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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Early betting notes on college and pro football

08.06.2012     11:15 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Betting on the upcoming football season during the summer months is a long, drawn out process. The NFL lines begin the process beginning with odds posted just days after the Super Bowl for the next team to win it all.

Then come Week 1 NFL pointspreads and totals, NFL season Over/Under wins, NFL lines for Games of the Year and from the brave bookmakers at Cantor Gaming, every single game on the board for the entire season. Last to market come the NFL season long proposition wagers and Week 1 preseason lines.

The process in college football takes a bit longer; no surprise in that regard with 124 teams on the regular betting board compared to only 32 NFL teams. The process begins, like in the NFL, with the future book – odds to win it all – that come out soon after the BCS Championship Game has been played.

College football Game of the Year pointspreads and Over/Under win totals come next. Last, but not least, we see those Week 1 lines come out – the lines that signify that yes, summer is almost over!

Over the course of the past week, just about every major sportsbook both here in Las Vegas and offshore has posted their Week 1 Read more

Tags: College Football NFL Teddy Covers

Handicapper Teddy Covers talks AFC West betting on the Sportsmemo Podcast

08.06.2012     09:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers and host Andrew Lange discussed the AFC West Division on Monday's Podcast. You can listen here.

2012 AFC West Betting Results and Odds
AFC West
2011 SU W-L
2011 ATS W-L
Season O/U (Pinny)
Division Odds (Pinny)
San Diego
Kansas City

Teddy Covers 2012 NFL Season O/U Wins [61-27 69% Lifetime] $199
Teddy’s NFL Win Total Report is, quite simply, the best in the business, off another moneymaking season in 2011. He’s 61-27 (69%) lifetime with his win total recommendations dating back to 2002, including an outstanding 9-1 (90%) mark with his 20* Big Tickets. This is one report that even professional bettors can’t do without! Sign up today for full access to the entire package.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: Arizona State Sun Devils Season Over/Under Wins

08.06.2012     07:31 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Arizona State Sun Devils
Recommendation: Under 5 wins (-135 @5Dimes)

The Dennis Erickson era ended with a thud last season as Arizona State’s lofty preseason expectations eroded into a 6-7 record which culminated with an embarrassing 56-24 loss to Boise State in the Las Vegas Bowl. Ex-Tulsa and Pittsburgh head coach Todd Graham takes over the program which is heading into this fall camp much differently than last season. Unlike last August, when droves of college football followers were jumping on the ASU bandwagon and proclaiming them top 25 material, this summer is filled with skeptics and zero talk of a PAC-12 South title.

There are numerous reasons for the mass exodus of national support for this team but there are four in particular that have me feeling the Sun Devils will likely win even less games than last season.

Offensively it seems as if Arizona State is trying to jam the old square peg into a round hole by currently listing sophomore Mike Bercovici as their no. 1 quarterback heading into this campaign. Bercovici is a pure pocket passer in Graham’s run oriented spread option which obviously Read more

Tags: College Football Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12 Rob Veno

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals

08.03.2012     10:47 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Texas (Harrison) -175 at Kansas City (Guthrie) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Over

The Rangers went Over the total by themselves on Wednesday in their wild 11-10 thriller over the Angels.  They did it again last night, pounding out 15 runs against LA.  Big boppers Josh Hamilton, Elvis Andrus and Michael Young have all hit their way out of slumps during this span, putting the highest scoring team in the majors right back on track offensively after their post- All Star break doldrums.

That’s bad news for KC starter Jeremy Guthrie, who has been nothing short of awful this year.  Guthrie is 0-8 with a 7.76 ERA in his last 13 starts, including 0-2, 9.58 ERA since being traded to KC.  With 24 home runs allowed in just 101 innings of work, a hot night in Missouri (heat index of 102) isn’t likely to help him cool off the hottest lineup in the majors.

But KC is hitting these days, pounding out 26 runs in their last four ballgames; at least five in Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Kansas City Royals Teddy Covers

College Football Betting: Minnesota tries to rebuild in Kill's second season

08.02.2012     02:00 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It was a rough year for Minnesota's Jerry Kill. He struggled with his health and the fact that he probably had more talent to work with at Northern Illinois. Kill has a strong record of turning programs around. At Southern Illinois, he was 1-10 and 4-8 his first two seasons and then went on a 50-14 run. At Northern Illinois, he inherited a team off of a 2-10 season and got them to a bowl the very next year. He closed out his tenure in DeKalb with an 11-3 mark and a 27-point bowl victory. That dramatic of a turnaround in the Big Ten won't be as easy but Kill can coach and we expect there to be some improvements.

