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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Boston College Eagles at Virginia Cavaliers

02.03.2016     08:31 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Boston College at Virginia -24 O/U 123.5 
Recommendation: Under

The 9th ranked Virginia Cavaliers welcome the last place Boston College Eagles to Charlottesville tonight in what projects to be one of the more lopsided matchups of the year in ACC conference play. Tonight’s matchup pins a top-tier defense vs. an inept offense that statistically is among the worst offenses in the nation. The Cavaliers are on a four-game winning streak thanks to a return to the defensive form that's been a staple throughout Tony Bennett's tenure. "I think defense is a hard one to figure out for us. It just takes such a commitment to it. We've had a lot of teaching moments because of the defense this year to be honest." Virginia is still stingy at home where it's 10-0 and allowing 60 points per contest. That does not bode well for Boston College (7-14, 0-8) who has failed to score more than 64 or shoot better than 46.9% while losing all its ACC games by an average of 21 points. The Eagles' closest margin of defeat in the league came in a 72-62 loss to Florida State last Tuesday. The Eagles have averaged over 70 possessions their last three games vs. teams that run and still have averaged only 57 points. The Eagles offense is 338th in the nation in tempo and the Virginia defense is 349th in the nation for average possession length. Boston College will not get anywhere near 70 possessions tonight, therefore likely fall well short of their season average points per game.  A 24-point spread diminishes the odds of a foul fest and UVA will be looking to end this one early with a key conference game on Saturday at Pitt. Tonight’s game projects to be a very slow paced, conservative, and non-competitive which puts us on the under.

Tags: College Basketball Boston College Eagles Virginia Cavaliers Drew Martin

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