Oregon at Virginia -7
Tough matchup for Oregon tonight as it makes a rare trip to the east coast to face Virginia. For starters, the Ducks have yet to leave the state with a lone "neutral" site game in Portland against Duke. And when the Ducks have been asked to step up in class, the results haven't been good. They beat North Dakota State and Santa Barbara by small margins, lost to San Jose State and were demolished by Duke. The only solid showing was the three-point home loss to a Missouri team who was two days removed from an overtime thriller against Georgetown. The issue with Oregon is they simply don't have a lot of top-tier DI talent. Right now, first-year head coach Dana Altman is forced to go with a handful of what I call complementary players; guys that are capable and won't hurt you but unable to take you to the promise land. The other disturbing thing about the Ducks in their lack of height. Against weaker opponents you can get away with your tallest starters being 6-6 but against power conference schools, that simply won't cut it. Virginia has a front line that goes 6-6, 6-8 and 7-0. There are two things the Cavaliers do really well and that is keep opposing teams off the offensive glass and away from the free throw line. UVA has made more free throws than their opponents have taken while Oregon is dead even. The one weakness for Virginia is defending the three-point line (opponents shooting 44.9%) but I think we can get away with it tonight as Oregon's offense doesn't revolve around the outside shot. Overall, Virginia has wins over Virginia Tech and Minnesota and despite the somewhat inflated line, they should be able to handle Oregon tonight at home.