Seton Hall +15.5 at Syracuse O/U 137
Recommendation: Seton Hall
I realize that Seton Hall's 11-1 start was aided by more than a handful of creampuff opponents. I'm also aware that the Pirates won in the Carrier Dome last season by 32 as 12.5-point underdogs. But those factors don't outweigh that we have a capable underdog catching +15.5 in a conference game. Syracuse has the look of an elite team but in five games against decent competition, the Orange weren’t exactly posting 20-point wins left and right. They beat Virginia Tech and Stanford by 11 and six respectively at Madison Square Garden and slipped past Florida by four. Marshall went to the Carrier Dome and lost by six and NC State jumped out to a big lead before the Orange went on a crazy 23-0 run in the first half. The Wolfpack though managed to tie the game in the second before running out of steam in what ended up be a somewhat deceiving 88-72 loss. In Big East play last year, Syracuse was a double-digit fav four times: vs. Providence (+12.5), vs. Seton Hall (+12.5), vs. Rutgers (+12) and vs. DePaul (+19.5). The blew out DePaul but beat the Friars by seven, Rutgers by four in overtime and of course lost to Seton Hall. Syracuse may try to run up the score if given a chance but they can still "exact revenge" and win by 13. Take the underdog.