College Football Handicapping: CRIS vs. Power Ratings Week 6
Tags: College Football Rob Veno
Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno
has been creating his own Power Ratings
for nearly two decades. His numbers are very well respected and an excellent tool for discovering value. Rob’s PRs are a baseline and do not include key injuries or situations but they also don't overreact as much as the betting markets do week to week. Below is a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob's College Football Power Ratings for Week 6.
|2014 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 6|
Florida Atlantic -9.5
Florida Atlantic -6.5
Central Florida -1
San Diego State
San Diego State -0.5
Fresno State -3
Florida State -37
Florida State -38.5
Miami (FL) -0.5
Miami (FL) -2
Ohio State -10
Ohio State N/L
East Carolina -27
East Carolina -41
Central Michigan -3.5
Central Michigan -4
West Virginia -20
West Virginia -26
North Carolina -0.5
Virginia Tech -1.5
Northern Illinois -20
Northern Illinois -24
Miami (OH) -6
Miami (OH) -3.5
South Alabama -7.5
South Alabama -4.5
South Carolina -11
South Carolina -5
Ball State -1
Bowling Green -13
Bowling Green -5
Kansas State -10
Kansas State N/L
Colorado State -15
Colorado State -15
Oklahoma State -17
Oklahoma State -17
Texas A&M -4
Mississippi State -1.5
Louisiana Tech -12
Louisiana Tech -12
Middle Tennessee State
Middle Tennessee State -17.5
Middle Tennessee State -18
Oregon State -8.5
Oregon State -7
Washington State -4
Washington State -3
Texas State -15.5
Texas State -17
Arkansas State -10
Arkansas State -11
Western Kentucky -11
Western Kentucky -9
Michigan State -10
Michigan State -7
New Mexico State
Georgia Southern -14.5
Georgia Southern -17.5
San Jose State
San Jose State -11.5
San Jose State -10
Boise State -2.5
Boise State -3.5
NHL Handicapper Free Play: Washington Capitals Season O/U Points
Submitted by Sammy P Sports
Tags: NHL Washingto Capitals Sammy P Washington Capitals
Season Over/Under Points 88.5
Last week my blog centered around the Florida Panthers
and my recommendation to go Under their season point/win total. This week with baseball winding down and few games on the card I decided to once again focus on a specific NHL team and see if we can beat the market.
The Washington Capitals come into the 2014-15 with new coach Barry Trotz at the helm. The departure of Adam Oates behind the bench and the addition of longtime Nashville Predators coach Trotz has me immediately looking to back a talented yet underachieving Capitals team. The past seven seasons have seen the Caps finish with greater than 88.5 points (90, 97.4 extrapolated in a shorten season, 92, 107, 121, 108, and 94 points). Washington has been on a downward turn the past three seasons, but a change in system and style will catapult them back into the top of the Eastern Conference.
Goaltender Braden Holtby is at the point in his young career where he is ready to take the next step. He should flourish under Trotz and his defensively minded system. Holtby hasn't let up a single goal in his preseason games so far with 109:34 of shutout hockey. If Washington gets back into the playoffs, it will be Holtby who carries them and not Alex Ovechkin. That being said, it is hard to ignore the fact that as good offensively as Ovechkin was last season, he should be a better overall player under Trotz's system. Adam Oates just couldn't get on the same page with his stars and Trotz can't be any worse.
The additions of defensemen Matt Niskanen and Brooks Orpik should pay immediate dividends on an otherwise poor defensive club. Another variable we have to look at as a positive is defenseman Mike Green, if he can stay remotely healthy this season he improves Washington both offensively and defensively. All in all, there is no reason this point total should be 88.5. The Capitals will make the playoffs this season and they will finish above 90 points. Take the Over.
The NHL season starts October 8 and Sammy P is your top option for profits on the ice. His full season ($999) and October ($299) packages are available for purchase right here.
