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NBA Betting Podcast 11-24-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

11.24.2015     12:20 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER borke down the entire slate of tonight's NBA games.

Today's segments 
Erin Rynning - NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA Erin Rynning

College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

11.24.2015     10:32 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Wisconsin at Minnesota 
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - Big Ten Network 
CRIS Opener:
Wisconsin -2.5 O/U NL 
CRIS Current: Wisconsin -2.5 O/U NL 
Recommendation: Minnesota

It's a Big Ten classic rivalry match-up as the Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the Wisconsin Badgers in the battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe. The Gophers beat Illinois 32-26 at home last week and now need just one more victory to become bowl eligible for the fourth consecutive year. It's been a rough one for Minnesota with Jerry Kill forced to retire and countless injuries throughout the season. Quarterback Mitch Leidner said he will play despite injuring his hand and foot against the Illini.

Wisconsin comes into the game 8-3 after dropping a 13-7 decision to Northwestern in their home finale. The Badgers thought they had the game won but the would-be game winning touchdown was overturned. They were eliminated from Big Ten West contention prior to that game. Wisky's claim to fame this season has been its defense with some of the best numbers in the country. The schedule however (71st SOS) comes up light particularly in the Big Ten where they avoided Michigan, Ohio State, and Michigan State as well as Indiana which leads the Big Ten in total offense (448.7 ypg) in league play. Minnesota meanwhile has played the far tougher slate (28th SOS) and showed well in spread covering losses to Michigan, Ohio State, and Iowa.

From a straight up perspective, Wisconsin has owned the recent series with 11 consecutive wins. The Gophers however have covered six of the last eight. During that stretch, there was a clear gap between the two programs but despite this year’s overall records, the Badgers have taken a big step back. In my opinion, this is an even matchup which gets me to the window with the home underdog.

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten Alex B. Smith

NBA Handicapping: Chicago's Butler asks team for better effort

11.24.2015     09:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Chicago's Jimmy Butler recently called out his team for not playing hard on a nightly basis. The Bulls (8-4 SU, 4-8 ATS) have been an interesting study with Fred Hoiberg taking over for Tom Thibodeau. The Bulls are clearly playing faster (99.9 pace, 9th) but have declined offensively (98.9 efficiency, 23rd) compared to last year's rate (104.7) under Thibs. They have played better defensively this season, but the numbers are somewhat skewed as offensive efficiency league-wide is way down compared to 2014-15 season-long numbers. The Bulls play at Portland tonight. Derrick Rose (ankle) was upgraded to probable.

"I don't think we bring that fight every single night," Butler told reporters after Monday's practice. "I think we're starting to get back to that, but early on we weren't the hardest-playing team every night. We always need to and have to be the hardest-playing team."

Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Portland Trail Blazers

College Football Betting: WKU-FIU ending draws groans, cheers among bettors

11.24.2015     09:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
You probably weren't paying much attention to last weekend's Western Kentucky-Florida International game...unless you had a bet on it. They called the game with 5:03 left on the clock due to weather. According to sportsbook "code of conduct" all games must go at least 55 minutes for action. Western Kentucky was leading 63-7 which means Hilltopper supporters as well as those on the over got shafted. Those on FIU and the under aren't allowed to complain about a "bad beat" until next April.

Tags: College Football Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Florida International Panthers C-USA

College Football Gambling: Iowa State and Syracuse fire head coaches

11.24.2015     09:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's been hard to keep up with all of the college football midseason firings but two more took place earlier this week. Iowa State's Paul Rhoads was shown the door after posting a record of 32-54 and 16-44 in Big XII play. The Cyclones have a winning spread record (6-4-1) and looked ultra-competitive in closes losses to Oklahoma State and Kansas State the last two weeks. ISU is currently a +13.5 road underdog vs. West Virginia.

