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NFL Gambling Preview: San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers

09.05.2012     12:34 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco at Green Bay 
Erin Rynning’s Recommendation:
See analysis 
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT – FOX 
CRIS Opener:
Green Bay -6.5 O/U 45 
CRIS Current: Green Bay -5 O/U 47 
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Green Bay -7

The 49ers were a tremendous story last season as new head coach Jim Harbaugh took them to a 13-3 record and the NFC Championship.  Many experts expect are calling for some sort of regression after the 49ers parlayed an easy schedule and an amazing +28 turnover margin into robust success.  The schedule is tougher this year and given the nature of the NFL, it would be foolish to project anything close to a +28 TO margin again. That being said, I still think this is a good football team but one thing the 49ers need to improve on in order to beat the big boys like Green Bay is red zone offense after ranking 29th in the league last year.

After a 15-1 regular season, the Packers ended their campaign in bitter disappointment as well with a 37-20 home loss to the eventual Super Bowl Champion New York Giants. Like San Francisco, Green Bay was very fortunate in the turnover department with a +24 margin. Note also that the Packers were outgained in nine of their last 12 games, which indicates they weren’t as strong as their gaudy record.

The key match-up for the 49ers in this contest will be how they contend with the Packers’ spread passing game.  The 49ers played an undemanding schedule of quarterbacks and passing offenses last year and their secondary is the questionable portion of their defense.  Meanwhile, for the Packers, can they match the 49ers from a physical standpoint at the line of scrimmage?  The 49ers will try to control tempo with their running game and the Packers might have a difficult time stopping it without key linebacker Desmond Bishop and his 142 tackles last year.  This should be a great football game with two of the best coordinated teams in the NFL.  My numbers indicate a close 23-20 type game which has me leaning towards the under and road underdog. 

Follow Erin Rynning on twitter @ersports1

Erin Rynning has dominated 2012 with 57% documented winners and over +46 units in the bank. He's off to a red hot 7-1 start to the football campaign and has multiple package options available for purchase at his homepage.    

Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers San Francisco 49ers Erin Rynning





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