Kansas State at Texas A&M +4.5 O/U 121.5
Recommendation: Texas A&M
Last home game for the Aggies and two senior starters. Texas A&M is trying to get to .500 and become eligible for postseason play. However, they have struggled down the stretch going 1-7 SU including their recent 0-3 slide. As noted in my Last Home Game blog
and other supporting situations, Texas A&M (13-15) should come with plenty of energy and effort playing with revenge against Kansas State following a 64-53 loss in Manhattan earlier this month. Note that two of the Aggies top players missed that contest and both forward Khris Middleton and guard Dash Harris will play tonight in the rematch. That low possession loss to K-State is common for the Aggies, but their defense remains solid through their struggles allowing just 63 ppg in league play (#2) and 43% field goal (#3). Kansas State does hold a +7 per game rebounding advantage over Texas A&M for the season, but as often discussed, the stats can be offset by the situation and emotion with greater energy and effort by the home team. Texas A&M is 55-12 SU on this court the last four years and get a Kansas State team that has been inconsistent and comes in off a home loss to Iowa State as a 7.5-point favorite. Good situation and opponent for the home team to rise to the occasion as they push for the postseason party.