College Football Betting Podcast 9-30-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno
Tags: College Football Big XII Ian Cameron Rob Veno Andrew Lange
College Footbal Gambling: Oregon struggling to cover big numbers
Tags: College Football Arizona Wildcats Oregon Ducks PAC-12
Article on Arizona's prep
for Thursday's game vs. Oregon. The Wildcats embarrassed the Ducks last year in Tucson, 42-16. It smells of a revenge spot but Sportsmemo Handicapper Paul Stone
pointed out that the Ducks are on an 0-6 ATS run at favorites of 18.5 or more dating back to last season. They are currently -23.5 vs. the Wildcats.
Oregon -23 vs. Washington State = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -42 vs. Wyoming = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -52 vs. South Dakota = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -24 vs. Oregon State = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -20.5 vs. Arizona = SU Loss, ATS Loss
Oregon -28.5 vs. Utah = SU Win, ATS Loss
NFL Handicapping: Betting markets react to suspension of Indianapolis' Landry
Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Baltimore Ravens
Indianapolis' defense took another hit this week with free safety LaRon Landry suspended
for PEDs. Projected starter strong Delano Howell is also gone for the year as is linebacker Robert Mathis. Veteran special teamer Sergio Brown is expected to fill in for Landry. The Colts ranked 26th in the league at 6.0 yards per play allowed. Sunday's total vs. Baltimore has already been hit up from 46.5 to 48.5.
College Football Betting: Texas well aware of big underdog status vs. Baylor
Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Big XII Baylor -16.5 at Texas
Texas head coach Charlie Strong needs to refresh his odds screen. You were 14-point dogs
for all of a few hours, Chuck.
On being the underdog: “Well, I don’t have a choice. I’m a 14 point underdog, 14 point spread right now. We’re going to have to play really well. We’re going to have to play really well to be in the ballgame.”
College Football Handicapping: Early line moves for Week 6
Tags: College Football
Quick look at some of the early moves in the Week 6 college football betting markets.
Louisville at Syracuse
CRIS Opener: Louisville -4.5
CRIS Current: Louisville -2.5
Comment: Louisville quarterback Will Gardner (knee) didn't play vs. Wake Forest and is questionable vs. Syracuse.
Miami (FL) at Georgia Tech
CRIS Opener: Georgia Tech -1.5
CRIS Current: Miami (FL) -2
Comment: GT off huge win at Virginia Tech. Canes have somehow won five straight in the series including last year's 45-30 blowout.
SMU at East Carolina
CRIS Opener: East Carolina -34.5
CRIS Current: East Carolina -41
Comment: ECU with an extra week to digest blowout of UNC. SMU with 12 points YTD.
Kansas at West Virginia
CRIS Opener: West Virginia -22
CRIS Current: West Virginia -26.5
Comment: Mountaineers off of a bye week. Kansas finally rid itself of Charlie Weis.
South Carolina at Kentucky
CRIS Opener: South Carolina -7.5
CRIS Current: South Carolina -5.5
Comment: Following last second loss to Missouri, markets leery that Gamecocks will be up for this one.
Baylor at Texas
CRIS Opener: Baylor -12.5
CRIS Current: Baylor -16.5
Comment: Golden Nugget GOY has this one Bears -3. Baylor won last year's meeting in Waco, 30-10.
UAB at Western Kentucky
CRIS Opener: Western Kentucky -13
CRIS Current: Western Kentucky -9
Comment: UAB loss to FIU looks bad but Blazers were -6 in turnovers.
College Football Gambling: Florida State still winless on the year against the spread
Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Wake Forest Demon Deacons ACC
The BCS Championship hangover continues for Florida State as the Seminoles are 0-4 ATS on the year. After allowing 12.1 ppg in 2013, the defense ranks 64th nationally in yards per play (5.6) vs. FBS foes. In last week's come-from-behind win over NC State, the Seminoles missed 33 tackles
. FSU will try to notch its first spread cover of the year laying -38.5 vs. Wake Forest on Saturday.
"Yes, it is," Fisher said Monday when asked if Saturday's game resulted in the most missed tackles since he's been at FSU. "And the bad part [is] we were in position to make a lot of plays. I mean, it wasn't like you were out of position. I mean, the calls were there. We're there. We've gotta tackle better."
NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Over 60% of bets placed on the UNDER
Tags: NFL New England Patriots Kansas City Chiefs
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Monday Night Football game between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs courtesy of Bookmaker. KC has seen a steady amount of market support with the link down from +4 to +3/+2.5. The total has climbed from 45 to 47.
