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NBA Handicapper Free Play: New Orleans Pelicans at Houston Rockets

12.18.2014     12:03 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
New Orleans +4.5 at Houston O/U 201 
Recommendation: New Orleans

The Rockets failed to cover the spread in all four meetings against the Pelicans last year.  I’m not expecting Houston to match up any better against New Orleans in their first meeting of the 2014-15 campaign. 
Houston is coming off a hard fought OT win in the Mile High altitude of Denver last night.  Every starter played at least 42 minutes; while only two reserves got more than seven minutes of floor time.  Expect a relatively sluggish showing here.  The Rockets haven’t been able to by margin in any recent back-2-back situation, even when they were fresher than they are tonight.  The Kings took them to overtime in their last back-2-back set.  They beat slumping Phoenix by only five in their try before that.  And we saw the Rockets worst loss of the year – by 26 at Memphis – on the second night of back-2-backs last month. 
This is a very easy trip for New Orleans, just a single road game with short travel to Houston.  And New Orleans has really found some excellent offensive rhythm over the course of the last few weeks, averaging more than 112 points per game while going 5-1 ATS in their last six contests.  That was on full display as they rallied from behind in the fourth quarter against Utah in their last game; hanging 41 points on the Jazz in the fourth quarter alone.  
Anthony Davis is argubly the best player in the league RIGHT NOW.  The backcourt combo of Tyreke Evans and Jrue Holiday has really started to gell.  And sharpshooters Ryan Anderson, Austin Rivers, Jimmer Fredette and Luke Babbitt have given head coach Monty Williams a full complement of role players to work with, something that has been lacking in New Orleans in every recent season.  The Pelicans have a trio of shot blockers as well, a rock solid defensive squad in the paint thanks to the long arms of Davis, Omer Asik and Jeff Withey.  I’m expecting the outright upset, but taking the points with New Orleans offers a nice little cushion in case they fall just short.

Tags: NBA New Orleans Pelicans Houston Rockets Teddy Covers

College Football Bowl Betting Podcast with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno 12-18-2014

12.18.2014     12:01 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked Saturday's College Football bowl games.

Today's segments 
Rob Veno - College Football Bowl Games - Saturday

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Rob Veno Andrew Lange

NFL Gambling Alert: Bears to start Clausen vs. Lions

12.18.2014     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Chicago Bears have decided to start Jimmy Clausen vs. Detroit. The Lions, who are in the hunt for one of the top two seeds in the NFC, opened -6.5/-7 but have since been bet up to as high as -9.

"We haven't been able to do the things that we want to get done," he said. "We're working towards that. But the answer to that is obvious. I'm trying to give you the most truthful answer, and that is, we've seen moments of it, but it's not where we need to go. It's not where we need to be. But it's not all about Jay. It's about our entire offense, working together to get it done."

Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Detroit Lions

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Betting Preview: Western Michigan Broncos vs. Air Force Falcons

12.18.2014     07:00 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Boise, Idaho 
Western Michigan vs. Air Force 
Saturday, 2:45 pm PT - ESPN 
CRIS Opener:
Western Michigan -2 O.U 56.5 
CRIS Current: Air Force -1 O/U 58 
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Air Force -0.5

Quite a turnaround for Western Michigan who in PJ Fleck's second season improved to 8-4 after only one victory in 2013. They were the most complete team in the MAC ranking third in both total offense (443 ypg) and total defense (355 ypg) in conference play. Air Force wasn't nearly as impressive ranking 6th and 7th respectively in the Mountain West. The Falcons though played in the tougher conference and Mountain Division which has a chance (if Air Force and Utah State wins) to produce four 10-win or better squads.

One of the concerns with Western Michigan is not only the lack of competition but their performance against comparable and/or better competition. They routinely fell short from a straight up perspective, including as a big favorite in the de facto MAC Championship play-in game against Northern Illinois. The Broncos' "best" win came against a five-loss Central Michigan squad that ranks outside the Sagarin top 100. Air Force meanwhile scored multiple quality wins including Boise State and Colorado State who are a combined 22-4. There are however some soft wins which keep their strength of schedule (110) not too far removed from the Broncos (130). But in terms of the number of quality games, Air Force was far more challenged.

