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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants

04.30.2018     10:46 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego (Lauer) at San Francisco (Samardzija) -160 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Over

San Diego was looking for the same lightning in a bottle effect that they’ve gotten from rookie LH starter Joey Lucchesi when they called up fellow rookie southpaw Eric Lauer last week. The results were drastically different as Lauer allowed 10 base runners and six earned runs in his three innings of work against Colorado. In fairness, Coors Field is not an ideal venue for a rookie pitcher to make his first MLB start so we’re likely to get a truer feel for what Lauer may be when he throws in pitcher friendly AT&T park tonight. In his debut, Lauer was basically a two pitch pitcher throwing his fastball (69%) & cutter (23%) on 68 of his 74 pitches. He averaged 91 MPH on his fastball and 87 on the cutter so there wasn’t much variation speed or pitch wise in his short stint. Deceptiveness in his delivery has helped propel him to the big leagues (had 19 strikeouts in 18 Minor league innings prior to Colorado start) so tonight will be another chance.

San Francisco very quietly has begun to hit much better scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last nine games and 49 runs total (5.4 per game) during this stretch. Tonight’s starter RH Jeff Samardzija has had two starts this season with polar opposite results. The early eye opener is his dip in strikeout production punching out just seven batters in 8.67 innings. That could help the strikeout prone Padres lineup tonight but they will be without 1B Wil Myers who has hit the DL for the second time this month. Wind conditions of 13-16 MPH out to right center the first couple of hours in this contest could help San Diego against the fly ball prone Samardzija. Have to take a shot at the total of 7.5 here especially with the Giants offense heating up and Samardzija pitching to more contact thus far.

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants Rob Veno




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