Syracuse sent Scott Shafer packing after eight straight losses. The Orange opened the season 3-0 and like Iowa State, having a winning spread record (7-4 ATS) this season. Syracuse closes out the year as a +3 home underdog vs. Boston College.

Note that both Rhoads and Shafer will coach this weekend.

Tags: College Football Iowa State Cylcones Syracuse Orange

College Football Betting Trends: Vanderbilt looks for perfect "under" season

11.24.2015     09:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
One of the more "impressive" streaks of the season has been Vanderbilt's run of unders with all 10 games against FBS competition cashing tickets. The average game score of those 10 games was 29.9 ppg with the average total 46.5. The total for Saturday's rivalry game vs. Tennessee is currently 41.

vs. Texas A&M - 0-25, Under 44 
vs. Kentucky - 21-17, Under 41.5 
at Florida - 7-9, Under 38.5 
at Houston - 0-34, Under 49.5 
vs. Missouri - 10-3, Under 34 
at South Carolina - 10-19, Under 46 
at MTSU - 17-13, Under 49.5 
at Ole Miss - 16-27, Under 53 
vs. Georgia - 14-31, Under 48.5 
vs. Western Kentucky - 12-14, Under 60

Tags: College Football Vanderbilt Commodores Tennessee Volunteers SEC

College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget Game of the Year vs. CRIS - Week 13

11.24.2015     08:55 AM     Printer Friendly

Week 13's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot week-to-week changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets.

2015 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 13
Golden Nugget GOY
CRIS Current
TCU -6
Oregon State
Oregon -22.5
Oregon -35
Washington State
Washington -4.5
Nebraska -7
Iowa -1
Texas A&M
LSU -7.5
LSU -5
Kansas State
Kansas State -24
Kansas State -20
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma -3
Oklahoma -6.5
Utah State
Utah State pk
BYU -3
Ohio State
Ohio State -16
Michigan -2
Penn State
Michigan State
Michigan State -12
USC -3
USC -4
Utah State
Utah -13.5
Utah -16.5
Notre Dame
Stanford -3
Stanford -4
North Carolina
NC State
NC State -6
North Carolina -6.5
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -4
Virginia Tech -3.5
Arkansas -7
Arkansas -14
Alabama -3.5
Alabama -14
Florida State
Florida State -4
Florida State -2
Georgia Tech
Georgia -1
Georgia -5
Louisville -2.5
Louisville -4
Ole Miss
Mississippi State
Ole Miss -2
Mississippi State pk
South Carolina
Clemson -3
Clemson -17
Tennessee -17
Tennessee -17

Tags: College Football

Sportsmemo's Annual Turkey Day Shootout Special

11.24.2015     08:40 AM     Printer Friendly

Tags: College Football

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL teams starting to change their stripes

11.23.2015     11:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s Week 12 already. Thanksgiving is upon us, with the holiday season right behind it.  All the NFL Bye weeks are in the rear view mirror now, with every team still having exactly six games remaining in the regular season.  We’re seeing numerous ‘morphs’ around the league; teams that have changed their stripes rather dramatically over the course of the last month. 

Some of those morphs are duly noted by the betting markets.  For example, the 3-7 Cowboys with a healthy Tony Romo are favored over the 10-0 Panthers on Thanksgiving Day, with the betting markets reacting to the Cowboys positive showing with Tony Romo back behind center this past Sunday.  The markets certainly aren’t sleeping on Dallas right now!

But what about the Lions, winners of two straight since their woeful 1-7 start?  Or the Falcons, now just 1-4 in their last five games; struggling on both sides of the football?  The Jets aren’t the same team now that they were a month ago, especially if the injuries to shutdown corner Darrelle Revis and Pro Bowl caliber center Nick Mangold don’t heal quickly.  Should we believe in the trio of suddenly surging 5-5 teams – the Buccaneers, the Chiefs and the Houston Texans, now tied for first place following a three game winning streak?  Is Cinci primed for a skid following back-to-back losses?