Next angle to consider is Western Michigan's unfamiliarity with the option. Fleck summed up his team's preparation:

"We've got about 8-9 practices to install a completely new defense. What makes them complicated is they are not just triple option all the time… Half the time it is triple option, half the time it's 11 personnel normal offense," Fleck said.

And while WMU's overall defensive numbers look good, they had significant trouble stopping the run. In their four "toughest games" against Purdue, Virginia Tech, Toledo, and Northern Illinois, the Broncos allowed 964 yards (6.18 ypc). So don't be fooled by their seasonal mark of 4.22 ypc. On the flip side, WMU will be able to move the football, particularly through the air. Another case where seasonal stats can be deceiving: Air Force's 255.91 ypg and 55.6% pass defense jumps to 316.6 ypg and 57.4% when you eliminate three games vs. option opponents. So while Western Michigan will be at a disadvantage against the option, they can easily offset it with one of the better passing attacks in the country (166.7 QB rating, 5th nationally).

Lastly, the MAC has really eroded over the last few seasons and has been an easy fade for bettors in the postseason. Just in the last two years, the MAC is a dismal 2-9 SU/ATS in the postseason. And with the exception of Northern Illinois' Orange Bowl appearance against Florida State, the competition was very comparable with the Sun Belt, C-USA, and Mountain West.

Western Michigan opened as a 2-point favorite and while there has been some Air Force/anti-MAC money, the game has rightfully settled in the pick 'em range.

Tags: Collge Football Western Michigan Broncos MAC Air Force Falcons Mountain West Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 12-17-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning

12.17.2014     10:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning. Brent and ER broke down the CBB and NBA slates.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Brent Crow - College Basketball

Erin Rynning - NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball NBA Brent Crow Erin Rynning

NBA Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Bucks at Portland Trail Blazers

12.17.2014     10:55 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Milwaukee at Portland -9.5 O/U 203 
Recommendation: Portland

The loss of rookie Jabari Parker leaves a gaping hole in Milwaukee’s starting lineup that’s likely to show up in this contest. A frontcourt that is already minus PF Ersan Ilyasova and C John Henson is now down to just one legitimate paint player in starting C Larry Sanders. Fundamentally it could have been a worse matchup for the Bucks had Portland starting C Robin Lopez not broke his hand Monday night against San Antonio, but still the combination of PF LaMarcus Aldridge and veteran C Chris Kaman could overwhelm Milwaukee inside. Additionally, once Sanders goes to the bench it just might be a party at the rim for all Blazers who want to either penetrate the lane or post up since Milwaukee’s bench is full of finesse players. Portland’s FG% is only middle of the pack this season (45.2%) but that number goes significantly up in this situation. Bucks have been a solid offensive team for Jason Kidd thus far but losing Parker who was getting comfortable as one of the top two offensive options will cause a reshuffling of roles. Doubtful that perimeter based Milwaukee offense can keep pace with Portland and also doubtful that their lack of defensive presence can match up since Blazers FGA% ranks #5 in the league at 43.1%. Number is tall at -9.5 but Portland has been a solid 8-4 ATS at home this year and has enough advantages tonight to at least match that.  

Tags: NBA Milwaukee Bucks Portland Trail Blazers Rob Veno

College Football Gambling: Florida State doesn't know why its an underdog vs. Oregon

12.17.2014     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Florida State Seminoles are double-dipping on the underdog angle vs. Oregon. The players are apparently miffed that despite 29 consecutive wins they are catching points. The coaching staff meanwhile doesn't pay to that sort of stuff. What we do know is everyone is "aware." It's the first time FSU has been priced as a dog since early 2011.

"To be honest, I don't feel like the underdog. I don't think this team feels like the underdog," Florida State defensive back Jalen Ramsey said. "We shouldn't feel like the underdog. We're the ones who won 29 in a row. What are we scared of? Why are we the underdog? I don't really understand that."

