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CFL Betting Free Pick: Ottawa Redblacks at Calgary Stampeders

06.27.2018     10:56 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Ottawa at Calgary -7 O/U 57
Recommendation: Under

Two victorious teams last week will square off to kick off the CFL Week 3 schedule on Thursday night when the Ottawa Redblacks take on the Calgary Stampeders. Ottawa won its season opener in blowout fashion by a score of 40-17. The Redblacks offense under Trevor Harris looked sharp piling up 345 passing yards to go along with 114 yards on the ground against a Saskatchewan defense that looked thoroughly dominant previously in a Week 1 27-19 victory against the defending Grey Cup champion Toronto Argonauts. Ottawa also stepped up defensively against Saskatchewan in their win and looked very impressive on that side of the football. The Redblacks stop unit held the Roughriders to less than 100 rushing yards. Most of the 345 passing yards that Saskatchewan had came later in the game in garbage time with the final score no longer in doubt. Calgary is 2-0 to begin the season after dismantling the Toronto Argonauts 41-7 this past weekend in the Grey Cup rematch between the two teams. Bo Levi Mitchell and the Stampeders offense struggled to finish off drives in their season opening win against Hamilton but they made up for it against Toronto with Mitchell throwing for 3 TD passes and Calgary racking up 549 total yards. That is more like what we are used to from the Stamps offense. The fact we have two very good QBs and two teams that have played mostly higher scoring games against one another in recent seasons has influenced this total which sits at 57 right now. I think it’s a notch too high. Calgary’s offense was strong last week in Toronto but had plenty of red zone problems in their first game prior to that and also most of last season finishing drives was sometimes a challenge for them. On the flip side, Ottawa’s offense is likely to find it more difficult to move the football and put up points in bunches in this their first road game of the season against a Stamps defense that has given up just 21 points in their first two games combined and ranks tops in the CFL early on in the new season in fewest passing yards, rushing yards and total yards per game allowed. The Over has gone 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams but I’m willing to take a plunge and buck that trend on Thursday night in a game featuring two good but slightly overvalued offenses along with two undervalued defenses. 

Tags: CFL Ottawa Redblacks Calgary Stampeders Ian Cameron

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