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College Basketball Handicapping: Last home games update

02.27.2012     09:00 AM         Printer Friendly

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Last week I provided a blog and reviewed information and situations surrounding teams playing their last home games. After adding in the Ivy League results, home teams with a winning record playing with same season revenge went a modest 7-7 ATS with a few close losses. 

For the final week of the regular season, I’ve outlined this week’s teams playing their last home game with the additional parameters of winning home teams and same season revenge. These are games through Friday, March 2nd, and I’ll update the final weekend of last home games later this week.

Following a rough four-day stretch last week in our college basketball pointspread prognosis, we bounced back with a 6-2 weekend of winners highlighted by two Big Drive side play winners and capped by a pair of PAC-12 outright underdog winners on Sunday with Colorado and Oregon.  We’re now 5-0 our last five CBB underdog plays.

As you handicap and follow the last week of the regular season, perhaps this article on the Colorado Buffaloes will help you better understand the meaning and motivation behind these last home game situations. After losing their first conference home game to Stanford on February 23rd, the Buffs bounce back and buried the PAC-12 leader Cal Bears 70-57 as a home underdog. The situation and motivation for three starting seniors playing their last home game played out perfectly, as did the statistical profile with the Buffaloes boasting the league’s top field goal defense and rebounding team.

Review the schedule below and see if you can incorporate some of these last home games and meaningful motivational situations into more winners. Note the following meaningful game that will also decide the conference regular season title winner in the Big Sky on Tuesday, February 28.

If you don’t have the time, energy or ability to determine how to use strong or weak home courts, last home games (LHG), emotional components or other stats and situations to your advantage to select more winners, then get on my bag as we fire for more profit and green the rest of the season and through the college conference tournaments (CCT’s), NCAA tournament and remaining post season games.

College Basketball Final Home Games as of 2/27/2012
Home Team
SU Home
Conf Rec
Opponent
Revenge
Conference
Baylor
13-3
11-5
Texas Tech
No
Big Xll
Georgetown
14-1
11-5
Notre Dame
No
Big East
Montana
13-2
14-1
Weber State
Yes
Big Sky
Memphis
14-2
11-3
Central Florida
Yes
C-USA
West Virginia
11-6
7-9
DePaul
No
Big East
Vanderbilt
12-5
9-5
Florida
Yes
SEC
Arkansas
17-3
6-8
Mississippi
Yes
SEC
St. Louis
14-1
10-4
Xavier
No
A-10
Wyoming
14-3
5-7
TCU
Yes
MWC
Portland State
8-3
9-6
Northern Colorado
No
Big Sky
Alabama
12-3
8-6
Auburn
No
SEC
LSU
11-3
7-7
Tennessee
No
SEC
Northwestern
11-4
7-9
Ohio State
Yes
Big Ten
Bowling Green
11-3
8-6
Miami (OH)
No
MAC
Texas
14-3
8-8
Oklahoma
No
Big Xll
Akron
13-1
12-2
Buffalo
Yes
MAC
Pittsburgh
10-7
4-12
St. John's
No
Big East
Louisville
16-3
10-6
South Florida
No
Big East
North Carolina
16-1
12-2
Maryland
No
ACC
St. Bonaventure
10-2
9-5
St. Joes
No
A-10
Temple
11-1
11-3
Massachusetts
No
A-10
So. Mississippi
14-0
10-4
SMU
No
C-USA
Missouri
16-1
12-4
Iowa State
No
Big Xll
Long Beach State
11-0
14-0
UC Irvine
No
Big West
Cincinnati
14-4
10-6
Marquette
Yes
Big East
NC State
12-6
7-7
Miami (FL)
No
ACC
Colorado State
13-1
6-6
UNLV
Yes
MWC
Illinois
13-3
6-10
Michigan
Yes
Big Ten
Virginia
13-2
8-6
Florida State
Yes
ACC
Kentucky
18-0
14-0
Georgia
No
SEC
Notre Dame
15-1
12-4
Providence
No
Big East
Kent State
10-2
9-5
Akron
Yes
MAC


Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful pointspread prognosticators. His current top-play Big Drive run since the end of November (90 days) is a bankroll-building 48-29 (62%) including 22-8 (71%) on his top-rated 20* Big Drive plays. With documented success and experience to battle with the best and beat the bookmaker, join a proven pro on the college basketball court and profit from Fairway Jay’s experience and well-rounded game. Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

Tags: College Basketball __




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