UNLV vs. Fresno State -2.5 O/U 147.5
Recommendation: Fresno State
My clients and I cashed a ticket against UNLV yesterday in their marathon triple OT non-spread covering win over Air Force in which the Rebels never once sniffed a pointspread cover as -11 favorites. The toll of that win is likely to be felt in a big way for UNLV tonight as they must endure an extremely difficult 24 hour turnaround to face Fresno State in quarterfinals. UNLV had three key players on the floor for more than 40 minutes as Jordan Cornish played 41 minutes while the trio of Jerome Seagears, Ike Nwamu and Patrick McCaw all played 54+ minutes. That is very troubling for UNLV considering all of the injuries and lack of depth this squad goes to battle with each night. Fresno State enters this game fresh as a daisy and in very good form with a strong 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS run including a trio of solid road wins at Utah State, New Mexico and Wyoming. Fresno State won and covered both regular season meetings against UNLV this season. There is a fallacy out there among certain bettors that it’s difficult to beat the same team three times in a season but in this case it isn’t something I pay any attention to. Fresno State has matchup edges in this game and should also be able to take advantage of UNLV’s fatigue. Lay the short price.