In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll be focusing on key Notes & Quotes from around the NFL.  These tidbits are intentionally short; a quick hitter tour around some of the key morphers in the league as we enter the stretch run of this compelling NFL campaign.

Let me start with the Jacksonville Jaguars, winners of two straight, now just a single game out of first place in the AFC South.  And the Jags success has come, at least in part, due to Blake Bortles leading game winning drives in the fourth quarter or overtime.  In fact, Bortles leads the NFL, with four such drives this season – all four of the Jaguars wins this year -- one more than Andy Dalton, Jay Cutler or Matt Ryan.

Of course, it’s also worth noting that Bortles entered last week’s game with a 47% completion rate in the fourth quarter and OT, ranked dead last in the NFL among quarterbacks with enough pass attempts to qualify.  Bortles has thrown at least one interception in each of his last six games and he’s only thrown one pass of 40 yards or longer in his last five starts; unable to stretch opposing defenses. That fourth quarter/OT stat is NOT a sign that Blake Bortles has developed into an upper echelon NFL quarterback.

Meanwhile, head coach Gus Bradley is concerned that the Jags are going to be overconfident following their two game win streak.  “I guess we’ll wait and see. That will be the talk. They’re sure saying the right things and acting the right way. In the locker room, in our talk, [a] couple of players said some things to the team that I thought were spot on…. I have great faith in them, but that’s something we’ll watch as a team and make sure that we’re keeping it tight and going in the right direction.”

The Detroit Lions did two very impressive things in their win over the Raiders on Sunday.  Detroit shut down David Carr and the Raiders potent passing game, holding Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper to a combined 54 receiving yards; their lowest total of the season.  And, with the game on the line in the fourth quarter, the Lions were able to run out the clock with an impressive 13 play drive that lasted more than seven and a half minutes. 

Detroit is now 3-0 when they run the ball at least 20 times.  Offensive tackle Riley Reiff: “It's a great feeling for the offensive line when everyone, including the Raiders, knew we were going to run and we were still able to do it.”  Of course, longtime Lions fans aren’t looking for a late season transformation, with Detroit morphing back to the playoff caliber team they were last year.  Any sort of late season run will probably take the Lions out of contention for a Top 5 draft pick next spring.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers entered Week 11 with a +0.5 yards per play differential; ranked right between NFL elites Carolina and Cincinnati in that key statistical category.  Then the Bucs proceeded to outgain the Eagles 7.2 to 5.3 yards per play in a blowout road win, behind five TD passes from rookie quarterback Jameis Winston (to five different receivers!), producing their highest point total since 2001.

Winston: “I ain't going to cry, but this is a dream come true for me. I always wanted to play here, ever since I was a little boy. I always wanted to be an Eagle. I was even singing the fight song on the sideline. It was a special day for me."

Bucs wide receiver Mike Evans: “We are watching a young quarterback grow before our eyes." 

Head coach Lovie Smith: “We've talked a lot about being relevant again.  Well, we're relevant again." 

Meanwhile, this quote is worthy of note from Philadelphia Eagles defensive coordinator Bill Davis after his D was gashed for 283 yards on the ground and 238 through the air.  “A game like this will shake your confidence and that's our biggest enemy because it can destroy you.”

The Green Bay Packers snapped a three game skid with a blowout win at Minnesota.  Their defense came up strong, notching six sacks, and Eddie Lacy enjoyed a rare 100 yard rushing effort, taking some of the pressure off Aaron Rodgers and the passing game.   That being said, Rogers still completed fewer than half of his pass attempts.  And his much maligned receiving corps didn’t offer him many easy targets with only James Jones gaining more than 40 yards through the air.

Still, the postgame comments from Rodgers were very positive. “Maybe we'll get you guys off our back for a couple days. We've been taking it on the chin, rightfully so, the last three weeks after a couple real poor performances. This was an important week for us. We really stuck together… I think sometimes we play a little better when we start to get questioned.”

