UTEP at ArmySaturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBSCCRIS Opener:
Army -24 O/U 54CRIS Current:
Army -23.5 O/U 48Recommendation:
You can make a strong case UTEP is the worst team in the country right now and oddsmakers are having a real difficult time pricing them. The Miners have not only failed to cover a pointspread in four tries but have come within 10 points of cashing a ticket just once. Last year’s matchup in the Sun Bowl was a blowout from start to finish as the Black Knights put up 600 yards of offense en route to a 66-14 victory. Given the pace and style in which Army plays, it’s extremely difficult to produce that many points and yards which speaks volumes about UTEP’s ineptitude. Has anything changed over the course of a calendar year to suggest the Miners can be competitive? Considering UTEP is being outgained by over three yards per play this season, the answer is emphatically, “no.” There’s been plenty of rumblings that UTEP put no effort into prepping for last year’s contest as Army was the only option team they faced. I’m sure practice time was dedicated to it heading into Saturday’s tilt but in reading some of the local reports, the Miners’ main focus is far more on themselves and finding a way
to somehow play a competitive football game. The spot for Army isn't great after losing in the closing seconds of last week's game Tulane at a road trip to Rice on deck. But it isn't likely to matter given the fundamental mismatch. It's also worth noting that in UTEP's four losses they've been outscored 42-14 in the fourth quarter which doesn't suggest much of a chance for a "backdoor" cover. Lay the points with confidence.