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CFL Betting Free Pick: Calgary Stampeders at Ottawa Redblacks

07.12.2018     10:18 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Calgary at Ottawa +3 O/U 54.5
Recommendation: Ottawa

It’s not easy to go against the Calgary Stampeders who have started this season as the class of the CFL once again at 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS and are the lone remaining undefeated team. They are coming off a bye week and they have won a whopping 16 straight games off a bye. All that being said, I like Ottawa in this spot and think they are worth a play at +3 as a home underdog for a variety of reasons. The main one betting that Calgary entered their bye playing well and clicking on all cylinders on both sides of the football especially their defense which has been stifling. Often times, bye weeks for teams playing well prior to them arrive at a bad time and tend to throw off rhythm and chemistry. Calgary does have some injury concerns on both sides of the football as well entering this game. Teams off a bye are usually relatively healthy but that is not quite the case this time around for the Stampeders. Ottawa is 2-1 on the season with their only loss coming to Calgary when these teams played a couple weeks ago when the Stamps prevailed 24-14 although they didn’t pull away until the 4th Qtr as the defense played very well despite the offense having a tough time moving the football. The Redblacks offense which struggled in that loss in Calgary was able to bounce back and look much crisper and sharper offensively last week in their 28-18 win over Montreal. The Ottawa offense put up 40 points in their lone previous home game against Saskatchewan this season and they have scored a combined 57 points in their last two home games against Calgary since 2016. The Redblacks offensive line should be approaching full strength for the first time this season as well with Nolan MacMillan possibly returning and Jason Lauzon-Seguin definitely suiting up for this game tonight and returning to that offensive line. Ottawa has a rock solid long-term 14-5 ATS track record in their last 19 games as an underdog including 4-1 ATS in their last 5 tries as home dogs. The last two meetings between the Stamps and Redblacks in Ottawa both ended in ties and I would not be surprised to see Calgary once again be in tough here to win this game at all let alone by any sort of margin.

Tags: CFL Calgary Stampeders Ottawa Redblacks Ian Cameron

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