The Denver Broncos snapped a two game skid of their own, with Brock Osweiler getting his first career start in place of Peyton Manning at quarterback.  He completed 20-27 pass attempts for 250 yards without an interception.

Osweiler: "I don't know if anybody believed me, but I really was telling the truth -- I have not wasted a single day sitting behind Peyton. I fully recognize that he might be the greatest quarterback to ever play, if not one of the greatest. I wasn't going to let one of those days go by where I didn't learn something. I've been very appreciative for my situation….I was comfortable from the very first snap.”

Broncos LB Von Miller: “He does this all of the time in practice, in preseason. I kind of came out here and expected it. What he did is what I expected him to do."

Head coach Gary Kubiak: “Brock can do everything. He's a very composed young man and the more he plays, I think, the better he's going to get. He's a sharp young man. He has a lot of confidence in himself and he should obviously gain some more through this experience."

Follow me on Twitter @teddy_covers.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas

NFL Betting Podcast 11-23-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

11.23.2015     10:31 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report for Week 12 of the NFL.

Today's segments 
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report - Week 12

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus plays drop to 29-24 ATS YTD

11.23.2015     08:33 AM     Printer Friendly


SuperContest consensus plays for Week 11 went 2-3 ATS -- though both Green Bay and Minnesota made the top five thus canceling each other out. The YTD record now stands at 29-24-2 ATS.

1. DALLAS pk at Miami - WIN 
2. NY JETS -2 at Houston - LOSS 
3. GREEN BAY +1 at Minnesota - WIN 
4. CINCINNATI +5 at Arizona - LOSS 
5. MINNESOTA -1 vs. Green Bay - LOSS

NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 11 consensus picks

11.21.2015     08:14 PM     View Original Blog
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 11 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. DALLAS pk at Miami 
2. NY JETS -2 at Houston 
3. GREEN BAY +1 at Minnesota 
4. CINCINNATI +5 at Arizona 
5. MINNESOTA -1 vs. Green Bay

Least picked Sunday side: Houston +2 vs. NY Jets.

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 11 consensus picks

11.21.2015     08:14 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 11 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. DALLAS pk at Miami 
2. NY JETS -2 at Houston 
3. GREEN BAY +1 at Minnesota 
4. CINCINNATI +5 at Arizona 
5. MINNESOTA -1 vs. Green Bay

Least picked Sunday side: Houston +2 vs. NY Jets.

Tags: NFL

Sportsmemo DFS OVERLAY ALERT + Draft to Help Fight Hunger

11.21.2015     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly


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Tags: NFL

Sports Betting Podcast 11-20-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow, Erin Rynning, and Teddy Covers

11.20.2015     12:20 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Teddy Covers. ER and Teddy broke down the NFL Week 11 slate. Brent Crow also joined us to talk college basketball TV games.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Brent Crow - College Basketball

Erin Rynning - NFL Every Game on the Board Part I

Teddy Covers - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL College Basketball Teddy Covers Erin Rynning Brent Crow Andrew Lange

NFL Gambling Preview: Indianapolis Colts at Atlanta Falcons

11.20.2015     11:10 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Indianapolis at Atlanta 
Sunday, 10 am PT 
CRIS Opener:
Atlanta -6.5 O/U 46 
CRIS Current: Atlanta -6 O/U 47 
Recommendation: Atlanta

The Colts and Falcons went into their respective bye weeks with a very different state of mind.  Indy lost QB Andrew Luck, but they pulled an outright upset over the Broncos, keeping them in first place in the AFC South.  Atlanta, on the other hand, lost back-to-back games to the Bucs and 49ers by a combined four points. 