"I never know if we were a nine-point favorite or a nine-point underdog," said Fisher during a news conference featuring all four of the CFP semifinal head coaches, "I never pay any attention to that."



Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Oregon Ducks

College Football Handicapping: Mississippi State loses defensive coordinator

12.17.2014     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Mississippi State will have to prepare for Georgia Tech's option without its defensive coordinator as Geoff Collins recently took the same gig at Florida. The Bulldogs, who haven't faced a true option team since 2009's 42-31 loss to Tech, will also be short-handed at the safety position.

"We'll look at all that stuff. I don't know," Mullen said. "We always play great defense here. We play great defense no matter what coach is going to be here. As long as I'm the head coach, we'll always play great defense here."

"I thought Geoff did a great job here and pleased with what he's done," Mullen said. "Our psycho defense will continue to be a psycho defense on the field. That's our program, that's what we play here. Whoever the D-coordinator is, we're going to play that great defense."

Tags: College Football Mississippi State Bulldogs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

College Football Betting: Notre Dame to use two quarterbacks vs. LSU

12.17.2014     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Notre Dame plans on using two quarterbacks for its Music City Bowl matchup vs. LSU. Everett Golson has obviously had issues with turnovers while Malik Zaire showed flashes of competence in the team's blowout loss to USC. Note that Golson is right-handed while Zaire is left-handed something that could impact the passing game.

“Both have skill sets that are a little bit different that we’ll use in the game,” Kelly said. “We’ll go with their strengths and call upon those strengths in the game. I feel very confident I can manage both of them.”

Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish LSU Tigers

College Football Gambling: No reason to expect better defense from North Carolina

12.17.2014     06:39 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Not a shock to see North Carolina part ways with defensive coordinator Vic Koenning. The Tar Heels were one of the nation's worst defenses and in reading about Koenning's departure, it is easy to see why. Players saying there was "energy" in only one game this season vs. rival Duke. Talk about a lack of work ethic. Different defensive units not in the same meeting. A total mess and not something that is going to be cured prior to a post-Christmas Day bowl game in Detroit. Their opponent, Rutgers doesn't have impressive seasonal numbers but hung 40+ against the similarly soft defenses of Washington State, Indiana, and Maryland.

“We just didn't get up when we needed to get up for the games,” Scott said. “The only game I can honestly say we got riled up for was Duke. And I guess we were playing for the (Victory) Bell. But we came into N.C. State just lazy and not really as focused as we were the week before. And it happened like that the majority of the season. Not necessarily the young guys, but even the older guys – myself included sometimes. We were just lazy with our work ethic during the week.”

“It'll be different for the fact that he's the play caller, but at the same time coach Disch and Vic always worked together throughout the defensive calls and stuff. So they both called (plays) in the past and now that coach Vic is gone now we'll just have to worry about Disch. It's also a plus because the corners and the safeties are in the same room now, back to how we used to have it.”

"He's very energetic and he's a little out there," linebacker Jeff Schoettmer said of Disch. "But it's something we need. He's more energetic than coach Vic, and he's more aggressive.

"In practice the other day, we did 2-minute drill and I think we blitzed five out of the six plays. So he's really wanting to get after the quarterback. He's got a lot of faith in his DBs just to hold up back there."

Tags: College Football North Carolina Tar Heels Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Harry Reid is turning into Sheldon Adelson Jr.

12.16.2014     02:07 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Harry Reid says he expects anti-online gambling efforts on a nationwide level to strengthen in 2015. While Reid says he does support online poker, a lot of the spew coming from his mouth sounds pretty damn similar to old fogey Sheldon Adelson’s agenda.

“I think the proliferation of gambling on the Internet is not good for our country. I think it is an invitation to crime. I think it is hard to control for crime when you’ve got brick-and-mortar places, let alone something up in the sky someplace, and it is very bad for children.”

