Oregon +11 at California 139.5
Recommendation: Oregon
I think we can take advantage of all of the damage Cal handed out to opponents on its home court during the non-conference and step in and play a surging Oregon squad as a double-digit underdog. A closer look at Cal's home results show that when the competition is halfway decent, the wins haven’t come by big margins. The Golden Bears beat Colorado by 7, Stanford by 10 and lost to Arizona by 4. Their most impressive win was more spot-oriented as they took down UCLA 85-69 with the Bruins off a one-point loss two nights prior. Oregon has actually passed Cal for the league's best offense (109.5 points per possession) and the Ducks have for the most part played solid defense this season. This is an important game for both sides, especially Oregon who theoretically is still in the PAC-12 title hunt or perhaps an at-large berth. I expect a big effort from the road side which gives us value with +11.
