St. Joe's at St. Bonaventure
Recommendation: First half under 70
Since losing its best offensive player, Shavar Newkirk, Saint Joseph's has really struggled to score. In five A-10 games without him, the Hawks have averaged only 63.6 ppg and topped 1 point per possession once (1.01) vs. Fordham. In the lone conference game Newkirk played, the team netted 1.11 ppp which was the fourth-best mark of the season. St. Joe's was already one of the youngest teams in the country and without Newkirk, a junior, they become even younger. St. Bonaventure meanwhile is experienced and playing some of its best basketball of the season with recent blowout wins over Fordham and Saint Louis. The Bonnies held both teams to a combined 105 points. SB's weakness has been defending the three as they've allowed opposing teams to shoot just under 39%. That weakness is unlikely to be exposed tonight as Saint Joe's shoots only 31% from three and far worse when you eliminate Newkirk's near 40% mark on 48 attempts. St. Joe's got its offense somewhat on track late time out against Penn in a 78-71 victory. Much of that offense however was fueled via the free throw as the Hawks went to the charity stripe a staggering 43 times. They still only shot 41% from the floor. Pointspread is in a range where we could see fouls and free throws late. We'll instead look to play the first half under.