56.8% - New England -3
60.4% - Under 47
51.6% - Kansas City +125
Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Over/Under Trends
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Tags: NFL Teddy Covers
Last week, I wrote about the early ATS streakers to open the NFL season; teams that were red hot or ice cold against the spread coming out of the gate. This week, I’ll focus on teams that have shown a strong totals bias through the first four weeks of the campaign. Who’s trending Over? Who’s trending Under? And, most importantly, why are these teams trending the way they are? Are the markets close to catching up? Read on to find out!
One of the more incongruous September NFL trends is that of the Jacksonville Jaguars going 4-0 to the Over. The Jags are one of only two teams (Oakland is the other) averaging fewer than 15 points per game this year. And that’s not likely to change dramatically. Jacksonville’s level of skill position talent is quite possibly the weakest in the NFL. Toby Gerhart is averaging 2.6 yards per carry; Denard Robinson 3.3. In four games, their longest run from scrimmage is 13 yards (not including a single Blake Bortles 20 yard scramble).
The Jaguars receiving corps doesn’t keep opposing defensive coordinators up at night. Allen Hurns, Allen Robinson and Marquise Lee are their top three downfield threats. All three are rookies still in the very early stages of their development. Opening day starting QB Chad Henne’s been benched already, for the umpteenth time in his career. That leaves another rookie, Blake Bortles, in a ‘getting his feet wet’ situation behind a terrible offensive line. Jacksonville quarterbacks have suffered 20 sacks already this year, with many more on the horizon.
So, the Jags offense stinks and it’s not likely to get better anytime soon. So how on earth is this team 4-0 to the Over? There are two correct answers to that question. First and foremost, the Jaguars defense is every bit as bad as their offense, simply unable to get stops. And secondly, the betting markets have given the Jaguars totals that are just a notch or two too low; in large part because of their offensive deficiencies.
The Jags have been totaled between 43 and 49 in each of their four contests. They’ve allowed at least 33 points in all four of their losses to open the campaign. Two of their four Overs cashed by less than a field goal; one on a late fumble return TD. Moving forward, it’s hard to picture an offense this bad continuing to cash Over tickets week after week. That being said, Blake Bortles took some downfield shots in his starting debut at San Diego this past Sunday, something that Chad Henne didn’t do very much of during his tenure as the starter; downfield shots that Over bettors covet.
The Colts are 4-0 to the Over thanks to their offense, more than their defense. Indy can’t run the ball very well once again, with Trent Richardson held to just 3.3 yards per carry through the Colts first four games. But Andrew Luck sure can throw, with 17 20+ yard completions already this season. Eight of the nine receivers who have caught a ball from Luck this year have at least one 20+ yard completion.
This reliance on the pass for the majority of their offensive production is clearly a sign that the Colts run of Overs may well continue into the future. And when we consider the Colts defensive mediocrity – a team that really lacks any consistent pass rush without Robert Mathis in the lineup – it’s not hard to picture the Colts involved in numerous shootouts moving forward.
Cleveland is 3-0 to the Over, but each of their last two ballgames barely squeaked Over the total; the two Over cashes coming by a combined two points against the Saints and Ravens. Both of those contests needed last second game winning field goals to get Over.
But Cleveland has a good defensive reputation from last year, despite putting up lousy defensive numbers through the first month of the new campaign, ranked #31 in the NFL while allowing a whopping 6.4 yards per play. And QB Brian Hoyer, while only throwing for three touchdowns in three games to his limited receiving corps, has avoided turnovers like the plague, without a single interception yet. The Browns lone offensive strength is on their line; a powerful unit. A strong OL and a ‘not as good as advertised’ defense makes me think that the Browns early season run of Overs could continue.
It’s worth mentioning the Eagles here, even though the Eagles stayed Under the total in San Francisco on Sunday when they couldn’t convert a late first-and-goal situation into a touchdown. Still, the Eagles are 3-1 to the Over through their first four games. Everyone knows that Chip Kelly wants to play at a very, very fast tempo; wearing their opponent’s down as the game progresses – you don’t find many ‘bargains’ in the betting markets when it comes to Philly Overs.
