UCF at East Carolina -4 O/U 139
UCF's numbers are a little skewed because they played a handful of wild, high scoring affairs against teams that push the pace and don't play defense (see: Detroit, Stetson, and Davidson). But that's not their identity. Donnie Jones' teams have always been fairly slow and prefer to play zone. Following last week's 67-50 loss to George Washington, Jones had this to say: "I thought when we got in there in the second half that we would slow down, calm down," Jones said. "I thought we had good energy early on, but I think our spirit got broke there a few times when we were struggling to score and when you've got a young basketball team, these guys got to understand that it starts on the defensive end. You have to get stops. That's how you get back into the flow." That's not the quote of a coach who wants his team playing games in the 70's. Like UCF, ECU has played a bunch of "over" teams like Charlotte and UNC Wilmington. They've also played more moderately paced, defensive oriented squads as well (see: Cal, San Diego State, Ark-Little Rock, James Madison) and not one topped 140 points. And also like the Knights, ECU's tends to play a lot of zone which is preferred when playing games under the total. Last year's two meetings hit 116 and 138. The later was thanks to one half of uncharacteristically hot shooting. The first half had only 56 points. And the pace in both games was ultra-slow. This one got popped earlier this morning but still enough cushion to play it under.