Northern Colorado -1.5 at Montana State O/U 132
Like a lot of Big Sky teams, there is a strong home/road dichotomy with Northern Colorado's defensive numbers. At home, the Bears are as good as any on defense, holding foes to 72, 53, 46, 37, 58 and 45. But on the road, UNC's defense is not nearly as potent. In five conference road tilts, the Bears have allowed 65, 72, 72, 73 and 66. Going back to non-conference play, we see similar results as UNC allowed 78, 75, 71, 86, 87 and 93. Montana State shows the same dichotomy when it comes to its offensive output. At home in league play, the Bobcats are averaging 72.8 ppg vs. only 54 ppg on the highway. Pretty simple formula here and we play this one over the total.