Revisiting a blog from last year that tracked the results of college football teams without a bye week during the regular season. The theory is that these teams will eventually wear down both physically and mentally. The results (last three games SU and ATS) aren’t mind-blowing, but the 37% SU winning percentage does stands out. Note that in 2009, virtually the entire Big Ten didn’t have a bye so the numbers are somewhat skewed with “none bye teams” often playing one another. If you completely eliminate the ’09 Big Ten, the overall numbers are even stronger at 23-49 SU and 30-41-1 ATS.
Like most of our studies, we aren’t necessarily looking for a formula to bet blind – they rarely if ever exist. Rather, we find schedule situations that can put teams at an advantage or disadvantage. In the case of not having a bye week, it certainly isn’t helpful and a factor worth adding to your handicap.
Some schools (marked with asterisks) had their bye in Week 1 and played continuously for the remainder of the season. We included them because it really doesn’t serve as an advantage.
This year,
California, UNLV, New Mexico, Western Michigan, Akron, UL-Monroe, and Texas A&M do not have a bye week. Note that A&M’s Week 1 game vs. Louisiana Tech was canceled and rescheduled for October 13.
| College Football Teams Without A Bye Week 2008-11 |
Year | Team | SU Final 3 Games | ATS Final 3 Games | 2011 | NC State | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2011 | UAB | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2011 | Tulane | 0-3 | 2-1 | 2011 | Colorado | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2011 | Central Michigan | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2010 | UL-Monroe | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2010 | Temple | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2010 | Ball State | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2010 | New Mexico State* | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2010 | UTEP | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2010 | Colorado State | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2010 | Wyoming | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2010 | Air Force | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2010 | Iowa State | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2010 | Baylor | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2009 | Miami (OH) | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2009 | Western Michigan | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2009 | Air Force | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2009 | TCU* | 3-0 | 2-1 | 2009 | Iowa State | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2009 | Kent State | 0-3 | 0-2-1 | 2009 | Indiana | 0-3 | 2-1 | 2009 | Purdue | 2-1 | 2-0-1 | 2009 | Northwestern | 3-0 | 3-0 | 2009 | Minnesota | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2009 | Michigan | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2009 | Michigan State | 2-1 | 1-1-1 | 2009 | Iowa | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2009 | Ohio State | 3-0 | 2-1 | 2009 | Penn State | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2009 | Vanderbilt | 0-3 | 2-1 | 2008 | Purdue* | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2008 | New Mexico | 0-3 | 1-2 | Results | | 37-62 | 44-52-3 |
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