Missouri at South Carolina -2 O/U 140
Missouri's Cuonzo Martin and South Carolina's Frank Martin have long been coaches you can play under the total given the right circumstances. I see tonight as an opportunity with the Tigers opening SEC play and the Gamecocks off a 74-69 road loss to Ole Miss. During non-conference play, Mizzou at times showed capable on the offensive end while also willing to get up and down the floor. But against comparable competition, their scores and pace were far more moderate. Games against Iowa State, Utah, UCF, and Illinois yielded 133, 136, 121, and 134 points. They did however get caught up in a few high scoring affairs against St. John's (90-82) and West Virginia (83-79) as well as recent home contests vs. a few up-tempo mid-major squads. Interestingly, Martin's Cal team from a year ago played in only four PAC-12 games that closed higher than 140 and those were against Arizona State, UCLA, and Washington; three teams that played with tremendous pace and didn’t defend. It's pointless to use South Carolina's results from a season ago considering all of the experience and talent it lost. This year's group simply isn't on that level defensively. But it's also not on that level offensively either. Against it's five "toughest" opponents (Illinois State, Temple, Wyoming, Clemson, and Ole Miss), the Gamecocks failed to top a point per possession. This matchup won't be pretty as both offenses will be forced to work hard for points. At 140, we'll look towards the under.