But moving forward, at least for the short term, I’m not expecting the Eagles to remain an Over team. Philly’s offensive line is in shambles right now, an injury riddled unit, in sharp contrast to last year when all five OL starters played together in every game. Nick Foles is not a creator when things break down in the pocket – he needs protection to be effective – making those OL woes a truly significant concern. And the Eagles pass defense has been pretty darn good, but their run D has been gashed. That offers opponents an excellent ‘slow the game down with a steady diet of running plays and keep Philly’s offense off the field strategy; a strategy that does not bode well for Over bettors.
The Bengals, Cardinals and Bills are the only three teams in the NFL to cash nothing but Under tickets through the first four weeks of the season. And it makes sense for all three teams. All three squads rank in the near -elite category defensively; each defense ranked in the Top 10 while allowing 5.0 yards per play or less. Those are not stats likely to regress significantly in the coming weeks – these are a trio of top notch stop units.
Buffalo plays at a fast pace, ensuring relatively high posted totals. but they don’t have a good quarterback and struggle to punch in touchdowns in the red zone. Arizona doesn’t have a particularly good quarterback either (even when Carson Palmer is healthy), and they’ll milk the clock with a lead, relying on their stop unit to secure the victory.
Cincinnati’s receiving corps has been banged up since training camp, leaving Andy Dalton with limited downfield options. And, like Arizona, Cinci plays very conservatively with a lead; not a team that will keep the pedal pushed to the floor when leading by margin after halftime.
The strongest Over or Unders teams are likely to cash a dozen winning bets over the course of a 16-game season. Identifying these totals streakers early gives bettors a legitimate opportunity to cash in repeatedly throughout the course of the campaign.
Follow me on Twitter @teddy_covers
NFL Betting Podcast 9-29-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers
Tags: NFL Teddy Covers
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper and Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange talked NFL openers and early line moves for Week 5.
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 5
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
NFL Gambling Update: Eagles' run-game nowhere to be found
Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia's offensive line issues are starting to become a major problem not just a concern. Two weeks ago, the Eagles managed 57 yards on 25 carries vs. a Washington defense that just allowed 154 yards to the Giants. And Sunday against San Francisco it was half of that production with 22 yards on 12 carries
“Obviously, I didn’t think we’d be able to run it in there,” Kelly said. “We weren’t moving the ball at all against that front.”
“We’re not getting movement,” right tackle Todd Herremans said. “We’re not hitting our combos correctly. Just not playing well.
“Everybody up front wants to do it. I don’t think it’s a communication thing. We just didn’t play well today.”
NFL Gambling Update: Eagles' offensive line still in disarray
Philadelphia at San Francisco -5 O/U 50.5
Despite playing with a makeshift offensive line, the Philadelphia Eagles are off to a 3-0 start (2-1) this season. But heading into Sunday's game at San Francisco, bettors should expect more changes
to the team's starting unit.
"What I can guarantee you is that we will put five linemen out there on Sunday," Eagles offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur said. "There will be five of them."
"You guys can figure that one out."
College Football Betting: Ugly teams deliver pointspread wins
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Florida International Panthers Vanderbilt Commodores Andrew Lange
This past weekend was a great one for "ugly" teams in college football. And by "ugly" we mean teams that had vastly underachieved the first month of the season leaving bettors little reason to offer their support. But "ugliness" can be overcompensated for in the betting markets and these teams not only had value but came through with their best efforts of the season. Let's take a look...
Northwestern - The Wildcats had looked horrible during their 1-2 SU/0-3 start. Questions loomed whether or not Pat Fitzgerald was losing the team and with Penn State and Wisconsin on deck, a 1-4 start seemed likely. But bettors witnessed a reborn NU squad that was dynamic offensively and stout defensively in Saturday's 29-6 drubbing of Penn State. The Nittany Lions were no doubt flat but it was the first time all season that Northwestern played up to its capabilities and some. NW is catching +9.5 at home vs. the Badgers on Saturday.
