South Alabama at UL-Monroe
Saturday, 2 pm PT
CRIS Opener: South Alabama -13 O/U 54
CRIS Current: South Alabama -13 O/U 50.5
Recommendation: South Alabama
The South Alabama Jaguars won their first Sun Belt game of the season this past weekend with a hard-fought 13-10 triumph over Georgia State. They now take on a reeling UL-Monroe squad that profiles as a prime fade candidate down the stretch.
ULM is without their starting quarterback, Garrett Smith, who is out for the season with a knee injury. That leaves redshirt freshman Will Collins in charge of the offense. Since Collins took over, ULM was blown out at New Mexico and against Arkansas State. In the two games without Smith ULM has yet to top 165 yards passing. The Warhawks have had success at times running the football but it’s more volume than effectiveness with 190 ypg but only 4.1 ypc vs. the Sun Belt.
South Alabama has been a tough handicap all year long. This is a team who went into Starkville and knocked off Mississippi State and also beat one of the best teams in the Mountain West Conference in San Diego State. On the negative side, USA did not record its first Sun Belt win until last week. The schedule though softens in a big way with ULM, Idaho and New Mexico State remaining.
This is an odd price range for the Jaguars having been favored in only one Sun Belt game (-5 vs. Georgia State). But it’s warranted considering the step down in class. Considerable gap in talent and capability has me calling for a blowout with from the road side.