Memphis at Southern Miss -2.5 O/U 133.5
Recommendation: Under
With the conference lead at stake combined with Southern Mississippi’s determination for revenge against Memphis, have to believe this will be a tightly contested affair. Recent history, including this season’s 60-58 Tigers win, has shown these teams to play hard fought, defensive battles as three of the last four have stayed under the total. Additional technical trends also point in that direction as Memphis has gone under in this price range five of its last six C-USA road games and Southern Miss is 64% under the total at home (16 of 25) the last three years. Fundamentally, each team is strong defensively permitting only 58.9 (Memphis) and 63.6 (Southern Mississippi) points per game in league play. Rebounding is a solid asset for each team so can’t expect a lot of second chances here. Expect a moderate tempo contest with contested shots for the entire 40 minutes as these teams keep this one under the total.
