Here's something you don't see often. Team A closes as -2.5 Week 1 home chalk and proceeds to lose 20-0. Team A opens -3.5 home chalk for Week 2 and proceeds to get bet up to -6.5. That's the situation for the Cincinnati Bengals who play host to the Houston Texans on Thursday. But the Cinci "love" could perhaps also be Houston "hate" after the Texans were blitzed by Jacksonville at home, 29-7. Not to mention all of the off-the-field distractions with Hurricane Harvey. Oh yeah, don't forget rookie Deshaun Watson is expected to start.
Since 2000, NFL teams that were shutout at home are 25-13 (65.8%) ATS their next game. However, since teams that get blanked at home generally aren't very good, the straight up record is only 16-22.