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College Football Betting Preview: Memphis Tigers at UCF Knights

09.28.2017     11:15 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Memphis at UCF
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener: UCF -3 O/U 70
CRIS Current: UCF -4 O/U 68
Recommendation: Over

UCF is finally starting to look like the type of well-oiled offensive machine head coach Scott Frost conducted during his time as offensive coordinator at Oregon. The Knights piled up 61 points against FIU and 38 points against Maryland utilizing a very balanced attack featuring nearly 200 yards per game on the ground and over 300 yards per game through the air. Quarterback McKenzie Milton has been an improved passer this season completing 66% with a solid 5-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio. He also has that dual threat ability to make plays with his feet (79 ypg). I expected Memphis to be improved on the defensive side of the ball but that hasn’t come to fruition. The Tigers stop unit has continued to struggle, especially against the pass as they’ve yielded 344 ypg at a 7.3 ypp clip. Memphis’ defensie is an injury riddled mess with the loss of three defensive starters in its season opening victory against UL-Monroe. Starting defensive back Tim Gordon is also injured, as is senior safety Shaun Rupert, who was banged up in last weekend’s victory against Southern Illinois. Memphis head coach Mike Norvell: “This has just been crazy bad luck, in a sense. The issues that we’ve had have nothing to do with training; we haven’t had many muscle injuries. It’s just truly freak injuries.’’ This is not an optimal team for a struggling and injury plagued defense to be playing. But on the flipside, Memphis still has a very potent and explosive offense led by quarterback Riley Ferguson. And like UCF, they are balanced with north of 200 ypg on the ground and through the air. UCF’s defense has tremendous stats after allowing 17 and 10 points in its first two games but FIU and Maryland with a third-string quarterback are a far cry from what they’ll see on Saturday. I see both teams moving the football with relative ease as both teams project to score well into the 30’s.

Tags: College Football Memphis Tigers UCF Knights AAC Ian Cameron

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