Atlanta (Minor) at Miami (Buehrle)
Recommendation: Miami Over 4 Team Total
Adding to our previous blog post that touched on Miami’s success against left-handed pitching: The Marlins bats have been held down in two consecutive games but we’ll call for them to come alive here tonight against Mike Minor. The Braves left hander has been dreadful this season and has allowed at least four runs in six consecutive trips to the mound. He features a 7.27 ERA away from home and despite the spacious dimensions of this new park in Miami this is playing like a hitters field. As we saw a couple of weeks ago the Marlins match up well against Minor; they had nine base runners on in less than five innings against him, scoring six runs before he was yanked.
That shouldn’t be a surprise as Miami has dominated the left handers of late. They’ve won nine straight against left handed starters, defeating Cole Hamels, Madison Bumgarner, Jamie Moyer, Mike Minor, Jon Niese, Johan Santana, Wandy Rodriguez, Clayton Richard and Barry Zito. That’s a pretty strong list! In home games in particular the Marlins have scored at least five runs in seven of their eight games against a southpaw starter, another strong indicator for tonight’s bet.
