Tulsa at Tulane
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPNU
CRIS Opener: Tulane -3 O/U 61.5
CRIS Current: Tulane -4.5 O/U 54.5
Very unique situation for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane as their trip to Tulane marks the third straight week they've faced an option-based offense. Despite failing to cover both contests vs. Navy and New Mexico, I came away somewhat impressed with Tulsa's defense. After allowing over 9 yards per play to up-tempo Oklahoma State, UL-Lafayette and Toledo, the Golden Hurricane held the Midshipmen and Lobos to 47 points and 6.6 ypp combined. Saturday's game marks another situation where Tulsa's stop unit should perform at an adequate level as Tulane ranks 102nd nationally in total offense vs. Navy and New Mexico who rank 18th and 38th, respectively.
Tulane's defense is talented and has the potential to be the best unit in the AAC. They aren't necessarily built to stop top-tier attacks (Oklahoma hung 56 points and 10.2 ypp) but Tulsa's offense, specifically its passing game, has taken a big step back this season following the departure of quarterback Dane Evans. Through five games, Tulsa has topped 200 yards only once through the air and owns a dismal team QB Rating of 116.2. What Tulsa has been able to do is run the football (295 ypg) but in this matchup, that plays right into the hands of Tulane who has allowed less than 5 ypc.
I strongly agree with the significant move towards the under (61.5 to 54.5) and would still recommend a small wager despite the decrease in value.