Kansas State at Baylor 
Ian Cameron’s Recommendation: Kansas State 
Saturday, 5 pm PT – ESPN 
CRIS Opener: Kansas State -11 O/U 74 
CRIS Current: Kansas State -13 O/U 74 
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Kansas State -11

Kansas State is the No. 1 team in the BCS standings entering this week. They are among the most public teams in college football yet their pointspread dominance just continues to roll on. KSU is 10-0 SU, 8-1-1 ATS and they’ve outscored the opposition by an average of 24.5 ppg. The Wildcats can clinch a share of the Big XII title and the league's automatic BCS bowl bid with a win against Baylor so don’t expect a letdown this week.

Kansas State has put up gaudy numbers offensively scoring 51, 52, 35, 24, 56, 27, 55, 55, 44 and 23 points. That is awful news for Baylor’s sieve-like defense which has all the characteristics of a bottom-tier unit. They’ve had woeful coverage downfield in their secondary, been manhandled in the trenches against power rushing teams like Kansas State, suffered from abysmal open field tackling, and they’ve generated very little pass rush on opposing quarterbacks. It’s no surprise that Baylor is allowing over 519 total yards and 39.4 points per game. They rank 97th or worse in the country in all four major defensive categories: total yards, passing yards, rushing yards and points allowed. The Bears have given up 42 to UL Monroe, 70 to West Virginia, 49 to TCU, 56 to Texas, 35 to Iowa State and 42 to Oklahoma. The Wildcats put up 36 points against the Bears last season and are poised for a lot more against this anemic stop unit on Saturday.

Baylor’s offense has kept them in games all season but Kansas State has had few issues stopping spread offenses in Big XII play. The Cats held Oklahoma to 19 points, silenced West Virginia’s attack to 14 points, and allowed just 24 to Texas Tech. Last week, the Wildcats held Oklahoma State to 20 points by the time the fourth quarter started before OSU tacked on few meaningless scores late. Bottom line is if Baylor can’t trade points with Kansas State, they simply don’t have the defense to stay close. Too many things in favor of the road chalk. Lay the points.

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