Florida International - Make no mistake, Ron Turner isn't a good coach and the Panthers are still one of the worst teams in the country. But pointspreads have a way of offsetting those types of shortcomings. On the road against UAB, money poured in on the Blazers throughout the week but FIU not only covered +14 by won outright 34-20. Bettors, however, should be aware that FIU had an extremely fortunate +6 turnover margin; the type of stat bad teams come up with once a decade. Despite Turner's 4-1 ATS start, the markets aren't buying in as rival FAU went from -8 to -9.5 for Thursday night's contest.
Vanderbilt - After losing to Temple and Ole Miss by a combined score of 78-10, Vandy had the look of a dead nuts "bet against" squad. And in Week 3, that theory was bolstered when the Commodores barely beat UMass. Few teams if any took a bigger power rating hit from the end of last year to the present. But guess who's 2-0 ATS in SEC play? Yep. Catching +23 vs. South Carolina, the 'Dores covered wire-to-wire. And despite producing only 139 yards of total offense (wow!) Vandy covered the inflated +17 vs. a Kentucky squad clearly not ready for the role of a double-digit favorite in conference play. Think the markets are impressed? Vanderbilt was +6.5 at home vs. Georgia last season and won outright! This Saturday they’re catching +32 in Athens.
College Football Gambling: Texas Tech trending in wrong direction
Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII
Despite a slew of issues and injuries
, Texas Tech managed to escape Stillwater with a pointspread cover (+14) in last Thursday’s 45-35 loss. But with quarterback Davis Webb's status for Saturday at Kansas State in doubt and the team's inability to correct correctable issues (turnovers, penalties) the Red Raiders could be headed towards a losing season. TTU has lost the turnover battle with a negative margin in all four games. In terms of penalty yardage, they have nearly double (442) their opposition (221). And since starting 7-0, Kliff Kingsbury is on a 2-7 run vs. FBS competition.
“We would play to Pat’s strengths. He does some things really well. We’d make sure we’re calling plays that he likes,” coach Kliff Kingsbury said.
“There’s no magical thing we can do to stop this,” Tech senior wide receiver Marquez said. “It’s just got to be as a player you’ve got to know when you can do certain things and when you cannot. Rules are rules. You can’t hold. You can’t get a pass interference. You can’t do things of that nature.
College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6
Tags: College Football Baylor Bears TCU Horned Frogs Big XII
Week 6's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets. A lot of opinions have obviously changed since the summer, most notably with Baylor and TCU. Most projected the Bears to take a step back this season but oddsmakers continue to struggle with pricing this team. Note than the current -14.5 was bet up from an opener of -12.5. Oklahoma is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS and has looked the part of a playoff contender. But in the eyes of most TCU (3-0 SU/ATS) is much improved with blowout wins over Samford, Minnesota, and SMU. This week's outcome will likely have a big impact on how the Horned Frogs are priced in October with games at Baylor, vs. Oklahoma State, vs. Texas Tech, and at West Virginia.
|2014 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6|
Miami (FL) -4
Georgia Tech pk
North Carolina -10
North Carolina pk
Mississippi State -3
Mississippi State -1
Kansas State -7
Kansas State N/L
Boise State -6
Boise State -2.5
Michigan State -8
Michigan State -9.5
NFL Gambling: Road teams make up four out of top five SuperContest picks for Week 4
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 4 of the NFL SuperContest.
1. GREEN BAY -1.5 at Chicago
2. KANSAS CITY +3.5 vs. New England
3. ATLANTA -3 at Minnesota
4. PHILADELPHIA +5.5 at San Francisco
5. NEW ORLEANS -3 at Dallas
Least picked Sunday side: SAN DIEGO -12.5 vs. Jacksonville
College Football Betting Consensus: Public sees no reason not to continue fade of woeful SMU
Tags: College Football
Here are the top five consensus bets (sides and totals) for Saturday's college football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.
