Edmonton -3.5 at BC O/U 54
The Edmonton Eskimos enter this Week 9 clash against the BC Lions surging after winning three straight games against Toronto, Montreal and Saskatchewan to improve to 5-2 and put themselves still within striking distance of the 1st place Calgary Stampeders in the ultra-competitive West Division. Edmonton’s lethal offense has carried the way for them this season as the Eskimos are leading the CFL in total yards and passing yards per game thanks a lethal passing attack led by veteran QB Mike Reilly and a slew of talented receivers that all possess the dangerous combo of athleticism and physicality with the likes of Duke Williams, Kenny Stafford and Derel Walker. The one flaw in Edmonton’s offense has been some red zone struggles at times but other than that, this remains one of the best offenses in the CFL. The defense has improved after a bad start to the season as the Eskimos have held five straight opponents to 23 points or less but many of those games came against struggling offenses including two games against Toronto and one against Saskatchewan two teams that have endured plenty of offensive turmoil this season. BC is still trying to find their way. The Lions are at 2-4 but have been very competitive in each of the last three games since Travis Lulay took over at the QB spot. Lulay has put up solid numbers and he should benefit from having three starts under his belt and I expect to see continued improvement from the Lions offense. I expect that improvement to show in this game against an Edmonton defense that is battling key injuries on that side of the football including starting LB Adam Konar and safety Neil King which could open the door for BC to make some things happen offensively in this game. The BC defense remains a bit of a problem too as the Lions have yielded over 400 yards per game on average this season and did so again in their loss to Calgary last week and being without their leader on defense and one of the top LB’s in the league Solomon Elimimian due to injury hurts. The Over has cashed in three straight meetings between Edmonton and BC and five straight games between the Eskimos and Lions have seen 57 or more total points scored. This is a high total to be sure but still worthy of an Over recommendation.