Tags: Poker

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Arizona State Sun Devils at Marquette Golden Eagles

12.16.2014     01:10 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Arizona State at Marquette  
Recommendation: Under 61.5 1st half

I’ve had Marquette pegged as an "under" squad. With only eight available players, the Golden Eagles have been forced to slow down the tempo as well as play zone. Their last game vs. Wisconsin featured only 108 possessions and 87 points. Probably won't see that type of extreme tonight but first-year head coach Steve Wojechowski knows that muddying up the game gives his short-handed squad their best chance to win. Also note that guard Deonte Burton left the team and they added 6-11 center Luke Fisher who originally played at Indiana. The Golden Eagles are in desperate need of size in the paint so the recent “transaction” is really addition by subtraction defensively. Arizona State has been playing at a relatively moderate pace but they've been ultra-efficient thus far hitting nearly 41% of their 3's and 53% of their 2's. Not sure however how long they'll be able to keep that up, especially on the road vs. a capable defense. In their last road game at Texas A&M there were only 120 possessions but 143 points. That is an outlier-type performance and if the Sun Devils are going to play games at that slow of a pace, then more often than not, their games scores will be in the 120's rather than the 132 we see tonight. We'll look to play this game under the total of 61.5 for the first half.

Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils Marquette Golden Eagles Andrew Lange

College Football Handicapping: Liberty Bowl expects to be up-tempo

12.16.2014     10:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Not a surprise but Texas A&M head coach Kevin Sumlin is expecting their Liberty Bowl matchup vs. West Virginia to feature "lots of plays." The total opened 64 and has since been bet up to 67.

“Both teams need to get to bed early because there’s going to be a lot of plays in this game,” Texas A&M coach Kevin Sumlin said, noting their no-huddle, up-tempo styles.


Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Texas A&M Aggies Big XII SEC

Sports Betting Podcast 12-16-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Teddy Covers

12.16.2014     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob veno. Ian talked NHL action while Rob broke down the enite NBA slate.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Ian Cameron - NHL

Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NHL NBA Ian Cameron Teddy Covers

ONLINE SPECIAL: Discounted Weekly Hoops

12.16.2014     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly

Tags: NHL NBA Ian Cameron Teddy Covers

NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Saints look to be headed to -3.5

12.15.2014     02:24 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Monday Night Football game between the New Orleans Saints and Chicago Bears courtesy of Bookmaker. A lot of offshore sportsbooks are hanging on the -3 for dear life with the juice now -130/-135. Seen a small tick down on the total with the weather expected to be rainy and foggy. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

74.2% - New Orleans -3

62.6% - Over 53.5

53.8% - New Orleans -190

Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints Chicago Bears

Sports Betting Podcast 12-15-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno

12.15.2014     09:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno. Teddy gave him famed NFL Opening Line Report for Week 16 while Rob broke down the entire NBA slate.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 16

Rob Veno - NBA Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL NBA Teddy Covers Rob Veno

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Playoff Contenders

12.15.2014     08:12 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Week 15 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.

In my Wiseguy Report over the next two weeks, I’m going to poke holes in every other team that is still alive in the playoff chase.  Can any of the fringe contenders knock off the favorites when January rolls around?  Read on to find out.  This week I’ll focus on the second tier contenders in the NFC, and next week, I’ll shift my focus to the AFC.

The Dallas Cowboys have looked good on national TV repeatedly this year.  They are a perfect 7-0 SU on the road, including impressive wins at Seattle and Philly.  But the Cowboys have at least one fundamental flaw – their defense isn’t much better than it was last year when the Cowboys ranked at or near the bottom of nearly every statistical category. 

In 2013, the Cowboys stop unit was ridiculed nationally, allowing 6.1 yards per play (ranked #30 out of 32 teams), 4.7 yards per rush (also ranked #30) and 7.8 yards per pass (28th).  In 2014, the talking heads on TV continue to babble about their improved defense, but those numbers haven’t improved significantly in any category; a stop unit that is ranked well below average. 

Dallas has been able to mask their defensive deficiencies thanks to an offense that has been able to dominate the time of possession battle on DeMarco Murray’s strong legs, keeping that stop unit off the field for extended stretches of play.  But there’s no way to trust the Cowboys defense to get stops against elite quarterbacks, a fundamental flaw when assessing their Super Bowl chances.