89.5% - TCU -31.5 at SMU
84.7% - NEVADA -5.5 at San Jose State
82.9% - LOUISVILLE -21 vs. Wake Forest
80.7% - PITTSBURGH -21 vs. Akron
80.1% - TEXAS STATE +3 at Tulsa
92.5% - OVER 57 Tennessee-Georgia
89.5% - OVER 56.5 New Mexico State-LSU
88.6% - OVER 59 Memphis-Ole Miss
88.0% - OVER 60 Florida State-NC State
87.4% - OVER 70 Maryland-Indiana
Sportsmemo's College Football In-Game Betting Discussion - Week 5
Tags: College Football
Don't miss Sportsmemo's Posting Forum College Football Week 5 in-game discussion
. The Sportsmemo Handicappers and posting forum members share their thoughts, opinions, and second half wagers throughout the day. If you're not a forum member, it's free to sign up
! All you need is a username and password. Come be a part of the WINNING action!
College Football Handicapping: 2nd half Kick Off List - Week 5
Tags: College Football
To help you with your wagers today, below is a list of teams that receive the kick to start the second half.
|2014 College Football 2nd Half Kick Off List - Week 5|
Receive 2nd Half Kick
New Mexico State
San Diego State
San Jose State
San Jose State
College Football Betting Preview: South Alabama Jaguars at Idaho Vandals
Tags: College Football South Alabama Jaguars Idaho Vandals Sun Belt Drew Martin South Alabama at Idaho
Saturday, 2 pm PT - ESPN 3
South Alabama -7
South Alabama -4
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
South Alabama -9
Drew Martin's Recommendation:
Unique conference matchup with South Alabama traveling to tiny Moscow, Idaho to take on the Vandals. Idaho has shown signs of being more competitive this season but have yet to record a straight up win. After beating Kent in the opener, USA dropped back-to-back games to Mississippi State and what looks to be the best team in the Sun Belt, Georgia Southern. Oddsmakers opened South Alabama as a touchdown favorite, but throughout the week the betting markets have pushed this number down to -4. Taking a quick glance at this matchup you can understand the money favoring the Vandals. They have the better quarterback and host a team traveling across two time zones. However, there are major differences when it comes to the defensive side of the ball.
Idaho lacks talent on the defensive line and as a result ranks ninth in the Sun Belt in scoring defense at 39.7 points a game. That defense hasn’t exactly faced a slew of high powered offenses either with UL-LA Monroe, Western Michigan, and Ohio. South Alabama has struggled on offense but those struggles came against much stronger competition. USA quarterback Brandon Bridge is completing only 50% of his passes but his ability to use his legs could be the difference. He has only 63 rushing yards to-date but with the step down in class, I expect his running ability to shine which should in turn may life a little easier when asked to throw the football. Note that Idaho gave up 86 yards on the ground last week to Ohio quarterback Derrius Vick on only four carries. Ohio uses a two-QB system with the more passing skilled J.D. Sprague adding 30 rushing yards himself. I believe South Alabama’s offensive coordinator Robert Mathews will use Bridge’s ability to move the ball on the ground versus this Idaho defense that has shown no signs of being able to stop much at all this year.
South Alabama came into this season with hopes of a conference championship and after falling to 0-1 in league play this becomes a very important contest. All of the quotes coming out USA camp have head coach Joey Jones saying his team will be ready to play. Yes, it isn’t the easiest trip in the world but the Kibbie Dome isn’t much of a home field advantage these days and the overall talent/defensive edge belongs to the road side which earns our support.
NFL Betting Podcast 9-26-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning
Tags: NFL Brent Crow Erin Rynning Andrew Lange
College Football Gamling: Michigan's Hoke won't name starting QB until Saturday
Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten
With most of the focus on Minnesota's quarterback situation
bettors should be aware that Michigan has one of its own with head coach Brady Hoke making a game time decision
on who (Devin Gardner or Shane Morris) will be under center. Meanwhile, the Wolverines were steamed up from -8 to -13.
“We’ve got some ideas with what we want to do, but we’re still going to evaluate it,” Hoke said. “…We’ll still have both guys take reps. We feel good about both guys.”
Betting on the NFL is all the rage for UK punters
Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Oakland Raiders
Betting on the NFL in the UK is apparently a thing
. Wonder if the Brits are aware that the NFL screwed them with the worst matchup on the Week 4 slate with Miami taking on Oakland? The Dolphins are 3.5-point favorites with a total of 40.5.
"The Patriots are very popular with punters," Crilly said. "Although, the betting public is very clued up and rather than following a certain team, they will back who they think will win."
