Old Dominion at Richmond -4 O/U 134.5
Richmond's schedule thus far has been littered with weak teams, poor defensive teams, and teams willing to push the pace. It's the reason why the Spiders' offensive numbers look really strong (1.10 ppg, 31st nationally). But in-state rival Old Dominion is the complete opposite. The Monarchs play slow, can't score, and rely heavily on their defense to stick around in games. In fact, only one ODU game this season has topped 135 points (vs. VCU). And while Richmond has scored plenty of points, they've also shown they can be held in check as they scored 59 vs. West Virginia and 56 vs. Florida. Old Dominion may not have that level of defensive acumen, but when you throw in its desire to slow the pace (349th nationally pace) it's reasonable to think Richmond will be held under 70 points. While you can only put so much stock into previous meetings due to various rule changes, last year's meeting was a grinder with ODU winning 63-57 on only 59 possessions. I think this will have more of a conference game feel to it as we step in with a play on the under.