The wiseguy betting markets have been fading the Arizona Cardinals since September; a team that many sharps hate with vitriolic passion by this stage of the season because they’ve lost so much money betting against them!  We saw that on full display again this past week, when the 6-8 Rams were six point favorites over the Cardinals by kickoff thanks to a bevy of anti-Zona sentiment in the markets in the hours before kickoff.   

That repeated anti-Arizona sentiment in the markets has allowed savvy bettors to cash in riding this team throughout the course of the regular season; the single best pointspread team in the NFL through Week 15.  But when it comes to playoff time, limited offensive teams like the Cards have a long track record of crumbling.  And now that head coach Bruce Arians is down to a choice between third stringer Ryan Lindley and fourth stringer Logan Thomas as his starting quarterback moving forward following injuries to Carson Palmer and Drew Stanton, this team is clearly in the pretender category when it comes to January football.

When was the last time a gimmicky offense with a second tier quarterback won the Super Bowl?  If you said never, you are probably correct.  That certainly doesn’t bode well for the Philadelphia Eagles.  Philly leads the league in non-offensive touchdowns this year by a wide margin – they’ve lived off of big plays on defense and special teams.  But when it comes to fundamentals on both sides of the football, the Eagles come up short. 

Philly’s receiving corps is limited; an offense that misses DeSean Jackson more than they’ll ever let on.  QB Marc Sanchez doesn’t look all that much better here than he did in New York and Philly’s offensive line has been getting beaten off the ball repeatedly in recent weeks, unable to open holes for LeSean McCoy (5.1 yards per carry in 2013, 4.1 yards per carry this year).  Defensively, the Eagles haven’t been able to get third down stops, resulting in a stop unit that has been on the field for more than 40 minutes in each of the last two weeks, getting crushed in the time-of-possession battle.  Chip Kelly’s quest for a title won’t end any time soon!

I happen to think that the Detroit Lions are the only NFC team that has a shot of knocking off the two contenders.  Of course, anyone from Michigan will laugh at that statement, knowing all too well the Lions extended history of futility.  Detroit’s last playoff win came in the divisional round of the 1991 postseason.  Their playoff victory prior to that came in the 1957 Championship Game, when Bobby Layne led them to a title.  In their only playoff game of the 21st century, Detroit gave up 45 points in a loss to the Saints in the 2011 Wild Card round.  From a recent history perspective, the Lions are every bit as dicey as the Cowboys, and from a long term history perspective, Detroit ranks right there with Cleveland at the bottom of the NFL spectrum.

That being said, this is the best Lions team since Barry Sanders retired and Wayne Fontes was finally run out of town.  On a yards per play differential basis, Detroit ranks behind only the Seahawks and Packers in the NFC.  Defensively, they have allowed less than five yards per snap this year, one of only four teams to do so (Denver, Seattle and Buffalo are the other three).   The Lions are 10-4 to the Under this year, and three of their four Over cashes have come in games where they have scored 34+. 

We saw this defense shut down Aaron Rodgers in the first meeting against the Packers, holding Green Bay to a season low seven point effort.  They shut down Drew Brees and Matt Ryan as well.  Only once all year has this stop unit allowed more than 24 points, at New England against Tom Brady – no shame in that.  There’s enough elite level offensive talent on this roster to give Detroit a fighting chance moving forward, and their track record in close games has given them a level of confidence they’ve been missing for decades.

I supposed I am obliged to include the NFC South division winner in this analysis.  The team that emerges between Atlanta, New Orleans and Carolina is going to be a big home underdog in their Wild Card Round playoff game and an even bigger road underdog the following week if they are lucky enough to survive the first weekend.

The Atlanta Falcons defense came into Week 15 ranked dead last in that key wiseguy statistical metric defensive yards per play allowed.  Their statistical numbers are actually worse than they appear, because the Falcons have faced a litany of bad quarterbacks and bad offensive teams, including Arizona, Cleveland, Carolina and Tampa Bay in the last six weeks alone.

