Georgetown at St. John's -6.5 O/U 148.5
Recommendation: St. John's
Georgetown and St. John’s are a combined 1-7 SU in Big East conference play. I think the spot, the price, and matchup works in favor of the Red Storm. St. John’s has struggled to adapt to life without Marcus LoVett who has missed several games due to a knee injury. LoVett is one of the team's better perimeter defenders and it's shown up in the stats as Big East teams are shooting 48% from three against the Red Storm. Georgetown, who beat up on an extremely soft non-conference slate, are one of the few Big East teams that are offensively challenge. Through four games, the Hoyas rank near the bottom in nearly every offensive category despite playing the likes of DePaul, Marquette and Butler who grade out as below average on the defensive end. Georgetown senior point guard Jonathan Mulmore is having a very rough go of it with just 13 points in four Big East games and a negative 12 assists to 13 turnovers ratio. That is the key aspect of this game for St. John’s. The Red Storm are 6th in the country in turnovers forced per game while the Hoyas have been horrific at taking care of the basketball as they sit 318th in the nation in turnovers committed per game with 15.7 per game. If St. John’s can force turnovers and convert those into easy baskets in transition which is what I’m expecting, it should greatly help their cause tonight considering their struggles in the halfcourt. St. John’s was laying -6.5 at home against Providence two weeks ago and yet are laying that same price here against a far weaker Georgetown outfit. St. John's first league win comes tonight and by margin.