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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

04.26.2017     09:16 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego (Cahill) at Arizona (Godley) -130 O/U 10
Recommendation: Under

San Diego's Trevor Cahill is seemingly always in a state of "reinvention." Last year, he found his niche tossing out of the bullpen for the Cubs where he flashed a 2.74 ERA. This season, he's starting for the Padres and thus far doing a pretty good job. Like some of the highest priced pitchers in the game, Cahill is doing two things extremely well: miss bats and gardner ground balls. In three starts, he's posted 43 swinging strikes, 21 strikeouts and 28 ground balls. He's reportedly incorporated a new cutter/slider type pitch that compliments his main pitch, a sinker. Giving Cahill's history, an injury and/or regression is likely on the horizon but for the time being, he appears to be undervalued.

With Shelby Miller on the shelf, Arizona will turn to fringe arm Zack Godley. Godley doesn't have much of a track record but looked sharp in spring training and prior to his call-up from Triple-A Reno.

“There were some very good candidates that were throwing the ball in Reno,” Lovullo said. “But we trust and believe in their eyes, and that was their recommendation. He threw the ball very well at the tail end of spring training, and he left a very positive impression on myself and the rest of the staff.”

He walks into a favorable situation as San Diego's offense ranks near the bottom of the National League. And getting out of Petco hasn't yielded better results. In 13 road games, the Padres are averaging 3.2 runs per game and some dismal splits: .218/.278/.374/.652. In the first two games of this series, San Diego posted 28 strikeouts and only three walks. They plated four runs against fringe reliever Silvino Bracho who has since been sent down. Outside of that, Arizona's staff held San Diego to five runs in 17.2 innings.

Despite both starters not having much in the way of pedigree, current form and situation suggest there's some value on playing this game under the total.

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Arizona Diamondbacks Andrew Lange




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