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NBA Playoff Handicapping: One day rest and travel has resulted in 65% unders

05.24.2018     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly


We talked yesterday about how oddsmakers adjusted the Golden State-Houston total for Game 5. The situation is simple: one day rest that features a switch in venue. We went through and tallied every instance of said situation throughout the playoffs. Below are the results: 11 unders, 6 overs.

4/19: New Orleans vs. Portland Game 3 - OVER 215.5
4/20: Indiana vs. Cleveland Game 3 - UNDER 209
4/24: Boston vs. Milwaukee Game 5 - UNDER 202.5
4/24: Golden State vs. San Antonio Game 5 - UNDER 204.5
4/25: Houston vs. Minnesota Game 5 - OVER 217
4/25: Oklahoma City vs. Utah Game 5 - UNDER 207.5
4/27: Washington vs. Toronto Game 6 - UNDER 214.5
4/27: Indiana vs. Cleveland Game 6 - OVER 201.5
4/27: Utah vs. Oklahoma City Game 6 - UNDER 207.5
4/29: Cleveland vs. Indiana Game 7 - OVER 200.5
5/3: Philadelphia vs. Boston Game 3 - UNDER 206.5 (w/ OT)
5/4: Utah vs. Houston Game 3 - UNDER 209
5/5: Cleveland vs. Toronto Game 3 - UNDER 214.5
5/8: Golden State vs. New Orleans Game 5 - UNDER 229.5
5/8: Houston vs. Utah Game 5 - OVER 207.5
5/9: Boston vs. Philadelphia Game 5- OVER 202.5
5/23: Boston vs. Cleveland Game 5 - UNDER 205
5/24: Houston vs. Golden State Game 5 - ????

NBA Playoff Betting News: Oddsmakers make big adjustment to total for Game 5

05.23.2018     09:26 AM     View Original Blog
Looks like oddsmakers really adjusted their numbers off of Houston's low scoring 95-92 win last night. Game 4's total closed 227.5 at CRIS. Game 5's total opened 219. That's six points lower than any of the seven previous regular and postseason meetings.

Regular Season
10/17: Houston 122, Golden State 121 - OVER 230.5
1/4: Golden State 124, Houston 114 - OVER 231
1/20: Houston 116, Golden State 108 - UNDER 237.5

5/14: Golden State 119, Houston 106 - UNDER 225.5
5/16: Houston 127, Golden State 105 - OVER 225
5/20: Golden State 126, Houston 85 - UNDER 226.5
5/22: Houston 95, Golden State 92 - UNDER 227.5

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