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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Denver Pioneers at San Diego Toreros

12.09.2015     10:16 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Denver at San Diego -1 O/U 119 
Recommendation: Under

Despite the seemingly low number, this is really the perfect storm of unders as Denver travels to San Diego. The Pioneers have long been one of the slowest teams in the country though were involved in a few "higher" scoring affairs in the comforts of home against the likes of Lipscomb, Utah Valley, Idaho State, and South Alabama. All four teams are very similar in that they like to play fast and don't do much in the way of defending. Tonight's opponent San Diego is pretty much the polar opposite of that as the Toreros, like Denver, are one of the slowest teams in the country and rely on defense to stick around in games. They seem to be adjusting to first-year head coach Lamont Smith's defensive philosophy by holding Drexel to 59 and San Diego State to 48 (albeit in a game held outside at Petco Park). Offensively, USD is a work in progress. Their "best" offensive performance came against woeful San Jose State where they netted 67 points on 67 possessions. All told, they rank in the 300's in virtually every offensive category. Denver is no great shakes either, averaging right at 1 ppp despite playing a slew of weak defenses. And Denver is notorious for struggling on the road having averaged 53.7 ppg in last year's non-conference road games and a 55-point effort in a win at Santa Clara earlier this year. With the game a virtual pick 'em it's unlikely to see a situation where one team is forced to push and play catchup. Ultra-low total but I don't see either team topping 60 points in this one.

Tags: College Basketball Denver Pioneers San Diego Toreros Andrew Lange

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