It looks as if the Golden Gophers are committing to MarQueis Gray at quarterback. He's been around the program for four years and while proving himself as a runner (966 yards) he's never really amounted to much as a passer (50% completition). According to offensive coordinator Matt Limegrover, the team is focused more on improving within the system rather that giving it a complete overhaul. As for Kill, he used the dreaded Read more

Tags: College Football Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten

Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers' AFC South Gambling Preview

08.02.2012     12:43 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Houston Texans
After nearly a decade of trying to get over the hump, the Texans finally broke through last year, going 10-6, winning the AFC South and even winning a playoff game. All that despite an injury plagued season that saw many of their top players go down for extended stretches. 

Houston was a money winner for their supporters, thanks to a 9-5-2 ATS mark.  They outgained their opponents by 0.9 yards per play, tied for second best in the NFL, and finished with a +7 turnover margin.  The Texans were an Under team in 2011, cashing at a 10-6 clip.

But before we get carried away with all of the success, let’s not ignore that the Texans beat up on a very weak slate of opponents.  Houston faced third easiest schedule in the NFL based on my numbers – numbers based on my power rating of their opponents for the week that the game was played.

2012 Issues: Houston has fairly good continuity from last year to this year.  Head coach Gary Kubiak and both coordinators return, most notably defensive coordinator Wade Phillips.  Phillips took a defense that had been ranked dead Read more

Tags: NFL Houston Texans Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: Texas A&M Aggies Season Over/Under Wins

08.02.2012     11:52 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Texas A&M Aggies
Recommendation: Over 7 (+100 @ 5Dimes)

Texas A&M’s inaugural SEC season should be an interesting one. First-year head coach Kevin Sumlin brings his wide open, up-tempo offense into a conference that hasn’t seen much of that style of play. Typically, the better SEC teams have dominated high-octane attacks from other conferences, but there is often a tremendous gap in size and speed. That may not be the case with Texas A&M.

Despite having no experience at the quarterback position, Sumlin has a very good offensive line with four returning starters (95 career starts). That should help whoever earns the starting nod under center. Obviously they’ll be up against it when facing the likes of Alabama and LSU but against the rest of the SEC, the front line should hold up.

Defensively, the Aggies led the nation in sacks last year (51), but overall the unit was average at best. They allowed 30 points or more points six times and had trouble holding leads in close games. They lost two overtime games and also had losses of one, two and four points. That included a 42-38 loss to Arkansas – a Read more

Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies SEC Brent Crow

NCAAF Handicapping: Texas Tech brings in fourth defensive coordinator in four years

08.02.2012     09:12 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are some audio links featuring Texas Tech offensive coordinator Neal Brown and defensive coordinator Art Kaufman. Like most of the Big XIII, scoring points wasn’t difficult for TTU last year (33.8 ppg). Brown does however have some concerns about the running game with a few guys coming back from ACL injuries. The bigger issue for TTU remains defense. Mike Leach's teams put up ridiculous offensive numbers but they had some underrated stop units during his tenure. Under Tommy Tuberville, they haven't been able to stop anyone (30.9 ppg, 456 ypg in 2010; 39.3 ppg, 486 ypg in 2011). As a result, Kaufman’s hire marks the program’s fourth DC in four years. One of Kaufman's biggest concerns heading into the season is lack of depth. Luckily for Kaufman, he’ll have plenty of extra “preseason” practice time with TTU facing Northwestern Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII

NFL Handicapping: Chicago Bears looking forward to post-Martz era

08.02.2012     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
So the Chicago Bears got rid of Mike Martz and the media is having a field day with all of the heavy petting going on between quarterback Jay Cutler and offensive coordinator Mike Tice. Check out these headlines...

Mike Tice's flexibility proves hit with Bears players‎

Tice, Cutler maintain open dialogue‎

Jay Cutler praises Mike Tice for open-mindedness‎

No Martz convinced TE Davis to return‎

Bears' flexible offense gets to work‎

In a comfort zone, Cutler poised for breakout season‎

We admit that things do look positive for Chicago’s offense heading into this season. Getting rid of Martz was probably a good move. A happy/healthy Jay Cutler is a potentially effective Jay Cutler. And Tice should be able to get more out of the Read more

Tags: NFL Chicago Bears

College Football Betting: LSU in search of more dymanic passing game

08.01.2012     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Over the last few years, LSU's passing game has gone from decent to practically non-existent. In fact, there were only seven teams that averaged fewer pass attempted per game than the Tigers last season and four of those teams run the option. That is all supposed to change in 2012 with projected starting quarterback Zach Mettenberger under center. LSU is expected to open up the offense (who isn't these days?) in search of bigger plays in the passing game. Despite a wealth of athletes and speed, LSU failed to convert a pass play of more than 60 yards last season.

Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC


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