Click to Use Secure Login
All Available Packages
NOTICE: If you can not view the forum, you may need to log out of and log back in to recreate your forum session.

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

05.30.2018     10:18 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
New York (Vargas) at Atlanta (Teheran)
Recommendation: Atlanta Team Total OVER 5

The Mets don't have many viable starting pitching options beyond Jacob deGrom and Noah Syndergaard. They traded Matt Harvey, Steven Matz left his last start with a finger injury, Zack Wheeler's ERA is currently 5.40, rookie P.J. Conlon isn't ready to compete at this level, the aforementioned Syndergaard was just placed on the DL, and Robert Gsellman is clearly better off as a reliever. That leaves Seth Lugo, who is likely to start later this week and tonight's starter Jason Vargas. Last season, Vargas was clearly "fresh" after tossing only 55 innings for the Royals in 2015 and 2016 due to injury. He logged 179.2 IP last year and was serviceable with a 4.16 ERA. This season has been a disaster even when you account for some "unlucky" results. Vargas' K-rate is an excellent 9.3 and his BABIP (.424) and LOB rate (57.4%) suggest things should start to go his way moving forward. But there are plenty of signs indicating his path towards the "norm" won't be easy. Virtually every batted ball statistic (line drive, soft, and hard hit rates) are currently career-worsts. And Vargas' walk rate (4.43) is a prime indicator there's a fear of coming in the strike zone. Let's also not forget the schedule comes up light. Outside of tonight's opponent, Atlanta, who smoked him for six runs in 4.2 IP, Vargas drew three of the weakest lineups in MLB in Cincinnati, San Diego, and Miami. Hard to get a read on Atlanta starter Julio Teheran who has pitched well at times but has a poor history at home. Think they better play is to focus on Vargas' shortcomings as well as a Mets' bullen that has been overwork of late (29.1 IP, 7.37 ERA L7 days).

Tags: MLB New York Mets Altanta Braves Ian Cameron

This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:

Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?

More VIP Email Options
Current Blog Topics
Ian Cameron Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
Lay the points with this powerful & motivated Week 1 favorite and expect an easy, 'right side' cash. Teddy is releasing this 20* Big Ticket Report EARLY, because this line is only moving one way between now and kickoff -- it's going UP! Take advantage of this betting market opportunity right now & cash in with this Week 1 20* Big Ticket winner! This report must win or his next one is FREE!

It's here! Teddy Covers' famed NFL Season Over/Under Wins package is available for purchase! One of the most popular and success service packages in the industry, Teddy's report is an absolute MUST HAVE for every bettor. The result are sick: 82-35 70% 2001-18, 12-2 86% 20* Big Tickets. As always, you'll not only receive Teddy's selections but also detailed written analysis. The first wave of releases will be in July followed by potential additional plays after the third week of the NFL Preseason. Invest with Teddy today for only $229.

Extended Services
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
Post SubjectTime    Last Poster
NCAAF Salaries09:51    Drew Martin
Brad Hand Trade, Indians/ P...09:48    Drew Martin
New gambling laws could res...15:43    Drew Martin
Players unions concerned ab...08:41    Drew Martin
LeBron means about 25 perce...08:11    Drew Martin
James Paxton exits start wi...08:50    Drew Martin

Current Blog


Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at   Jul 21, 2018 04:24 PM.