Northern Illinois at Buffalo -15 O/U 155
The Buffalo Bulls are off to a 4-0 start in MAC play; all four wins by double-digits. The first of the four was a resounding 104-94 victory over Toledo. The result and pace (80 possessions) seems to have "juiced" the Bulls totals a bit. Since the win over Toledo, Buffalo has played three straight opponents very similar to Northern Illinois. Against Ball State, Akron, and Miami-Ohio, the game scores were 146, 152, and 148; all of which went under the total. More importantly, the Bulls didn't allow more than 66 points. Northern Illinois played a handful of high scoring affairs during the non-conference but we've seen the Huskies return to the "norm" since MAC play began. NIU's four league games yielded four "unders" and games scores of 136, 146, 123, and 138. Buffalo serves as a big step up in class but NIU just hasn't shown much of a willingness if any to play up-tempo during Mark Montgomery's seven-year tenure. Also note that last year's meeting closed 144.5 and Buffalo won 65-45. We won't see a low score like that tonight but plenty of wiggle room to get us under the current number of 155.