The Carolina Panthers just lost starting QB Cam Newton to a back injury from a car accident he suffered last week, taking a bad offense and making it that much worse, at least for the short term.   That being said, the Panthers have, by far, the best defense of any team in this division.  But their signature win came back in Week 2 against the Lions – despite plenty of opportunities against a particularly tough slate of foes, Carolina hasn’t been able to beat any of them.

The New Orleans Saints were good enough to beat Green Bay, and they’ve got a Super Bowl winning coach and QB.  But New Orleans just allowed 41 points in a home loss to Carolina’s limited offense, their fourth consecutive defeat on what had previously been one of the strongest home fields in the NFL.  Rob Ryan’s defense is not what is was during the Saints Super Bowl run, to put it mildly, and neither are the weapons surrounding Brees.  Like Atlanta and Carolina, New Orleans isn’t even close to being good enough to win three games in January to reach the Super Bowl.

Follow me on twitter @teddy_covers.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

NHL Handicapper Free Play: Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres

12.15.2014     08:06 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Ottawa at Buffalo +125 O/U 5 
Recommendation: Buffalo

Perhaps no one has had a bigger turnaround to their season than the Buffalo Sabres.  This was a team that was all but forgotten after a 3-15 start to the season.  The Sabres have since rattled off a 9-3 record where they have consistently been +150 underdogs or more.  Goaltender Jhonas Enroth has been outstanding during this stretch giving up just two goals a game.  Buffalo has shown a propensity to struggle scoring goals all season, but they have figured out a way to win the low scoring, one-goal games.  At the other end of the ice, Ottawa has seen major changes of late and they are headed in an opposite direction.  Ottawa fired head coach Paul MacLean last week.  They haven’t responded the way one would think when losing a coach, and new coach Dave Cameron certainly has his hands full with this group of players.  Expect a very low scoring game here tonight with plenty of value on a home dog that has shown no signs of stopping the positive run they've been on.

Tags: NFL Ottawa Senators Buffalo Sabres Sammy P

NFL Handicapping: Remaining schedules for potential playoff teams

12.15.2014     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick list of the remaining two games for NFL teams in the playoff hunt.

Atlanta: at New Orleans, vs. Carolina 
Arizona: vs. Seattle, at San Francisco 
Carolina: vs. Cleveland, at Atlanta 
Dallas: vs. Indianapolis, at Washington 
Detroit: at Chicago, at Green Bay 
Green Bay: at Tampa Bay, vs. Detroit 
New Orleans: vs. Atlanta, at Tampa Bay 
Philadelphia: at Washington, at NY Giants 
Seattle: at Arizona, vs. St. Louis

Baltimore: at Houston, vs. Cleveland 
Buffalo: at Oakland, at New England 
Cincinnati: vs. Denver, at Pittsburgh 
Denver: at Cincinnati, vs. Oakland 
Indianapolis: at Dallas, at Tennessee 
Kansas City: at Pittsburgh, vs. San Diego 
New England: at NY Jets, vs. Buffalo 
Pittsburgh: vs. Kansas City, vs. Cincinnati 
San Diego: at San Francisco, at Kansas City

Tags: NFL

NB Handicapping: Sacramento Kings fire Malone, seal fate as lottery team

12.15.2014     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We obviously don't have access to what goes on behind-the-scenes with the Sacramento Kings but on the surface the decision to fire head coach Mike Malone and replace him with Ty Corbin borders on complete insanity.

