From the pages of the Sportsmemo Newsletter...
San Francisco (Cain) +145 at Milwaukee (Gallardo)
Matt Cain has shown Cy Young caliber stuff in nearly every one of his 14 previous starts this season. He allowed two runs or less in 11 of those 14 outings, and six of his last seven. Cain is coming off a stellar eight-inning, three hits allowed performance against Texas, one game after his complete game four hitter against Oakland. The Giants have won each of his last nine starts. Very quietly, under the radar, San Francisco is emerging into a legitimate contender in the NL. The Giants would be the NL’s Wild Card team if the season ended today. Since their 3-8 start, the Giants are now 34-23 in their last 57 games. This is a competitive team, but the betting marketplace continues to price them very cheaply. San Francisco’s mediocre preseason expectations have them fifth out of 30 MLB teams in terms of profitability this year...exactly the type of team I’m looking to support. Milwaukee’s Yovani Gallardo will most assuredly be the favorite here, based on his season long 7-4 record and 3.00 ERA. But Gallardo’s command has been off in recent starts, walking four batters or more five times in his last eight trips to the hill. Gallardo has needed 328 pitches to labor through 17 innings of work in his last three starts, losing twice in the process. Expect more of the same on Friday.
Recommendation: San Francisco
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