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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets

05.18.2018     06:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona (Godley) at New York (deGrom) -155 O/U 7
Recommendation: Over

After a promising start, the New York Mets are nearing full-on circus mode with current runs of 6-14 and 3-7. Injuries, trades, drama in the club house...the list goes on. Even one of the few bright spots, tonight's starter, Jacob deGrom, has issues. After a stint on the DL, deGrom returned on Sunday and lasted only an inning due to a high pitch count. He noted following the outing that his stuff and release point just wasn't there. After the arm injury scare, the Mets are obviously taking no chances meaning deGrom will continue to be on a short leash and one of the league's worst bullpens will continue to see plenty of action. Speaking of promising starts, Arizona's Zack Godley started the season with back-to-back gems but has since been repeatedly smacked around. Over his last six starts, Godley has issued 18 walks and sports a 5.57 ERA and .300 BAA. His main issue has been the ineffectiveness of his curveball which is his lone plus pitch. Last season, batters hit .162 BA/.236 SLG against his breaker. Of pitchers who threw 150+ innings last year, only Corey Kluber's curveball rated better. This season, .244/.397 with a 54th ranking among qualified starters. Multiple key bats on the shelf, including Cespedes and Pollock, but difficult trusting both starters with a total that could reach as low as 6.5.

Tags: MLB Arizona Diamondbacks New York Mets Andrew Lange



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