Tags: NBA Sacramento Kings

NFL Handicapping: Playoff scenarios as of 12-15-2014

12.15.2014     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
AFC Divisional Round 
#1 New England (11-3) vs. lowest Wild Card seed 
#2 Denver (11-3) vs. highest Wild Card seed

AFC Wild Card 
#5 Pittsburgh (9-5) at #4 Cincinnati (9-4-1) 
#6 Baltimore (9-5) at #3 Indianapolis (10-4)

Got a chance: Kansas City (8-6), San Diego (8-6), Buffalo (8-6)

NFC Divisional Round 
#1 Arizona (11-3) vs. lowest Wild Card seed 
#2 Detroit (10-4) vs. highest Wild Card seed

NFC Wild Card 
#6 Green Bay (10-4) at #3 Dallas (10-4) 
#5 Seattle (10-4) at #4 Carolina (5-8-1)

Got a chance: Philadelphia (9-5), New Orleans (5-8), Atlanta (5-9)

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus plays up record to 44-29 ATS YTD

12.15.2014     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly


NFL SuperContest consensus nearly swept the board last week (4-0-1 ATS). They are now an incredible 44-29 (60%) ATS YTD.

Weekly Results 
Week 15: 4-0-1 
Week 14: 3-2 
Week 13: 1-4 
Week 12: 3-2 
Week 11: 3-2 
Week 10: 4-1 
Week 9: 3-2 
Week 8: 3-2 
Week 7: 3-2 
Week 6: 2-3 
Week 5: 2-3 
Week 4: 3-2 
Week 3: 5-1 
Week 2: 3-2  
Week 1: 2-3 
Totals: 44-29-1 YTD

NFL Gambling: Bills and Cowboys top SuperContest picks for Week 15

12.14.2014     08:17 AM     View Original Blog
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 15 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Buffalo +4.5 vs. Green Bay 
2. Dallas +3 at Philadelphia 
3. New England -7.5 vs. Miami 
4. Indianapolis -6.5 vs. Houston 
5. San Francisco +10 at Seattle

Least picked Sunday side: Jacksonville +13.5 at Baltimore

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling: Bills and Cowboys top SuperContest picks for Week 15

12.14.2014     08:17 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 15 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Buffalo +4.5 vs. Green Bay 
2. Dallas +3 at Philadelphia 
3. New England -7.5 vs. Miami 
4. Indianapolis -6.5 vs. Houston 
5. San Francisco +10 at Seattle

Least picked Sunday side: Jacksonville +13.5 at Baltimore

Tags: NFL

NBA Handicapper Free Play: San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets

12.14.2014     08:20 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
San Antonio -5 at Denver O/U 205 
Recommendation: San Antonio

On Friday’s Sportsmemo podcast, I warned listeners that the Spurs were a tad bit ‘fat and happy’ heading into their matchup with the Lakers, based on their performance without Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili and Kawhi Leonard two nights earlier when they blew out the Knicks.  And the Spurs came out as flat as a pancake against the Lakers, a performance that head coach Greg Popovich called ‘pitiful’ following the game.  "They had an edge, they were aggressive on both ends of the floor, they executed well and they definitely wanted the game more than we did. It seemed more important to them than to us. I thought our performance was pitiful."

Tim Duncan wasn’t very pleased either after losing the OT decision in SU fashion as 12.5 point favorites: “If you put a team in a situation like that, things like that can happen. We put the blame on ourselves.”  Manu Ginobili had similar sentiments: “It is frustrating. It's disappointing. Looks like we need to be challenged badly to get the best out of our game. If we don't play hard and humble and do every little thing that is needed to get these wins, we're going to struggle. We're not that good that just because of being out there we're going to win or intimidate opponents. We gotta fight for it."

Over the course of a long NBA season, I’m always looking for spots where elite teams are likely to come with full focus.  This certainly appears to be one of those games as the Spurs look for redemption at the Pepsi Center in Denver tonight.   San Antonio has dominated every recent meeting, sweeping the season series last year including wins by 31 and 8 in Denver.  And they’re catching the Nuggets in a bit of a free fall right now, losers of five of their last six; the lone win coming against a slumping Miami team playing on the second night of back-to-backs in altitude.

Tonight, it’ll be Denver who is playing on the second night of back-to-backs after suffering a double digit loss in Houston last night.  The Nuggets entire offensive flow relies on speedy point guard Ty Lawson; a guy who the Spurs have been able to gameplan very effectively against.    I’m not expecting the Nuggets best effort here in a game that they’ll probably need max intensity to compete.  Take the Spurs. 

Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Denver Nuggets Teddy Covers

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