Since their 4-0 SU and ATS start to the campaign, Dan Quinn’s squad is just 2-3 SU, 0-5 ATS, a dramatically overvalued commodity in recent weeks.  It’s surely worth noting that the Falcons were favored from between -3 to -8 in all five of those ATS losses; the exact same price range that we find Atlanta in again this week.  In fact, Atlanta’s only two wins by more than six points this year came back in Weeks 3 & 4, when they beat the Cowboys with Brandon Weeden and the Texans in Ryan Mallett’s last game as the starter.

Quinn is very familiar with 40 year old Colts backup QB Matt Hasselbeck – the duo spent two years in Seattle together in 2009 and 2010.  Quinn’s quote: “I think the thing that jumps out is the guy’s football smarts. He’s got an ability to anticipate really well—knows what’s coming, knows where to put it. The fact that he’s doing it as long as he has speaks to the competitor in him, as well.”  Local reports indicate that the Colts are planning to ‘take the reins off’ Frank Gore this week, utilizing a relatively rare (for Indy) run-first gameplan on Sunday.

The Falcons run defense has been their strength all year, allowing just 3.7 yards per carry; among the top five teams in the league in that key statistical category.  Indy’s struggling offensive line hasn’t exactly been blowing holes open for their backs – Indy is below the league average, gaining only 4.0 yards per rush.  And Quinn’s defensive mindset is primed to pay dividends following the bye week;  prime time for a first year head coach to clean things up.

The Falcons haven’t been losing games because of their defense – it’s Matt Ryan and the offense that has come up short.  During their four game winning streak to open the season, the Falcons hung at least 24 on their opponent in every game.  During their current five game ATS losing streak, they haven’t scored more than 21 points in regulation. 

Ryan’s quotes sound pretty confident that they can turn things around against the Colts suspect defense: “(We)  just need to get back to executing in the way we are capable of. I think areas that we need to improve are third downs and red zone. In order to be better in those situations, to me it comes down to making the plays when you have the opportunity.”  The Falcons have worked extensively on their no-huddle, uptempo offense in practice this week; bad news for a Colts defense short on both depth and talent.

I don’t believe this is a good matchup for Hasselbeck, and under no circumstances am I willing to accept that there’s no drop-off for the Colts when their stud QB is forced to sit, replaced by a 40 year old with wins over the Jags and Texans on his resume.  I don’t think this is a good matchup for Indy’s defense either, and the markets have certainly cooled on Atlanta since their hot start.  Laying less than a TD with the Falcons is the only way I can look here.

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Atlanta Falcons Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Preview: North Texas Mean Green at MTSU Blue Raiders

11.20.2015     11:04 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
North Texas at Middle Tennessee State 
Saturday, 9 pm PT 
CRIS Opener:
MTSU -23 O/U 61 
CRIS Current: MTSU -24 O/U 64 
Recommendation: Over 
The North Texas Mean Green is headed back to the state of Tennessee for the second straight week, this time to take on long-time rival Middle Tennessee. The Mean Green lost to the Tennessee Volunteers 24-0 last week in a game UNT was more competitive than many expected on the defensive side of the ball. Middle Tennessee has hit a stride offensively led by redshirt freshman quarterback Brent Stockstill who is head coach Rick Stockstill’s son. Stockstill eclipsed the 3,000 yard mark last week and has been ultra-efficient as well throwing for 23 touchdowns and only 7 interceptions with a 65% completion percentage.  MTSU has superior athletes as well on the outside most notably Richie James, a high school quarterback ranked as a three-star athlete, they moved to wide receiver. James leads C-USA with an average of 8.2 receptions a game and ranks second in receiving yards at 103.7 a game.  MTSU has also picked up the pace offensively averaging 83 plays ran per game their last three games up over 6% from their season average. 

