Air Force at Colorado State
Saturday, Noon PT - CBSC
CRIS Opener: Colorado State -11.5 O/U 68
CRIS Current: Colorado State -10.5 O/U 67.5
Recommendation: Colorado State
There aren't a lot of instances where during a season a team is asked to play four road games in fives weeks but that's what Air Force is tasked with as it heads to Ft. Collins to face Colorado State. And not only have the Falcons spent the better part of the last month playing on the road, nearly every contest was an absolute barnburner. Back in Week 6, Air Force fell behind 31-10 at rival Navy only to take the lead, 45-41 late in the fourth. The Midshipmen scored the game winning touchdown with 15 seconds remaining. The following week, in an obvious letdown spot, Air Force trailed UNLV 27-0 only to rally back for an improbable 34-30 win. And last week, the Falcons kicked a game winning field goal with no time on the clock in a high scoring 45-42 win over Nevada. The travel, the emotion, the physical toll...it's bound to catch up with this squad at some point.
Colorado State returns home after slipping past New Mexico 27-24 last week. The Rams are 4-0 in conference play and like Air Force have been challenged with four of their last five on the highway; though were able to score a bye week after a pointspread covering loss at Alabama. While Air Force and New Mexico aren't identical, I think it helps the Rams that Saturday marks the second straight game in which they'll be tasked with stopping some form of the option. Note that last season, after losing at Air Force, the Rams fired back the following week against New Mexico, 49-31. CSU allowed 485 yards on the ground to the Falcons but only 285 to the Lobos. Also note that through four games, Colorado State owns a solid +1.20 ypp advantage vs. MWC foes. Air Force is an alarming -2.32 ypp. Think the spot and price is favorable for the home side in this matchup.