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NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans

11.03.2017     11:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Baltimore at Tennessee
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: Tennessee -4 O/U 43
CRIS Current: Tennessee -3.5 OU 43
Recommendation: Tennessee

The betting markets didn’t pay much attention when Will Fuller was activated for the Houston Texans heading into Week 4. The 1-2 Texans had already made the switch to Deshaun Watson at QB, but they were still averaging less than 18 points per game. With their deep threat back in the lineup, the entire offense started to click, and Houston proceeded to score 57, 34, 33 and 38 in their next four ball games. Fuller wasn’t (and isn’t) the focal point of the offense – he’s only caught 13 passes in the four games since his return. But his ability to stretch the field forces opposing defenses to respect his playmaking ability, opening up the running game and the shorter routes for other receivers to take advantage of.

What does any of this have to do with this week's game? Simple – Corey Davis is expected back in the lineup for the Titans this week! Tennessee’s #1 draft choice (the #5 overall pick) got hurt in Week 2 and hasn’t played since. I don’t expect Davis to catch eight balls for 150 yards here, but I do expect the Titans to test Baltimore deep, early and often.

Titans WR Rishard Matthews, talking about how having Davis in the lineup will affect their offense: “A ton. That’s his job, is to come in here and be a playmaker. That’s what we all expect him to be. That’s what I expect him to come here and do right away. We got a little piece of it in the beginning of the year. He’s back and ready to go, so expecting big things.” Davis’s own quote: “This is the turnaround right here. I feel it.”

Make no mistake about it, this Titans team has underachieved so far, in large part due to their red zone failures on offense, ranked #31 in the NFL in red zone TD percentage after their field goal fest against the Browns prior to their bye week. The addition of Davis back into the lineup can only help in that regard, especially since it should open things up for beefy backs DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry between the tackles.

The markets have moved towards Baltimore all week with the expectation that Joe Flacco will be cleared from his concussion protocol and suit up as the Ravens starting QB this week. But Flacco ranks #31 in QB rating this year – ahead of only Deshone Kizer – and #28 in QBR. The numbers clearly show that Baltimore’s passing game is rather inept, whether Flacco plays or not; bad news for a team with a dismal running game and an ineffective, injury riddled offensive line. Coming off a 40-0 blowout over Miami last Thursday, expect the Ravens to come back down to earth in a hurry on Sunday.

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