North Texas made a change at the quarterback position a few weeks ago and has seen an uptick in offensive performance, scoring 28 points or more in two of their last five games; a feat the Mean Green had not accomplished before naming Demarcus Smith the starter. Last week the Mean Green were obviously shutout, but when you look into the situations and yardage metrics it was not an issue of moving the ball. UNT’s struggles were particularly apparent on third and fourth down. The Mean Green converted just two of their 12 third downs and didn’t convert on either of their fourth-down attempts, including a fake punt. The Mean Green under interim head coach and offensive coordinator Mike Canales has shown in recent weeks the propensity to take chances and go for it on fourth down, the kind of volatility I like to have when betting on an over. With the nothing to lose mentality of North Texas and the recent uptick in tempo for MTSU combined with the loose atmosphere in Murfreesboro we’ll look to the over.

Tags: College Football North Texas Mean Green Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders C-USA Drew Martin

Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 11-19-2015

11.19.2015     11:18 AM     Printer Friendly


Here's our Week 12 College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast. Handicappers Drew Martin, Ian Cameron, and Rob Veno joined host Andrew Lange to break down this weekend's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Drew Martin - College Football Every Game on the Board Part I (311-345)

Ian Cameron - College Football Every Game on the Board Part II (347-381)

Rob Veno - College Football Every Game on the Board Part III (383-417)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Drew Martin Ian Cameron Rob Veno Andrew Lange

College Football Betting Preview: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Miami Hurricanes

11.19.2015     08:57 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Georgia Tech at Miami (FL) 
Saturday, 9:30 am PT 
CRIS Opener:
Miami -1 O/U 56.5 
CRIS Current: Georgia Tech -2 O/U 55.5 
Recommendation: Miami

Nothing more than pride at stake here in this ACC Coastal Division matchup so hard to know if each side will come with maximum effort. Miami already has six wins and a bowl bid but the incentive of winning their last two games in order to get a better one could motivate them more than the 3-7 Yellow Jackets. Tech does have its in-state rival Georgia next week at home so maybe they are looking ahead to that as their bowl game. However, bettors have to be careful handicapping this one as a “mailing it in” type of effort on Georgia Tech’s part because their Paul Johnson insists his team has not given up on the season. Johnson says his team has given maximum effort all season but he feels 2015 has been more of a “Murphy’s Law” type campaign. Earlier this week he said "This year, it seems like whatever has had a chance to go wrong goes wrong, and I think you make your own breaks, "I'm not crying about that. We've got to do a better job of doing the detailed things to make our own breaks." "I think that this team has continued to try to play hard, I think they want to do well.”

For Miami, it was obvious in last week’s 59-21 loss at North Carolina that ex-head coach Al Golden was not the real problem in Coral Gables. The 487 total yards allowed by the Hurricanes in that contest marked the seventh time in their last eight games that the defense has allowed 407 or more. The only three opponents to not hit the 400 yard plateau against Miami this season are FCS Bethune-Cookman (weather shortened game), Florida Atlantic (75th nationally ypg) and Virginia Tech (80th ypg). Key injuries have taken a toll on each of these squads this season and Ga Tech has been forced to play 23 freshmen (10 true) because of that.

Fundamentals here are easy to decipher and they draw instant conclusions that will likely hold up in this game. The largest negative is the Georgia Tech passing offense which unlike recent years has not been able to sporadically complement their option offense with significant gains. On the season, Tech QB Justin Thomas is completing just 42.6% of his passes after hitting 51.3% last year. Without the ability to connect over the top more consistently, the Yellow Jackets offense has sputtered the last eight games averaging just 345.5 ypg and 23.6 ppg. Miami is by no means a defensive juggernaut and they’ve been stung by rushing attacks to the tune of 202.7 ypg but Georgia Tech’s lack of ground production the past couple of games (144 yards at Virginia and 161 yards vs. Virginia Tech) isn’t helping right now.

