Austin Peay -6 at Southeast Missouri State O/U 142
Southeast Missouri first-year head coach Rick Ray has been through a lot this season. The RedHawks opened 0-10 and then 0-6 in OVC play. He's had to kick a few guys off the team and experiment both offensively and defensively in order to give his kids a chance to compete. Something appears to have clicked as Ray has his squad back to playing man-to-man defense and it's resulted in three straight wins and 61, 60 (OT), and 51 points allowed. The competition of a D2 and two lower-tier OVC squads helped, but it's a lot better than their four previous games in which they allowed 87.3 ppg and were blown out each time. Austin Peay classifies as lower-tier OVC with a 2-6 conference record and the 11th-ranked offensive efficiency. The Governors do defend a little as they held the two best offenses in the OVC, Tennessee Tech and Belmont, to 72 and 76 respectively. That suggests APSU should be able to handle a SEMO offense that ranks 341 nationally in offensive efficiency. In the end, if SEMO plays close to the type of defense it has in its last three games vs. its season-long numbers, there's a good chance the under cashes.