Saskatchewan +1.5 at Montreal O/U 49.5
There are two factors pointing toward betting against the Montreal Alouettes as home favorites tonight. The first is the fact the team is not playing very good football with a 1-3 SU record including 0-2 SU/ATS at home. The offense remains an injury-riddled mess as the Alouettes have failed to score more than 17 points in each of their last three games. Two of their top three receivers, S.J. Green and Kenny Stafford, remain out along with lead RB Tyrell Sutton. QB Kevin Glenn has been inconsistent and the offensive line in front of him has not played well by failing to open up holes for the ground attack and also allowing too many sacks. The second reason for the “fade” is that the scheduling spot couldn’t be more brutal. The Alouettes played on Monday night in Toronto and now must play just four days later leaving them with very little time to prepare and heal injuries.
On the flip side, Saskatchewan comes into this game with some confidence as they snapped its three-game losing skid last week with a 30-29 win over Ottawa. Saskatchewan QB Mitchell Gale played very well in his first ever start in place of an injured Darian Durant. Gale had a solid completion rate, threw a TD pass and most importantly didn’t throw an interception despite playing behind a makeshift Riders offensive line which is still battling injuries and attrition heading into this game. The Saskatchewan defense is still a work in progress for first-year head coach and GM Chris Jones. They did however make key stops with the game on the line against Ottawa which is a positive sign of growth moving forward. Saskatchewan’s stop unit takes a significant step down in class here against a very lethargic and struggling Montreal offense and I expect their defense to play even better. Saskatchewan is already 2-0 ATS in the underdog role this season including a pointspread cover in their lone previous road game at Edmonton. Road teams continue to pile up the profits in the CFL at 15-5-1 SU, 17-4 ATS this season. Play the short road underdog.
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