Kansas City (Kennedy) +130 at Seattle (Moore) O/U 9
Recommendation: Kansas City
Kansas City’s push to 41-40 and second place in the AL Central Division has been an absolute jackpot for anyone who saw it coming. Over their last 21 games, the Royals have gone 15-6 and produced a hefty profit of +9.37 units. During this current stretch, Ian Kennedy has taken the hill four times with the team going 4-0 resulting in +4.64 units. The numbers have been good for Kennedy in this streak (2.70 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 19-4 K/BB ratio and only 29 total bases allowed). Home Runs have been problematic for the fly ball prone veteran and but he’s limited the damage of late allowing four solo shots over his last 23.1 IP. Seattle has a potent and dangerous lineup but it figures to be somewhat diminished tonight with clean-up hitter Nelson Cruz nursing a knee injury.
Taking the mound for the M’s will be 23-year-old rookie Andrew Moore whose first career start came 11 days ago on June 22. In that contest he threw seven quality innings against Detroit giving up just three runs and six hits. The 100-pitch effort saw Moore register six groundball outs and 10 flyball outs while averaging 91.2 mph on his fastball.
Kansas City is on a fantastic offensive run over the last nine days posting a .301 BA, .359 OBP, .869 OPS while over the same span, Seattle has gone cold .236 BA, .322 OBP, .721 OPS. Fundamentally this looks to be a good matchup for the contact making Royals offense vs. Moore who struck out just four of the 26 batters he faced. Meanwhile, Kennedy’s 2-6 record is very misleading considering he owns a season long WHIP of 1.18 and a BAA of .204. KC’s bullpen is the better one in this series matchup but they are a bit taxed heading into tonight’s game making their advantage less than what it would normally be over the disastrous Seattle relief corps. On a short and unattractive Monday card, the hot Kansas City Royals are worth a look at this underdog price.