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NFL Betting Analysis: Trying to make sense of the Arizona Cardinals

09.17.2012     12:31 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
On today's Sportsmemo Podcast, Teddy Covers mentioned that dating back to last year, the Arizona Cardinals are on a quiet 9-2 straight up run. And part of the reason it hasn't grabbed people's attention is that they've been doing it with defense. During that 11-game span, the Cardinals allowed 18.1 ppg and 326.7 ypg. The slate wasn't loaded with high-powered offenses but there were a few with Dallas, Philadelphia and most recently New England.

Now, Arizona was fortunate. Four of their nine wins came in overtime and the biggest victory was by six points – thanks to a 99-yard punt return…again in OT. Arizona doesn't even have a full 1 ppg advantage over those 11 opponents and were outgained and out first-downed overall. But the most mind blowing stat is that in those 11 games, Arizona won the turnover battle just once! In six of those games, they LOST the turnover battle and still managed to go 4-2. So we have an 11-game sample (which is nothing to go crazy over), a team that gave up more yards, more first downs, had a miniscule 0.9 ppg scoring advantage, was -10 in turnover margin, AND went 9-2 SU/8-3 ATS! That brain of yours starting to hurt yet?

Arizona Cardinals Betting Results Last 11 games 2011-12
Date
Opponent
Score
Arizona ATS
9/16/12
at New England
Win 20-18
Win +13
9/9/12
at Seattle
Win 20-16
Win +3
1/01/12
Seattle
Win 23-20 OT
Win -2.5
12/24/11
at Cincinnati
Loss 16-23
Loss +4.5
12/18/11
Cleveland
Win 20-17 OT
Loss -6
12/11/11
San Francisco
Win 21-19
Win +3.5
12/04/11
Dallas
Win 19-13 OT
Win +4
11/27/11
at St. Louis
Win 23-20
Win +1
11/20/11
at San Francisco
Loss 7-23
Loss +10
11/13/11
at Philadelphia
Win 21-17
Win +13.5
11/06/11
St. Louis
Win 19-13 OT
Win -2.5
Results
 
9-2 SU
8-3 ATS
 


Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Andrew Lange





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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Marty Otto, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Alf Musketa, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jun 19, 2013 08:44 AM.