"We may take slightly more in the way of big bets [on NFL games at Wembley Stadium]," Ladbrokes spokesman Alex Donohue said in an email, "but the main difference would be the sheer amount of bets placed."
NFL Gambling Alert: Tennessee's Locker questionable vs. Indianapolis
Tags: NFL Tenneesse Titans Indianapolis Colts
It wouldn't be an NFL season without seeing Tennessee quarterback Jake Locker hurt before Week 5. Locker (wrist) didn't practice Thursday
but still has a shot at playing on Sunday. If Locker is unable to go, Charlie Whitehurst would get the starting nod. The Colts were bet up from -7 to -7.5/-8. The total also moved from 45.5 to 46.5.
That’s left Whisenhunt hopeful that Locker “has a chance” of playing against their AFC South opponent and that Saturday will be the big day when it comes to determining his status. With a wrist injury on his throwing arm, Locker’s ability to grip the ball will be one of the questions that the team has to answer when making their call for Sunday.
College Football Betting Preview: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Submitted by Paul Stone
Tags: College Football Arkansas Razorbacks Texas A&M Aggies SEC Paul Stone Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (Arlington)
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
Texas A&M -10 O/U 72
Texas A&M -9 O/U 71.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Texas A&M -14
Paul Stone's Recommendation:
In a renewal of an old Southwest Conference rivalry, the sixth-ranked Texas A&M Aggies (4-0) and the vastly-improved Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1) bring contrasting offensive styles to Saturday's SEC West showdown at Arlington's AT&T Stadium.
On one hand, Kevin Sumlin's Aggies spread the field, depending heavily on sophomore quarterback Kenny Hill to distribute the ball to a host of talented receivers utilizing a scheme designed to fatigue the defense and prevent substitutions.
Meanwhile, second-year Arkansas head coach Bret Bielema has brought his old-style smashmouth ground game to the Ozarks from Wisconsin. After going winless in SEC play in his first go-round in Fayetteville, the Hogs’ head man has a much-improved squad in Year Two headlined by a physical offensive line and tailbacks Jonathan Williams and Alex Collins who are both on pace to record 1,000-yard rushing seasons.
After falling to national title contender Auburn (45-21) in its season opener, Arkansas has been impressive in a trio of victories, most notably a convincing 49-28 road win over Texas Tech. Williams and Collins accounted for 357 of the Hogs' 438 rushing yards in the victory over the Red Raiders.
Saturday’s game serves as sort of a litmus test for Arkansas and a win here would go a long way towards returning the Razorbacks to bowl play after recording a paltry 7-17 record over the past two seasons.
Prior to the season, the Aggies’ biggest question mark centered around who would replace 2012 Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Johnny Manziel.
Sophomore Kenny Hill won a closely-contested battle over true freshman Kyle Allen and then quickly dismissed any concerns about the position by throwing for 511 yards in the Aggies’ surprising 52-28 season-opening win over SEC East preseason favorite South Carolina.
The performance instantly vaulted the previously-unknown Hill, the son of former Major League Baseball pitcher Ken Hill, into the Heisman Trophy picture. Through the Aggies' first four games, the 6-1, 215-pound sophomore has thrown for 1,359 yards, completing 70 percent of his passes with a healthy 13-to-1 touchdown/interception ratio.
Hill prepped at Southlake (TX) Carroll High School, outside of Dallas, the same school that produced former college quarterbacks Chase Daniel (Missouri) and Greg McElroy (Alabama).
A&M also suffered significant losses at receiver, including first-round NFL Draft choice Mike Evans, but steady veteran Malcome Kennedy; former top shelf recruit Ricky Seals-Jones; and others have filled the voids as the Aggies have hardly missed a beat in the passing game.
However, with a ball-control offense capable of shelfing the Aggies' high-octane offense for stretches of the game, I recommend backing an Arkansas team growing in confidence and taking the points.
Stone 20* CFB PAC-12 Game of the Month [3 out of 4 20* cashes YTD] $39
Paul Stone taps into the PAC-12 for this weekend's top college football selection. Paul's nailed three out of this year's four 20* selections. Get on board with this 20* Game of the Month for only $39; guaranteed to win or Paul's next top rated pick is on the house.