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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Grand Salami Over

04.12.2018     08:23 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Grand Salami O/U 73.5
Recommendation: Over

Warmer temperatures and a handful of lower-tier starting pitchers has me looking to play today's Grand Salami over. It's been brutally cold throughout much of the country which has played a part in a 0.68 runs per game scoring drop compared to last year. And while today's weather can hardly be considered a heat wave, most typically cold weather venues expect to be in the low 50's with Kansas City and St. Louis in the low 70's. Outside of the weather, we have a lot of back-of-the-rotation starting pitchers. Cincinnati's Sal Romano, Colorado's Chad Bettis, San Francisco's Chris Stratton, San Diego's Bryan Mitchell, LA's Nick Tropeano and Kansas City's Ian Kennedy all grade out as below average MLB starters. And some of the more "premium" arms -- Kyle Hendricks, Gio Gonzalez, Rick Porcello, Michael Wacha, Trevor Bauer -- are still hittable and good to allow some runs. You do have four games in which teams are favored by -180 or more which has the potential to take away at-bats but overall, there are multiple games that set up well for double-digit run outputs.

 

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