


Tags: NBA Teddy Covers




Sunday MLB Free Betting Pick: Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox

04.15.2012     07:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit (Porcello) at -Chicago- (Sale) -105 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Chicago


I'm buying Chicago lefty Chris Sale, especially early in the season when fatigue isn't an issue and teams are getting their first extended look at him. Sale was one of the better middle relievers in the American League last season and is starting to develop some solid off-speed offerings. He looked sharp in his first start, allowing one earned run in 6.2 innings (and a modest 100 pitches). I enjoy watching Detroit's Rick Porcello but he's never going to be a front-of-the-rotation arm. He generally throws strikes and mixes things well, but without big time velocity or an outpitch, he has trouble going entire games without getting into trouble. The White Sox are obviously familiar with Porcello having seen him seven times (6.91 ERA). Let's also not forget that the White Sox are playing some good baseball having won four straight with a chance for the three-game sweep against the Tigers. I think it happens.




Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Detroit Tigers Andrew Lange



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