The return of Miami starting QB Brad Kaaya last week didn’t matter at all but it could matter here since the only three balanced offenses Georgia Tech has faced this year all went for 30+ points and 417+ yards. The ‘Canes have taken good care of the ball this year committing just 11 turnovers and Georgia Tech has not been a  strong takeaway team (14 in their last 9 games) which figure to give an advantage to Miami. Georgia Tech just seems to be out of sync and it doesn’t seem like they’re going to be able to change that even with the extra time to prepare. Miami needs to give the crowd a nice finish to their home season and have to believe that’s what they’ll do here. Line has flipped and Miami has gone from -1 to +2 so the lean here will be toward the home underdog. 

Tags: College Football Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Miami (FL) Hurricanes ACC Rob Veno

College Football Betting News: Baylor QB dealing with back issues

11.19.2015     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Baylor could be in a sticky situation for Saturday's game at Oklahoma State. Former backup and current starting quarterback Jarrett Stidham is dealing with a bruised back. He's likely to play but if not, the Bears' third stringer, Chris Johnson, would get the call. Johnson has spent parts of the season playing wide receiver. Saturday's game is currently lined at a pick 'em.

"Honestly, not as far along as what I'd like for him to be," Briles said. "We'll see in the next day or two."

Tags: College Football Baylor Bears Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII

NFL Handicapping: Colts talk offensive game plan vs. Falcons

11.19.2015     06:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
New offensive coordinator and new quarterback for the Indianapolis Colts heading into Sunday's game at Atlanta. New OC Rob Chudzinski has reportedly simplified the offense with more emphasis on the run now that 40-year-old Matt Hasselbeck is under center.

“The game of football should be like that,’’ Gore said Wednesday. “It helped the defense (to) control the clock. Put us in better situations.”

“I think that probably was the best offensive game for four quarters. Staying on the field, moving the chains, moving the ball, getting tough yards. As an offense we got to keep doing it.’’

“A quarterback’s best friend is pass protection, and the running game helps that,” he said. “The running game, I think we all want to be balanced and having Frank and these guys, it’s a huge help.”

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Atlanta Falcons

College Football Gambling: Minnesota offense trying to be more dynamic

11.19.2015     06:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Interesting article about Minnesota trying to open up its offense and take more chances under new head coach Tracy Claeys. Jerry Kill, as we know, was pretty conservative when it came to play calling. In the three games under Claeys, the Golden Gophers averaged over 6 yards per play despite facing the three above average defenses of Michigan, Ohio State, and Iowa.

“One of the interesting things is that I think Coach Kill always felt that way,” Limegrover said. “So that kind of permeated down. … And interestingly enough, with Tracy being the defensive coordinator and now the head coach, he’s been the one to say, ‘Hey, go ahead and take a chance here.’ ”

Tags: College Football Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten

NBA Betting Podcast 11-18-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning

11.18.2015     12:08 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Both cappers tackled the entire NBA slate for tonight.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board I

Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA Teddy Covers Erin Rynning

NFL Gambling Preview: Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears

11.18.2015     09:30 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Denver at Chicago 
Sunday, 10 am PT 
CRIS Opener:
Chicago pk O/U 43 
CRIS Current: Chicago -1 O/U 41.5 
Recommendation: Chicago

The Denver Broncos (7-2) head to the Windy City on Sunday to take on the surging Chicago Bears (4-5). The Broncos suffered their second straight defeat last week in a 29-13 loss the Kansas City Chiefs. The big story in that contest was Peyton Manning surpassing Brett Favre as the NFL's all-time passing yardage leader, only to throw four interceptions on 20 attempts and get benched in favor of Brock Osweiler.  Osweiler threw for two touchdowns well after the game was out of reach in the fourth quarter. The Chiefs held Denver's run game in check as well, yielding just 69 yards on the ground on 16 total carries.

Chicago won for the second straight weekend with a 37-13 blowout of the St. Louis Rams. Running back Jeremy Langford was the star of this contest has he picked up 73 yards rushing and 109 yards receiving along with a pair of touchdowns. Tight end Zach Miller also picked up two touchdowns and 107 yards receiving on just five catches; his longest, an 80-yard score on the Bears’ first offensive possession.

