UT-Arlington at Georgia State -1 O/U 139.5
Georgia State has talked a lot about finding easier ways to score including the occasional fast break opportunity. It's no doubt been a grind as the Panthers rank 11th in the Sun Belt in offensive efficiency (0.96 ppp). Last time out, they beat Texas State despite failing to crack 60 and prior to that were held to 53 in a road loss at Arkansas-Little Rock. Tonight's opponent, however, serves as an opportunity for GSU to run a little bit and also score some points. UT-Arlington is one of the fastest teams in the country and routinely plays games in the 150's and above. Eight out of their 10 Sun Belt games topped 140 including the first meeting between the two schools as UTA won 85-70 (76 possessions). Thing are a little different this time around as UTA lost Kevin Hervey (18.1 ppg) for the year back in late January. The Mavericks had a "hump up" effort the first game without Hervey as they crushed Arkansas State 91-64. But since then, UTA has dropped four straight and allowed 84.8 ppg in the process. Keep in mind this was a squad that earlier this year held Ohio State to 68 and Memphis to 64 on the road. Now they're coughing up 90+ to mediocre Sun Belt squads. Georgia State has played a lot of "under" type teams this season but has the rare opportunity of playing host to an up-tempo squad that struggles to defend. Look for GSU to take advantage as we look towards the over.