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MLB Betting Podcast 5-27-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

05.27.2015     10:14 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wedneday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB Night Games

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs

05.27.2015     09:07 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Washington (Scherzer) -110 at Chicago (Lester) O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Washington

This is obviously a great pitching matchup but not such a great matchup for Chicago's offense. While Washington shows barely any difference in their lefty/righty splits, Chicago owns a sizable .046 point gap posting a .235 batting average vs. righties and .271 vs. lefties. While that aspect of tonight’s game shows a statistical edge for the Nationals, it’s nothing compared to the expected advantage starter Max Scherzer will have over the Cubs lineup. Scherzer’s overpowering strikeout style (74 K in 64.2 IP) is a lousy fit for Chicago’s strikeout prone offense which leads MLB with 437 total whiffs. The young trio of Jorge Soler, Kris Bryant, and Addison Russell have combined to strikeout 154 times. Of their everyday starters, only Anthony Rizzo (K every 13.6 AB) and Starling Castro (K every 5.1 AB) do not own an AB/K ratio of 4.2:1 or worse. Hard not to project Scherzer for double-digit strikeouts here and at least seven innings since he only threw 96 pitches in his last outing. Also notable is the fact that Scherzer’s three HRs allowed in Read more

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Chicago Cubs Rob Veno

NBA Gambling: Bettors can get a jump on Golden State-Cleveland finals

05.27.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
With the Cleveland Cavaliers having already punched their ticket to the NBA Finals and the Golden State Warriors a win away, a few sportsbooks are getting a jump on the inevitable matchup. As of Wednesday morning, BetOnline has the Warriors as -6 home favorites for Game 1 and a -265 series favorite. 5Dimes has a slight cheaper price of -250. If for some miracle of a chance the Houston Rockets come back to beat Golden State, the Cavaliers would be -150 series favorites.

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets

Two minutes to go, down two touchdowns with the ball, catching +13.5..who's watching?

05.27.2015     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly
Not surprising but a recent study showed that TV ratings on sporting events and pointspreads have a noticeable relationship.

"In the sample of games with point spreads of at least 21 points," Salaga explained, "if we had seven-point moves closer to the spread, that equaled about a 1.235 ratings point increase, which is about 30 percent of the overall game rating on average. So you're talking about a pretty big shift in television ratings just based on basically a one-score change in reference to the spread. You're talking big changes. There's really strong evidence, even in these games that weren't close and weren't expected to be close, we're seeing that people are watching or not watching based on what happens in relationship to the point spread. If you're interested in gambling, it's pretty exciting."



MLB Handicapper Free Play: Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers

05.26.2015     11:47 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Atlanta (Teheran) +220 at Los Angeles (Kershaw)
Recommendation: Atlanta

The Braves look to even up the series with the Dodgers in Chavez Ravine tonight as they face the NL West leading Los Angeles Dodgers. If this pitching matchup was in either of the past two years it would be one of the most hyped pitching duels of the season. Instead we get a 2-3 Kershaw sporting an ERA north of 4.00 taking on the Braves ace Julio Tehran with a FIP currently at 4.96. The Dodgers are a MLB best 20-6 at home this season and are sending the reigning Cy Young award winner to the hill tonight, thus commanding the -240 price tag. Until last night’s 8th inning which featured three home runs, the Dodgers had been in a bit of an offensive lull the six games prior, posting a record of 2-4 and averaging 1.17 runs per game. In Kershaw’s last three outings the advanced metrics have not been pretty, allowing a line drive rate above 25% in all three games, topping out in his last start yielding a 38% vs. the Giants. Tehran did not have the best start to the season but has since found his rhythm in each of his last two starts posting a 1.59 ERA and a 1.29 ERA. Tehran Read more

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers Drew Martin

MLB Betting Podcast 5-26-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

05.26.2015     11:38 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Ian, Erin, and host Andrew Lange broke down today's MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - National League

Erin Rynning - American League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Ian Cameron Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Gambling Trends: High totals at Wrigley continue to cash unders

05.26.2015     09:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Some food for thought with wind-blowing-out totals at Wrigley Field. At the start of the 2010 season, totals of 10 or higher cashed 10 straight overs. But since then -- particularly the last two-plus seasons -- it's been an under bettors' dream. After the 10-0 O/U run, totals at Wrigley of 10 or higher are 14-30 O/U. Since 2013 they are 3-10 O/U. And this season all three double-digit totals have gone under. Note that those three games weren't even close with only 4.7 runs per game. Tonight's total opened 10.5 but was bet down to 10. Game time temps are expected to be in the mid-70's with the wind blowing out to center 10-15 mph.

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Washington Nationals

Mayweather crushing the NBA

05.26.2015     09:28 AM     Printer Friendly
Floyd Mayweather: Undefeated in the ring and at the betting window.



Tags: Floyd Mayweather

MLB Handicapping: Cincinnati Reds continue to stink up the joint

05.26.2015     09:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Cincinnati Reds enter tonight's game vs. Colorado on an 8-game losing streak; something head coach Bryan Price isn't pleased about. They're getting some play in the betting markets with the price now -120 after opening -110.

"We saved our very worst when we needed our best," Price said. "It was the worst game of the series, the worst game of the road trip, the worst game of the season. We needed a good game and we didn't show up today. I apologize for anybody that drove up from Cincinnati to come out and watch us play because this was brutal.

"That was brutal. We're all brutal right now."



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies

Basketball coach accused of betting against his own team

05.26.2015     09:12 AM     Printer Friendly
Nothing beats a good match fixing story, especially when it involves the Korean Basketball League. A head coach was reportedly floated a large line of credit and cashed in big betting against his own team. 

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors discuss potential impact of new PAT rule

05.26.2015     07:39 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The NFL has evolved into the most popular sport for both fans and bettors over the last half century in part because of it’s unpredictability.  The old saying attributed to NFL Commissioner Bert Bell (1945-1959), ‘On any given Sunday, any team in the NFL can beat any other team' has proven true over the years, even in the modern era. 

In September alone last year, the Dolphins upset the Patriots, the Titans won at Kansas City, the Chargers beat the Seahawks, the Bears beat the 49ers, the Bucs beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh and the Chiefs whipped the Patriots.  Each and every one of those games was a significant upset both SU and ATS.

Fans and bettors alike are quite comfortable watching a two-foot putt in golf, or free throw attempts in the NBA; not exactly the most exciting plays that either sport has to offer. The NFL has boring plays as well, most notably the extra point try.  NFL teams made their extra points more than 99% of the time last year, not exactly the essence of drama.

The league, in their infinite wisdom, just decided that the NFL extra point try was too boring.  Instead of doing it the way it’s Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas



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