Texas (Colon) at Los Anegels (Ferguson) -175 O/U 8
My clients and I have been cashing winners betting the Dodgers Over the total in recent days, and there’s little reason to expect a dramatically different result from LA’s hot lineup against Bartolo Colon tonight.
To say that the Dodgers bats are on fire right now would not be an overstatement. LA has scored 11, 12, 10, 5, 9, 8, 7, 3 and 7 runs in their last nine ballgames, cashing eight Overs in the process. Just about every power bat that Dave Roberts has at his disposal is crushing the ball. LA has hit three home runs or more seven times in nine June games while leading the majors (by far) with 26 dingers already this month.
That’s bad news for Bartolo Colon, who needed 97 pitches to labor through five innings of work in his last outing. Colon is extremely vulnerable to the home run ball, allowing 16 bombs in just 71.1 innings of work so far this season. Current Dodgers have hit .288 against him with five home runs in a decent sample size of 104 at bats. Behind Colon, the Rangers bullpen has already taken 11 losses this season, and the Dodgers have put together more than one late inning rally during this hot streak.
But the Rangers can hit too, coming off a homestand in which they scored seven runs or more in half of their games. With four starters on the DL, the Dodgers have essentially run out of effective starting pitching options, leaving Caleb Ferguson as the spot starter following a call-up from AAA. Ferguson couldn’t make it out of the second inning at Pittsburgh in his MLB debut last week, and I’m not convinced his second try is going to be significantly better.
Behind Ferguson, the Dodgers bullpen, too, has shown real vulnerability, leaving the door open for some late inning shenanigans should we need them. On a very warm evening in LA, expect runs in bunches from both squads here! Take the Over.