The two biggest storylines within this game is Osweiler being named the starter and Chicago's head coach John Fox facing his former team. Fox led the Broncos to a 46-18 record during the regular season, including four AFC West title and one AFC Championship.

The Broncos are going to have to rely on their defense even more than they already have in order to win this game. Denver's front seven has been one of the best in the NFL, recording a league-best 32 sacks and holding rushers to an average of 86 yards per game. They will have their hands full stopping an offense that has found some new life thanks to the aforementioned duo of Langford and Miller as well as Jay Cutler who has quietly performed above average and more importantly limited his turnovers. Chicago's defense has also been solid as of late by holding clubs to 22 ppg. The return of LB Shea McClellan and veteran CB Tracy Porter has clearly had a positive impact.

This will be a big test for the 24-year old Osweiler who has spent much of his limited playing time in the casual atmosphere of blowouts. I expect Chicago's defense to pressure him early and often and make enough plays on offense to come away with the victory.

Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Chicago Bears Alex B. Smith

College Football Betting Preview: UCLA Bruins at Utah Utes

11.18.2015     08:47 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
UCLA at Utah 
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FOX 
CRIS Opener:
Utah -2 O/U 59.5 
CRIS Current: Utah -2 O/U 58 
Recommendation: Utah

My clients and I cashed our 20* PAC-12 Game Of The Year last week with Washington State as the Cougars got the dramatic outright win at UCLA. This week, the Bruins and opponent Utah are both in the mix (along with USC) to win the South Division and get to the PAC-12 Championship game so this game is obviously very important for both sides.

We’ve seen multiple key injuries throughout the season decimate UCLA’s defense highlighted by cluster injuries at LB with Myles Jack and Isaako Savaiinaea going down earlier in the season. The Bruins have yielded 24+ points to every team they have faced in the PAC-12 this season with the exception of a struggling and injury riddled Oregon State offense that didn’t have its starting quarterback. The Bruins’ defense simply didn’t make any key stops in crunch time last week as it allowed Washington State’s offense led by quarterback Luke Falk to march down the field for the game winning touchdown in the final minute. Their struggles on defense, specifically their 85th ranked run defense, is a concern here against Utah’s very strong ground attack led by senior RB Devontae Booker. Utah saw its College Football Playoff chances go up in smoke in a 37-30 OT loss to Arizona last week but this home field has been a strong one for the Utes with a 5-0 SU mark. Utah is tied with USC for the top spot in the division although the Trojans have control of their own destiny there’s obvious motivation for the home side.

It is worth noting UCLA’s toughest road foe away from home this season was Stanford and got worked over, 56-35, and its other three road games were at Arizona, Oregon State, and UNLV. I also think we have a very real coaching edge as well with Kyle Whittingham over Jim Mora. Mora and the Bruins are prone to silly mistakes at key times and looked completely discombobulated in last week’s loss to Wazzu. It got so bad, UCLA players were literally fighting one another on the field during the game. What’s keeping this line below a field goal is UCLA’s better statistical profile. But the Bruins’ season appears headed in the wrong direction and this is an opponent and venue that mandates total focus and effort.

Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins Utah Utes PAC-12 Ian Cameron

College Football Betting: Duke's season going from good, to bad, to worse

11.18.2015     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
So Duke is sort of a hot mess right now. After starting the season 6-1, they "lost" that infamous game to Miami and were then outclassed in losses to North Carolina and Pittsburgh. Now, multiple players have been suspended including one of the Blue Devils' top receivers. Duke is currently catching +2.5 at Virginia for Saturday.

“With this circumstance, it had reached a point where it was in their best interest, and certainly the program’s best interest, to move forward somewhere else. We appreciate and thank them for their contributions to the program. We wish them well in whatever they choose to do. I will not go into any other details about this issue.”

Tags: College Football Duke Blue Devils Virginia Cavaliers ACC

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